Trader Xenon

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Trader Xenon

Trader Xenon

@TraderXenon

Stonk Trader

Boston-ish Katılım Aralık 2021
1.3K Takip Edilen100 Takipçiler
Silent Fill
Silent Fill@Silent_fill0·
@neilksethi @profplum99 The implication nobody wants to say out loud: if passive buying isn’t neutral and nearly half of every S&P dollar flows into AI-linked names, then a passive outflow cycle hits those same names hardest. The mechanism that inflated the concentration is the same one that unwinds it.
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Neil Sethi
Neil Sethi@neilksethi·
Citadel's Rubner highlights a point that @profplum99 has been talking about for years: "Passive vehicles are playing an increasingly dominant role in determining where marginal equity demand is allocated. "Passive buying is not neutral in today’s market structure. Every $1 allocated into the S&P 500 increasingly becomes a pro-growth, pro-momentum, and pro-large-cap allocation. Roughly ~35c of every incremental dollar flows into the Mag 7, ~41c into the Top 10 names, and nearly half into AI-linked exposure."
Neil Sethi tweet media
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Bull Theory
Bull Theory@BullTheoryio·
🚨 THE ENTIRE AI BOOM MIGHT BE BUILT ON FAKE REVENUE. Latest corporate filings show that OpenAI and Anthropic alone make up over half of the entire $2 trillion future cloud backlog held by Microsoft, Oracle, Google, and Amazon. This massive pipeline is actually being created through a circular accounting trick called a round trip revenue loop. But how it works ? A tech giant gives billions of dollars to an AI startup as an "investment". But hidden in the contract is a strict rule forcing the startup to hand that exact same money straight back to the tech giant to rent their computer servers. Look at the documented case of Microsoft and OpenAI. When Microsoft invested $13 billion into OpenAI, it didn't just give them cash; it gave them "cloud credits" to use Microsoft servers. OpenAI used those exact credits to train its AI models, and Microsoft then turned around and recorded that server usage as brand new "cloud revenue" from a customer. The tech giant is literally paying itself with its own money and calling it a sale. This is why OpenAI’s annual cloud bill has ballooned to over $60 billion, double its actual revenue of $25 billion, kept alive solely by this recycled funding loop. Anthropic runs the exact same play, spending $2.66 billion on Amazon Web Services in just nine months, which was basically 100% of all the money it earned at the time. This manufactured demand triggers a second accounting trick where tech giants book massive paper profits. Every time a startup gets a higher value from a new funding round, the tech giant updates the value of its investment on its books and counts that unearned paper gain as direct profit. In Q1 2026, Alphabet reported a record $62.6 billion profit, but $28.7 billion nearly half, was just a paper markup on its Anthropic investment. In the same quarter, Amazon reported $30.3 billion in profit, but $16.8 billion of it was just an Anthropic paper gain. While Amazon reported record profits, its actual free cash flow collapsed 95% to just $1.2 billion because it had to spend $44.2 billion in real cash to build physical data centers. This has created a massive danger where these giant companies rely heavily on just one or two unstable startups. Microsoft has 49% of its $627 billion future backlog tied to OpenAI, while Oracle has an incredible 54% of its entire $553 billion pipeline relying on OpenAI alone. This perfectly mirrors the 2001 dot-com crash when Global Crossing and Qwest Communications swapped identical fiber-optic network capacity with each other just to book fake sales. Qwest had to erase $1.4 billion in fake income, and Global Crossing went completely bankrupt. The only difference is that the dot-com swaps were illegal, but today's AI loop is fully legal under current accounting rules. This legal loop inflates tech company stock prices, forcing automatic retirement accounts and index funds to buy even more of these tech stocks. It is a self feeding loop where investments, sales, and stock prices all go up on paper without the AI technology ever making real cash profits.
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Trader Xenon
Trader Xenon@TraderXenon·
@cap_zay So much "That isn't X, it's Y". My biggest pet peeve in AI slop. @CommodMkt write your own fucking sentences if you're going to be on here acting like you're the smartest guy in all the rooms.
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Zay Capital
Zay Capital@cap_zay·
Jeff currie posting AI slop lol
Jeffrey Currie 🆔++@CommodMkt

@robin_j_brooks your comments below reveal a profound lack of understanding of the oil market. Commodity futures price inventory, NOT expectations. That isn't ideology; it's a fact grounded in the economics of carry. The Brent price in your graph is not a risk anyone can actually hold — it's a spot contract stitched together at each expiry. In normal times that's a fair proxy; these are not normal times. Construct a series an investor could truly hold — a rolled BCOM index, or the USO ETF — and the picture inverts: it slopes hard up and to the right, consistent with the largest supply shock in history. USO keeps climbing because the shortage is showing up in the futures curve — not in the headline price on the screen. The carry pays an investor nearly 50% a year, even if the price of oil never moves. The SPR was drawn down before commercial inventories — when it is normally the other way round. Strategic stocks are meant to be the last line of defence, not the first, but this time Washington spent them first, managing headlines not risk. When you have no crude in storage, THEN and only then will the spot price move to a level to destroy demand. I have no idea if it is 150, or 200, or 250. The observed indication from Asia is ~200.

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Marty
Marty@MartyZimme90457·
@TraderXenon reviewed your posts welcome aboard FOLLOWED you 👍a friend of mine Matt @ROIRecruiter and I will bring into $DGXX B-4 it explodes🌋time is $ and $ is time ...tic toc...tic toc ⏳
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Frank Prestia
Frank Prestia@FrankDPrestia·
Most people analyze headlines. Very few analyze incentives, infrastructure, and bottlenecks. That’s why they miss nearly every major shift while it’s happening. The crowd watches events. Operators watch systems. Power flows to whoever controls: • compute • energy • manufacturing • logistics • distribution • capital flows The visible product is rarely the real story underneath. $AMZN wasn’t just a bookstore. $TSLA wasn’t just a car company. $SPCX isn’t just rockets. The next decade will be defined by convergence: AI + robotics + energy + semiconductors + autonomous systems + infrastructure. I’m less interested in narratives. I’m interested in the architecture underneath them.
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FuzzyPanda
FuzzyPanda@FuzzyPandaShort·
Do people want to see new G2 drone videos shot today (5-20)? $TE
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Anp🅰️nman
Anp🅰️nman@spacanpanman·
$TE: @FuzzyPandaShort Smash & Grab disclosure: "Fuzzy Panda and the Fuzzy Panda Affiliates may cover some or all of their short positions immediately after the publication of this report or an indefinite period after its publication. Similarly, Fuzzy Panda and the Fuzzy Panda Affiliates may cover some or all of their short positions if the price of the Covered Company’s securities move a small amount or after moving a larger amount."
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Trader Xenon
Trader Xenon@TraderXenon·
$TE NEW: We are short @FuzzyPandaShort 's portfolio. We have composed the below letter to be sent to their auditors as our research has uncovered Gross Incompetence and Retardation. Note the use of the plural "we/us" whenever possible as is tradition for retarded short sellers.
Trader Xenon tweet media
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FuzzyPanda
FuzzyPanda@FuzzyPandaShort·
What time will $TE announce they are doing a $200+ million fundraise via ROTH? Comment below on what structure you think they will use... Will it be an ATM, fully bought direct, convertible, or a toxic financing w/ warrants attached?
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FuzzyPanda
FuzzyPanda@FuzzyPandaShort·
New: We are Short T1 Energy (TE) Investors confused T1 as an AI play. It's Not. It is another China Hustle We'll reveal the dirty little secrets of its key IP transfer that hide T1's deep ties to China T1 is FEOCk’ed. Expect major accounting restatements coming soon
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Trader Xenon retweetledi
Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful
Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful@kevinolearytv·
Why is there suddenly such an aggressive push against American data centers and AI infrastructure? After seeing a major spike in coordinated opposition campaigns around our Utah projects, we conducted a digital audit and traced a large amount of the activity back to an organization called Alliance for a Better Utah, which has been pushing misinformation throughout Box Elder County about our data center developments. What’s even more concerning is where the funding appears to originate. After reviewing IRS Form 990 filings and tracing the network behind it, the money appears tied to Chinese linked funding channels connected through an organization called Arabella. Think about the incentive, if China is racing to dominate AI and compute capacity, why wouldn’t they want to slow American infrastructure down?
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Trader Xenon
Trader Xenon@TraderXenon·
@lessin Talking head on CNBC just now, "Most retail investors probably don't even know what they do." Meanwhile another talking head fund manager earlier this morning said "JavRON's Paradox". The undeserved arrogance is hilarious. $CBRS
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Compute
Compute@JoshInvestsAI·
You don’t want to be missing out on $NUAI Don’t overthink it, 1.4GW site in Texas with 2027 power trading at 10x less than some of its peers. Must have in your portfolio IMO.
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Matt
Matt@ROIRecruiter·
If anyone had doubts about Jag you should sell now Jag is $DGXX… He has the track record from $ORCL and $EQIX to prove it. Why would they build a silicone valley site? I’ll let you answer that. Lots of work ahead for the team but I am confident this man is up to it. Lastly he’s not in it for the salary he’s in it for the generational opportunity to compound equity! That’s why I’m interested along with him!
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Trader Xenon
Trader Xenon@TraderXenon·
$QQQ $SPY Are talking heads / news anchors capable of saying the word Nasdaq without first saying the words "the tech-heavy" ? Doesn't appear so.
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Matt
Matt@ROIRecruiter·
$DGXX price action those last 45min was very unusual. We had a candle with over a million shares. It’s continuing its run here AH too. Someone always knows! Now what’s to come who knows but this is NOT NORMAL action. Congrats longs it’s great seeing the $4 mark!
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