TraderKev

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TraderKev

TraderKev

@Trader_Kev1

14 year+ trader/investor since 2012 Opinions not investment advice

Katılım Temmuz 2012
24 Takip Edilen1.3K Takipçiler
TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Killing $SPCX IPO runup and shitco summer in @TFLabofficial. Last 2 weeks only my account up about 50% in realized gains from $SATS $RDW $AMPG $RELL playing monthly options and common, even more if you include unrealized positions.
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Scott Redler
Scott Redler@RedDogT3·
📺 OIL, RATES & WAR ARE FINALLY HITTING THE MARKET — EVEN $MU & $SNDK FEEL IT The market environment is finally becoming more volatile and rotational after a massive rally we had. It may no longer be in the easy “straight up” phase, and you should now need to become more tactical as rates, #crudeoil, and geopolitical risks begin to pressure high-growth leadership. * The importance of the recent market highs, particularly around $SPY $733, is the main focus right now. This area now becomes the new reference point for the market. After such a strong run, there are a few likely scenarios: 1. The market could hold this level and move sideways, building a consolidation range. 2. The market could digest gains through time rather than price. 3. Or the market could pull back toward the 21-day, which is completely normal even in strong bull markets, as powerful uptrends frequently revisit the 21-day, so you should not panic if that occurs. * So, right now, we have multiple macro pressures creating a “softer sequence” in the market: – Rising interest rates – Weakness in bonds $TLT – Higher oil prices $USO – Continued geopolitical tensions – Increased volatility from algorithmic/computerized trading The bond market is the most important indicator to watch now. $TLT is sitting at a critical support level. If #TLT breaks below 83.30, it would likely mean yields are making new highs, which historically creates problems for equities, especially high-growth stocks. * Correlations start to matter again. Yesterday, oil briefly made a new threshold high, and equities immediately sold off. Then Trump came in and said there would be no escalation, which caused oil prices to pull back and stocks to rebound slightly. * At the same time, semiconductor and memory stocks are finally starting to feel pressure, and stretched positioning is beginning to weigh on the AI momentum trade. $MU had fallen sharply from around $818 down to the $660 s after breaking below the 8-day. However, despite the weakness, I believe the stock is getting closer to becoming attractive again. I would prefer $MU to decline toward the 21-day moving average, reclaim the $663 area, and then a cleaner reset after becoming heavily extended. I prefer not to short stocks, as you know, and instead use premium-selling strategies such as selling out-of-the-money puts on weakness, or selling far-out call options during euphoric spikes. For example, sell deep out-of-the-money puts on $MU around the $550 strike to potentially collect premium while staying far away from current prices. $SNDK is another example of managing overextended conditions through options rather than direct short exposure. After a sharp decline in the stock, I would consider put-selling below current prices. * So, this is no longer an environment where you can simply buy anything AI-related and expect effortless gains. Instead, discipline, risk management, and flexibility are becoming increasingly important as the market transitions from momentum expansion toward a more volatile consolidation phase. * If you found this helpful, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet
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Investment Wisdom
Investment Wisdom@InvestingCanons·
Stanley Druckenmiller: “Life goes in streaks. And like a hitter in baseball, sometimes a money manager is seeing the ball and sometimes they're not.” When investors are down, they tend to get aggressive to win it back. Druckenmiller: “One of my most important jobs as a money manager was to understand whether I was hot or cold...” “In my opinion, when you're cold, you should be trying for bunts.”
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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Sums up my mistakes and still working to improve, traded too big, took profit too fast, focused too much on P/L instead of targets, have had 1m year, also had 1m loss day, and too many 6 fig loss days, now trading smaller, more efficient with my capital to make more than before
TFL@TFLabofficial

The biggest mistake killing your PnL isn’t your entries… It’s what you do after you’re right. Cutting trades too early is one of the most common issues traders face. And the reason this happens is more a matter of your psychology, not intellect. You exit trades early because… You’re staring at your PnL when you should be watching key levels and market structure. You are thinking about the last trade you lost instead of looking at each trade independently. You don’t trust yourself. So how do you stop yourself from missing out on the big runners? 1 - Have a plan going into each trade and follow it. Take partial profits at 1-2R and play with profits (this helps you stay calm, knowing your trade is already profitable). 2 - Use trailing stops based on market levels or moving averages. Avoid using your PnL as a guide as it will cloud your judgement. 3 - Avoid oversizing. Arguably the biggest issue traders routinely struggle with is oversizing. A good rule of thumb is if you’re nervous in a trade, you sized too large. You should be able to sleep at night with any trade you have. If you can’t, it’s a sign to take some risk off. That said, everyone needs to develop a system that works for them. This requires doing some journaling and understanding the trades where you do the best versus the ones that hurt you the most. Over time, you learn what your edge is so that you can exploit it. Don’t let impatience get in the way of profitability. Trades are like trains, there is always another one just around the corner. (Unless you ride SEPTA in Philly, then you may be waiting awhile).

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TFL
TFL@TFLabofficial·
Big move on $RKLB last week. This should help the entire space sector. Earnings this week for $SATS and $ASTS. $RDW also with a big bounce after a sell-off post earnings. These should all run into the SpaceX IPO.
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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Think $SATS great runup swing into June/July $SPACEX ipo. Assuming 2T or so valuation, think SATS can get to $200-250
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Sham Patel
Sham Patel@sp_traderX·
A little longer than I expected, also a little higher. My biggest winner in my trading career to date. $MU really has done an amazing job with following through on their plans. I always read each 10-Q and 10-K and take some notes. As time went on, I jotted down some of the notes that discussed their growth plans and execution. Each earnings report, I go back two or three reports prior and see if they stuck true to their theme. Seems we need a little bit of memory to keep AI growth going 🤷🏽‍♂️ 🚀🚀🚀
Sham Patel@sp_traderX

$MU I am obviously very bullish on MU, the earnings correction was much needed. Based on their earnings, I fully anticipate a blowout earnings coming very shortly. Materializing on the expansion and growth of their HBM/DRAM as AI continues to be commercialized. Bounced with strength of the 50dma. I anticipate a strong showing through the next ER and if they follow through $200 is my short term price target.

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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Now in China, been dream come true trading #ES_F in @TFLabofficial, overnight trading smoother moves that respect levels and less whippy than RTH, been crushing post-6pm reopen like this one and others into Euro open, note times are China 13 hours ahead of ET
TraderKev tweet media
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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Another @TFLabofficial killer. Was traveling for 3 weeks couldn't trade, come back to $BYND banger, room identified at $1, I bought around $2 while on plane over the Pacific, sold most at $4.5 and now crying I didn't hold more as it squeezes past $7.5
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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Amazing first week back in @TFLabofficial after 9 month hiatus from trading. Killed $OPEN twice, from 4.5-6.5 before short report, then 6.5-8.5 on CEO news and still holding runners, also crushed $ASST 10 min trade from 12.8-15.4, account up 33% trading only common in just 1 week
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Sham Patel
Sham Patel@sp_traderX·
Man just in a few hours, things shift. Based on some of the metrics I track for inclusions, these are top candidates: $APP, $APO, $COIN Noteable mentions: $WDAY, $VRT, $DDOG Wildcard - $SMCI removed from S&P500
Sham Patel@sp_traderX

My S&P Inclusion thoughts, based on names being ciruclated and my personal opinion based on the criteria and strength of their case: Strongest case: $APO $APP Solid case: $ARES $VRT $TTD No go's: $WDAY - GAAP EPS realitve weakness Gut feeling, sleeper pick... $COIN

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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Haven't given @PowerTradingRm shoutout in a while. So many good ideas, helps a lazy guy like me who doesn't like doing in depth research come up with information I can analyze quickly and make decisive decisions. $RBRK and $NBIS making my week
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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Sorry @RedDogT3 love you but your jets suck. Maye was out relatively early in game due to concussion, Jets should have routed my Pats in 2nd half, don't know how they can lose this game
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TraderKev
TraderKev@Trader_Kev1·
Another EPIC week in @PowerTradingRm, hit $LUNR AH on NASA contract news, $NKE AH on CEO news, $SMR $NNE and other nuclear this morning on $CEG $MSFT news, and to top it off $INTC on $QCOM takeover rumor news, lucky I happened to be at desk for all 4, best room in the business!
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