Myles

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Myles

Myles

@finphysnerd

Physics grad, value investing zoomer, reality tv star, pole dancer, 'best hair on fintwit'. 🏳️‍🌈🇦🇺.

Sydney, New South Wales Katılım Aralık 2015
377 Takip Edilen6.7K Takipçiler
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Myles
Myles@finphysnerd·
New writeup on the other website - Raysearch: Laser Focused - $RAYB.st is a radiotherapy treatment planning software provider down 50% from highs due to software and Swedish medtech selling. - AI proof, the core of the technology is in the algorithms behind the software that
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@busgus @CompaCompu I like the premise. It's just a lot less resilient than the stuff I'm adding to, more unknowables, more lumpiness. The stuff I'm cutting I don't think are bad bets, but I'm just consolidating into my best ideas.
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Gus@busgus·
@CompaCompu @finphysnerd I was going to ask, I like them but had hoped for another drawdown to pick some up
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Myles
Myles@finphysnerd·
I had a lot of low conviction japanese stocks. Am either cutting or increasing most of them. Adding: Nissei Asb Fuji Seal Kitazato cor Riken Keiki Hikari Tsushin ID Holding corp Eguarantee Cut: STMN inc Teamspirit Timee Somar Bridge consulting Integral Tokyo automatic machinery
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@AltayCapital I just cut this one. It's so cheap but they've had a couple years now to come to jesus on capital allocation. I guess I'm impatient.
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AltayCap
AltayCap@AltayCapital·
Somar (8152) remains absurdly cheap. It remains a net net and drifted down over the last year (-9% in 1 year), but they reported earnings today and forecast for FY27 is OP +33%. EPS expected to come in at ¥1,295. Stock closed today at ¥5,360. Awful capital returns though.
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nr98
nr98@acidinvestments·
Modern Dental (Hk:3600) now trading below Hillhouse purhcase price of 5.80hkd and down 6% over last 5 days.. on what exactly? just pure capital fomoing into the ai trade. Me included but im out of Sk Sq at least for now.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@LukeWolgram Good call. Do you think it's still attractive here?
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Luke Wolgram🔥
Luke Wolgram🔥@LukeWolgram·
$APR.WA limit up after Q1 preliminary results. Profits are up 60%, and the Zgorzelec warehouse isn't even fully online yet.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@BitchesBrewCap I've thought about it, and it would definitely reduce the volatility. I feel like having the junkier stuff still probably adds alpha throughout the cycle though. Though I have no data to back that up it's just vibes.
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Waits@BitchesBrewCap·
@finphysnerd What if you turn your short book more on multiples overvaluation? More $CBA.AX style?
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Myles@finphysnerd·
ChatGPT's thoughts on my portfolio, and it's right. I'm the most excited about my long book that I've been in a long time, still playing around with the structure of my short book.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@sage_simian Don't you think that this is kind of results orientated thinking? Had power not suddenly become such an in demand asset due to AI this company would be worthless. The fact that their crypto operations happened to translate incredibly well to the AI revolution was pure luck.
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Andrew Page
Andrew Page@sage_simian·
What an opportunity lost. All because "Bitcoin bad" midwit idiocy.
Daniel Roberts@danroberts0101

Overnight, $IREN traded almost AUD $10 billion in a single session on the NASDAQ - more than the entire @ASX's on-market daily turnover of AUD $7.5 billion. I'll be honest. That number is humbling. But it also stings a little. Because two and a half years ago, we were told we weren't welcome on the ASX. The rejection was disappointing - not just for what it meant for us as a company, but for what it said about Australia's willingness to back next-generation technology at scale. We believed then, as we do now, that the future of digital infrastructure and compute deserved a place in Australian capital markets. Apparently, the feeling wasn't mutual. But we never gave up on Australia. We have continued to try and do business here. We have several large-scale data centre development sites across the country, and our commitment to building world-class, renewable-powered infrastructure on Australian soil has never wavered. Australia has everything it needs to be a global leader in AI infrastructure - the land, the renewable energy, the engineering talent. The permitting and regulatory process remains our biggest challenge - and I won't pretend otherwise. It is slow, complex, and at times deeply frustrating for a business operating at the speed that AI demands. What it needs now is the regulatory and policy environment to not miss out on this opportunity. But we are working through it, and when we get to the other side, we are ready to accelerate.

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Myles retweetledi
Macro Charts
Macro Charts@MacroCharts·
One of many charts we published yesterday, on key markets and Best/Worst setups we're seeing. Amazingly: While many are chasing parabolas… There are solid opportunities that are just getting started, are mostly underfollowed here, and have big potential upside. Onward.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
Watching the Nikkei go up for the last month while my Japanese stocks trade like 💩 sucks. This market really feels like pure momentum everywhere at the moment. Stuff like $368A, $2201, $4374, $9435, $7864 all quality companies at very cheap valuations that cannot catch a bid.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@Premski_SGP Some of it is from Snap+, some of it is from ads ARPU growth. Tbh currently it's sized the smallest I've ever had it as the valuation has come in a lot and they are sitting on Breakeven profitability. But knowing Evan he's still going to disappoint.
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Premski_@Premski_SGP·
@finphysnerd I looked at it as a short today and at first glance revenue is growing and that negative operating income is trending up. Where is that growing revenue coming from ? disclaimer: i ve never used a snapchat in my life
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Myles
Myles@finphysnerd·
Three points that boomer $SNAP bulls fail to realise after all these years. 1. Nobody over 23 uses their product. 2. They have no way to monetise their core product. 3. Evan is the worst tech CEO around. My short thesis has been the same for 4 years now. Everything else is noise
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@lebron_ex @MikeFritzell It's a few things. Cocoa costs are abating but lag so will flow through later this year. Their Mochi acquisition dragged (though this is said to be one off integration stuff), and they're investing aggressively in the US. Tbh at 11x earnings I'm thinking about sizing up here.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@lebron_ex @MikeFritzell Management has been quite vocal around improving their capital allocation and ROE. They are both investing more heavily in the business and talked about increasing dividends and buybacks. It's a great business at a very cheap valuation and now a clearer allocation strategy.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@Pray4Equity @AltayCapital I don't, since the Nikkei is up so much. I think it's a byproduct of this weird momo market where every stock is either going up or going down every day.
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@cherubmacro I agree, which is why I'm trying to be patient and just chill. The moment I chase is the moment this dynamic flips haha
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Cherub@cherubmacro·
@finphysnerd i think alot in the same boat and now panic buying momo to try and make up for the underperformance. even guys who had a decent allocation to tech hardware got ruined in their software / consumer disc longs. brutal year
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Myles@finphysnerd·
@AltayCapital What's their core operating business and how profitable is it?
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AltayCap
AltayCap@AltayCapital·
New writeup on the 'Stack. Takasago Tekko (TYO 5458) dirt cheap profitable near net-net with more than mcap in rental RE and land in Tokyo in prime logistics hub worth many multiples of mcap. Nearby facility was redeveloped. 7.7x p/e and 4% dividend. Very small & illiquid.
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