Tony

@WillBiddy_ I feel like you’d like WDAY and IOT. Ever looked at them? A nice list though in my personal opinion! If you moved TOST up to S and deleted META entirely, I’d buy the WB ETF!

Ranking my entire portfolio by which are the best opportunities for the long term as of today. S TIER: GENERATIONAL BUY - $META - $ADBE - $DUOL A TIER: STRONG BUY - $INTU - $MA - $TOST - $CPRT - $ISRG B TIER: BUY - $NFLX - $SPGI - $SPOT - $GOOGL C TIER: HOLD - $UBER Fry me 👇

@WillBiddy_ @realroseceline Is this why people think GOOG CAPEX is OK? It’s like warehouses? Imagine if the thing that was going to run the world is only as powerful as the quality, capability and square footage of warehouses behind it. This is the AI and data center relationship. Spend won’t end.

@realroseceline Exactly my thought process. I haven’t seen one person lay out a moat or long term need for any neocloud. It’s always if this, if that.

I still don’t quite get it… Let’s say my warehouse is completely full, so I temporarily rent space in your warehouse while I build a second one. Once my new warehouse is finished, I move everything out and stop renting yours. What happens then, doesn’t the supply shortage simply disappear? 🌹

@GerberKawasaki They aren’t building railroads. This is the new Cost of Sales. Thus why the company set to make some money putting NVDA into space when we’ve run out of real estate for data centers on earth is worth trillions.

Capex is not bad. It's good. These companies have been printing money for years. They see the huge AI opportunity and are investing to control this future and its profits. This is what good businesses do... $GOOG

@SchwartzFinance Probably just more TOST until I’m completely broke. Most undervalued stock in the market. Category winner running 2 of 5 restaurants with nothing between them and 5 of 5. Exploding margins. 100% organic growth. International and cross sector entries. >20% growth. EV/FCF 22x

@Tony281151341 What are you buying instead?

Which Hyperscaler dip are you buying today??👇 $GOOGL -7% - $315 / share $AMZN -5% - $232 / share $META -4.5% - $599 / share $MSFT -3% - $378 / share And why?

@FindleysFinance @Ashton_1nvests He said earnings.

@Ashton_1nvests $SPCX.

What is a company you believe will grow earnings for years but still produce disappointing stock returns?

@cmsinvests They literally can’t pay their dues to stay relevant. Max debt lines and dilutive equity sales to pay the new price to live and breathe. Think about that for a second (or 2).

You can buy the most profitable company in the world at a 20% discount right now. Think about that for a second… $GOOGL

@StockSavvyShay @fiscal_ai Loving those one-time, paper equity gains, eh? Sprinkle in some blind eye toward cost of sales being relocated to CAPEX and you can ignore maxing out debt lines and emergency dilutive share issuance for survival. Chef’s kiss. Full port buy!

$GOOGL is the most profitable company in the world with $240B in annual net income. Google is the only player in the AI economy that owns the full stack: TPU silicon, Gemini models, Cloud infrastructure, Search and YouTube distribution plus Waymo on the application edge.

@drayinvests Take a picture of some data and ask Claude to build some charts you’d normally only know how to build in excel. You’ll start to get the idea pretty quick.

So what’s stopping me from investing my entire portfolio into $MSFT while it is below $400? Trading at a 21x forward earnings and down -24% in the past year …

@qualtrim You can literally see the debt raised to obtain this cash in your own chart! What are we doing. They maxed out debt lines and now they’re diluting equity to obtain more. This couldn’t be any more the opposite of Berkshire!

It's a fact: Google just reported their largest cash balance in history. Bank account: $242.5 billion USD That's 61% of Berkshire Hathaways cash reserves. $GOOGL $GOOG

@FindleysFinance They aren’t building railroads or manufacturing plants though. No such thing as an abrupt end when a) AI is only as good as the power of compute and b) everything they’re buying is obsolete in 5 years or less. It’s a massive gamble, way too much for me personally. GL to all.

$GOOGL just reported its first negative FCF quarter ever since it IPO'd in 2004. But we can see the giant has been trending down on FCF as CapEx has trended up. The market is acting surprised here, but FCF is the cash leftover after investments in property plants and equipment and share repurchases. I fully expect Google's FCF to be negative for several quarters, maybe through 2026, 2027, and possibly entering 2028. Meanwhile, I am expecting OCF growth to continue and I am not worried about the FCF numbers. Something like this should be expected from massive expansion. Further, Google has begun leveraging their untapped balance sheet by raising further debt to fund their build-out as they reach capital capacity. If this is a negative sign for anyone, it's all the beneficiaries of this CapEx cycle. Companies like $NVDA, $AMD, $MU, $SNDK are only growing the way they are because companies like $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN, and $MSFT are increasing spend so much. Once that capacity for spend has been reached, these companies will see slowed growth almost immediately and the super cycle could very well end quite abruptly.

Let’s see shall we; 1. First negative FCF quarter, a trend which looks set to continue 2. Dilution for the purposes of fund raising as opposed to a long history of buybacks 3. Loading $56B of debt so far this year onto the balance sheet 4. More rampant capex inbound with no end in sight 5. Adjusted EPS miss 6. Google search showing signs of disruption/loss of competitive edge, growth is slowing $GOOG along with the other hyperscalers are playing a dangerous game It’s a gamble at this point based on perceived ROIC in relation to AI I don’t understand why the market reaction is such a shock when the fundamentals of these companies is shifting in real time from equity compounding to aggressive cash burning I don’t own any position in Google and this is not financial advice

@ariaradnia No reason at all, I’m sure. One time CAPEX, I’m sure.

How tf is $GOOGL down after that monster of a report??? Seriously was there even a single flaw in the earnings?

@QC_Capitals Pretty simple. Careful out there. In the world of AI…cost of compute is just recurring expense, not CAPEX. It’s tax to pay to live and breathe.

$GOOGL down after 200% beat 🤣 How is that possible? EPS $9.11 Revenue $119.8B

@pequityresearch Market doesn’t like seeing the cost of living and breathing up parabolically, more likely.

$GOOGL giving a preview of how earnings will go for rest of the hyperscalers. Basically saying, "we don't care if you beat by a mile, we want to see you cut CapEx."

New Rare Earth & Critical Mineral Policy Update $MP $USAR $UUUU $UAMY $AREC $ALOY Buried inside the House version of the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act (H.R. 8800) are some significant proposed changes to U.S. critical minerals and rare earth procurement policy. Keep in mind this has only passed House. Section 1803 would substantially rewrite 10 U.S.C. § 4872, replacing the current Department of Defense sourcing framework with a broader, tiered system governing strategic materials used throughout the defense industrial base. One of the most significant changes is that compliance would no longer be determined primarily by where a mineral is mined. Instead, a material would be considered sourced from a covered nation if any major stage of its production or supply chain occurs there, including: • Mining • Refining • Separation • Melting • Processing • Manufacturing • Permanent magnet production The restrictions would apply to supply chains involving China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, and would extend throughout the defense contracting chain, including prime contractors and subcontractors at every tier. The proposal also restructures covered materials into two categories based on their strategic importance. Tier 1 Materials Tier 1 represents materials considered most critical to U.S. defense procurement and includes: • NdFeB permanent magnets • Samarium-cobalt permanent magnets • Neodymium ore, oxide and metal • Praseodymium ore, oxide and metal • Tungsten metal powder • Tungsten heavy alloy • Tantalum • Gallium and gallium nitride (effective Dec. 18, 2027) • Germanium (effective Dec. 18, 2027) • Molybdenum metals, powders and alloys (effective Dec. 18, 2027) For certain Tier 1 materials produced outside covered nations, the proposal goes beyond simply prohibiting Chinese sourcing. It would require at least 50% of the material’s cost to originate from domestically owned entities, introducing a domestic ownership requirement in addition to country-of-origin restrictions. The legislation also requires contractors to certify compliance and establishes a standardized process for tracing the origin of covered materials throughout the production chain. Tier 2 Materials Tier 2 expands coverage to additional strategic materials used throughout defense manufacturing, including: • Additional rare earth oxides, metals and alloys • Gadolinium • Samarium • Terbium • Niobium products • Tungsten precursor materials • Tungsten carbide (effective Jan. 1, 2029) While Tier 2 materials are generally subject to later implementation dates, they significantly broaden the number of strategic materials subject to Department of Defense sourcing requirements. Implementation Recognizing the complexity of restructuring global supply chains, the proposal includes several implementation measures: • An expedited supplier qualification process intended to accelerate approval of domestic and allied producers across the Department of Defense. • Renewable waivers when compliant materials are unavailable in sufficient quantity, quality, or form. Contractors receiving waivers would be required to submit transition plans with measurable milestones toward achieving compliance. • Expanded contractor certification requirements, supply chain documentation, and Department of Defense oversight intended to improve visibility into the origin of covered materials.

@WillBiddy_ The cost of living and breathing has gone up infinitely, thanks to AI. Do you think paying is a choice?

To those selling off $GOOGL due to CAPEX let me ask a question. Do you think this historically phenomenal company would be spending this much on CAPEX if they weren’t incredibly confident on the return they will receive on said CAPEX over the coming years?

@joecarlsonshow But at what cost. $GOOG share price drop is significant but should be much worse. The level of hidden risk any shareholder taking on is astronomical. Accounting regulations will be changed as a result of the eventual fallout. Hiding expense in CAPEX can’t last forever.

Google is actually insane. The earnings reports are always amazing.

@jirokillua @WillBiddy_ $TOST top line is growing by more than 20% and its margins expanding substantially due to operating leverage and its high margin SAAS growing by 28%. Growth entirely organic, there’s zero debt. And yet it’s somehow trading at 22x EV/EBITDA. So what gives: value or trap

@WillBiddy_ I’d say $TOST started becoming interesting when it became GAAP profitable in 2024. From there, the stock is up like 50-70% depending on your entry. So it’s definitely not a “trap”

youtu.be/ukIe8X5PnLc?is… Is $TOST a Trap or Opportunity?

@NotA_Bull $TOST

So, which stocks have you bought this week?