Trade Ideas Flow

I was wasting 10 hours a week reading low-quality stock pitches. So I built an AI engine to do it for me. 🧠 It scans 100s of ideas daily, scores them on valuation & catalyst logic, and sends me the top 5%. The result? A clean feed of "Gem" ideas and a leaderboard of the world's best authors. Get the daily email (Free, no💳needed): 👇 tradeideasflow.ai

@Zellchair Could you elaborate? Curious what's the case for $FBIOP

@TradeIdeasFlow I appreciate that more people are writing about Fortress. However, I have a hard time understanding why, in the short term, you would choose $FBIO over $FBIOP.

💎🟢 GEM PITCH: FORTRESS BIOTECH ( $FBIO) Fortress's subsidiary just sold an FDA Priority Review Voucher for $205M. The parent trades at ~$100M market cap. THE SETUP: → Cyprium Therapeutics (majority-owned sub) sold a Rare Pediatric Disease PRV for $205M → PRV came from FDA approval of ZUCUBO (Menkes disease) in Jan 2026 → This is Fortress's 3rd FDA approval in 15 months → Also recently sold Checkpoint Therapeutics to Sun Pharma THE NUANCE: 🔹20% of PRV proceeds (~$41M) goes to the NIH Cyprium is majority-owned, not wholly-owned - FBIO's net take is less than $205M 🔹Fortress is a complex holding company with multiple subs - classic sum-of-the-parts discount story Earnings: March 30 Not as simple as "$205M vs $100M market cap" - but the holding company discount here looks extreme if cash deployment is smart.

And just like that we have a first 2026 gem multi-bagger💎🟢 $EQR.AX up 200%+ since early January. The interesting thing is that current situation is way stronger than original thesis every imagined. I personally continue holding this gem, although I did trim a bit here and there.

2-month check-in. "Not great, not terrible." 🔹Portfolio: +2.2% YTD 🔹S&P 500: +0.5% YTD January was a heater. February? February humbled me a bit. Markets do that sometimes - it's almost like stocks don't go up in a straight line. Weird. But here's the thing nobody on FinTwit wants to admit: the goal was never "win every month." The goal was 5-10% alpha annually. At the current pace I'm tracking above the high end of that target. The system is doing exactly what it's supposed to do - scanning pitches daily across open-web, and surfacing only the ones that pass the quality bar. Some months are fireworks. Some months are patience. Both are the process. Still running meaningful six-figure capital through this. Still eating my own cooking. 💎🟢 Join the hunt: tradeideasflow(dot)ai

The bar for my selections: ❌ "AI will change everything" → Lazy ❌ "Buy the dip" → Generic ✅ "Here is the EU property rights law that floors the compensation value" → Specific ✅ "Here is the ICSID base rate vs. what the market implies" → Testable I track 1,000+ authors and scan hundreds of financial pieces to find the 20-30 deep-dive pitches actually worth reading every week. Full briefing with all 5 gems and each specific thesis 👇 📝: tradeideasflow.substack.com 👉: tradeideasflow.ai 💎🟢

⛏️ Theme 5: The Commodity Equity Gap (24 pitches — persistent, patient, unchanged) Same story, every week: 📊 Equity valuations → imply commodity prices 30-50% below spot ✍️ 24 different authors → independently buying the gap 🌍 $VALE $GOH.CN $WPG.V → juniors, mid-caps, strategic minerals Nothing new to report except that persistence itself is a signal. When 24 authors independently reach the same conclusion across different commodities, someone is wrong: either all of them, or the market.

This week in markets: 📉 A fiction writer moved the Dow more than the Fed 🔥 A CEO fired 4,000 people and got rewarded with a 16% rally 💀 A 60-year-old programming language died and took $IBM with it I scanned 182 deep-dive stock pitches this week. The authors on the open web are positioning. Here's where. 🧵👇

We scan the open web daily for deep-value ideas like this at tradeideasflow.ai 🌊

By now it is clear that majority of @ppinvest pitches are extremely high quality. This one reinforces the rule. 💎🟢 GEM PITCH: DOCEBO ( $DCBO.TO) The market is valuing this AI-first software company at under 2x forward EV/Sales. Read that again. Double-digit revenue growth. 70%+ gross margins. Strong EBITDA. Robust FCF conversion. And it trades cheaper than most legacy SaaS names with half the growth profile. HERE'S WHAT THE MARKET IS MISSING: - Docebo is building an AI-native "workforce readiness platform" - The 365Talents acquisition gives them a skills intelligence layer nobody else has - "Extended Enterprise Learning" + "AI Governance" = two structural moats being built in real time - FedRAMP traction opening up government contract flow THE CATALYST STACK: → Substantial Issuer Bid closing March 10 - management is buying back stock NOW → Q1 2026 earnings in May → 365Talents full integration H2 2026 Target: $38.50 | Upside: +115% over 3 years Mkt cap: $496M Risks flagged: AI commoditization + insider selling. The pitch addresses both.

Quite a few notes on $RDDT this month actually. If interested in other takes, here are 2 additional great authors, both very bullish $RDDT. Quite a bit of commonality in arguments: → The market is under-pricing Reddit's earnings power → AI is a structural tailwind (data licensing + AI-powered ads) → ARPU expansion is just getting started → Margin expansion from ~17% to 30-40% is the unlock → The community moat (1B posts, 16B comments) is irreplaceable Authors: @BuffettsDiscipl , @SixSigmaCapital Sources: 🔗sixsigmaresearch.com/p/actionable-s… 🔗buffettsdisciple.substack.com/p/reddit-rddt-…

$RDDT is one of my larger positions now. If you are interested in it @Pray4Equity is putting out a lot of good work on it. I haven't done the same specific valuation work but the narrative of the last human place on the internet, combined with a cheap valuation appeals to me.

We scan the open web daily for deep-value ideas like this at tradeideasflow.ai 🌊

OUR TOP PITCH FROM THE LAST 24H 💎🟢 CEDERGRENSKA ( $CEDER.ST) 🇸🇪 A Swedish serial acquirer buying schools at 5x earnings, compounding at 42% ROCE - and the market treats it like a distressed equity. THE SETUP 🏗️ - Sweden's independent school market is ~80% single-school operators.​ - CEDER rolls them up, cuts back-office fat, and doubles their profitability within 2-3 years. - They've acquired 30 schools since 2011. The playbook works.​​ WHY IT'S CHEAP 📉 - Swedish politicians are talking about banning for-profit schools. - The market is pricing in the worst case. Current valuation: EV/EBITA: 5.0x P/E: 6.2x ROCE: 42% 5Y Revenue CAGR: 20% 5Y EBITA CAGR: 24% Insider ownership: 33%​ These are "going out of business" multiples for a business that just grew EBITA 57% YoY.​ THE CONTRARIAN ARGUMENT 🧠 The pitch methodically dismantles the "profit ban" fear: → Sweden's left had 8 years in power (2014-2022). Result? Zero bans.​ → EU property rights (Article 17) require fair compensation - a fiscal nightmare for any government.​ → 400K students attend independent schools. You can't just shut them down without a political catastrophe.​ → Stricter regulations actually help CEDER - scale becomes a moat as small operators can't absorb rising costs.​ THE MATH 📊 Even in a complete wind-down scenario, the author values shares at SEK 90/share - more than double today's ~SEK 39.​​ Best case (targets met + rerate): SEK 152/share → ~290% upside.​ FOUNDERS WITH SKIN IN THE GAME 🎯 Co-founded by a stockbroker-turned-history-teacher and a career educator.​​ Still actively involved. 33% insider ownership. CEO personally holds ~SEK 10M in stock.​ This is one of the more thorough political risk analyses we've seen applied to a small-cap.

When they ask you to provide 95% confidence interval for prediction and not make any mistakes

Source🔗: kingfishcapital.substack.com/p/hummmmm-you-…

Another great investor weighs in on $HUM.AX @kingfishcap just posted takes on activist bet here, with modeling of how the votes may turn out. Good upside (A$0.85 - A$1.20) vs downside A$0.6 (current price A$0.66) Catalyst has shifted fwd to March 13th Risk is that the vote will be close and successful outcomes requires a lot of retail participation in favor of the activist. Sentiment is good, but will they vote?