Viter

The Pistons are in trouble 😳

The Detroit Pistons are putting on the worst 3rd quarter performance in NBA history

The Lakers' offense 🔥🔥

Spoke with @EvgenyFeldman on a Russian-language podcast. Always fun to discuss politics with a smart person!

Announced 50c Crypto Fees: 1.8% Actual 50c Crypto Fees: 3.6% Polymarket have been completely silent about it. Ask them about it and you get ignored. Heard people get banned in Discord for mentioning it

What is greater: Polymarket provides free access to the Pyth Pro version API data You could have spent $120,000 a year But now it costs total $0 if you're a Polymarket trader I guess there're over 1k articles on how to build your trading bot Or you can hire a quant engineer with the funds you just saved (and this will be better)

no idea why my accounts been suspended on Poly (US), but asking for all this info is absurd

How a non‑meteorologist managed to turn 92k → 1.1M on the weather in London? $1.11M from one position, this is a truly unprecedented case > I went through his wallet and here's what Hans323 does: • Polymarket has weather contracts, high temp in NYC tomorrow, London, Chicago, hundreds of cities • The crowd prices these by feel, weather models like ECMWF and GFS price them with math The models are right 85-90% of the time, the crowd regularly sits at 15-40% on the same outcome Hans323 reads the model, finds where the crowd is off, and enters at 2-8 cents per share This is Taleb's barbell on Polymarket, lose small on most entries, collect 10-50x when the "unlikely" hits Broke this down with two more strategies in the article below ➦

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: “I’m so thankful to have the best young core in the league!” Victor Wembanyama: “Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper makes life so easy. So does being 8 foot 5.” Luka Doncic subplot:

Bro did a bluetooth pass 😭😭

Courtside final boss at the Orioles game

This trader hacked weather markets and made $80K in a month. I bet you didn't know this way of doing it was even possible. The strategy looks simple: buy every YES outcome cheap, so any resolution brings profit. But here's the catch. Look at the chart of any individual outcome - they all start at 10-20 cents. He got in at 5. But how? He never bought outcomes individually. He used the Split function. Here is how it works: Split = $1 USDC -> 1 YES token + 1 NO token for a single outcome. He splits the most probable outcomes the second a new market opens. No liquidity yet. Spreads are massive. That's the window. In illiquid markets, NO tokens on unlikely outcomes trade way above fair value because nobody is there to push the price down. He sells NO at inflated prices while the spread is still wide. What's left is YES at an effective cost of 5 cents. By the time the market fills up with liquidity and spreads tighten - he's already in. One outcome resolves YES = full payout. The obviously wrong outcomes (the ones the weather forecast rules out) he merges back. 1 YES + 1 NO = $1 USDC. No order book and slippage. Dead capital recycled instantly. Three cities a day. Same script. Every day. The entire thing can be automated. Ask Claude to build a bot that monitors new weather markets, splits on open, sells NO through the contract, and merges the losers. The logic fits in under 100 lines. The crowd doesn't know Split exists. He built an entire edge around a function hidden in the contract. Profile link > @automatedaitradingbot?r=yarosslav#M38lInz" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@automatedaitr… Fast copy tradig bot > @neyaroslav" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@neyaroslav

The new fees on @Polymarket are way too high and completely destroys the utility of the exchange for takers. As a high volume arber I would have paid 104k in fees just in the last 3 months under the current system 💀 They are also very hard to calculate and very hidden. Poly used to be great, but now there are plenty of better places to bet on sports now. What a shame 😢

Seems the @Polymarket exploit of cancelling orders is being used not just to manipulate the order books but also for directly stealing money and in one of the markets with more fees, the crypto up/down.

We're excited to announce we're expanding the release of Polymarket's Referral Program from private beta to all traders with >$10k in volume You will now be eligible for rewards proportionate to the trading volume of all new users you refer Get started: polymarket.com/r/refer-a-frie…

Luka Doncic receives his 16th tech of the season and if it stands he will be suspended for Monday’s game vs. the Pistons.

Fun fact: All top 20 traders in the crypto category over the past month on @Polymarket are bots.

Prediction markets revenue* (last 30) 1. @Kalshi $110m 2. @Polymarket $4.2m 3. @cryptocom $4.1m 4. @opinionlabsxyz $1.3m 5. @trylimitless $1.1m 6. @IBKR $597k

最近运气不佳，所以想要找个大哥吸点好运，于是相中了 Top Trader Blueberry，用 @tradefoxai 跟了单，谁知道他的点子比我也好不到哪去，不到一天时间搞归零了，还不如我自己手搓。@Blueberry1337" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@Blueberry1337 关键 Tradefox目前的跟单交易记录做的很不清晰，不知道每个market买了多少钱的，哪个market输的，还要copy trade和portfolio两个页面来回跳转才能了解目前跟单运行的情况。已经向 @tradefoxintern 反馈了，说马上会优化。

Polymarket Drama on the "Will Iran strike Israel on March 4" market The market had already bonded to NO until a few hours ago when someone decided to propose YES No new evidence was put out - they simply proposed with the evidence that was available to all participants for a few days The market completely flipped and sits in dispute, but is bonded to YES Just shows you how much confusion there is on Polymarket these days. Pay attention and you'll be rewarded