Kristian Gehradte

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Kristian Gehradte

Kristian Gehradte

@WWWKGPHOTO

Photographer who likes looking at charts

Melbourne, Australia Katılım Nisan 2009
692 Takip Edilen479 Takipçiler
TrendSpider
TrendSpider@TrendSpider·
The best performing US-listed ETF of 2026 has just $65M in assets. Most people have never heard of it. Despite outperforming $USO by nearly 5x, this Shipping ETF has only seen a sliver of the volume, quietly pricing every shift in tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Freight has become the real signal. And right now, it's starting to tell a very different story than oil itself. $BWET
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Kristian Gehradte
Kristian Gehradte@WWWKGPHOTO·
@StonkChris Damn just as the US realestate market is about to rollover I doubt the medium term prospects
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Chris
Chris@StonkChris·
Bruh…is this guy actually serious right now?! 😭
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Jake Browatzke 🚀@jakebrowatzke

The Better Portfolio Update 🚀 For six months, I've told you $PATH is the best opportunity I can find. I still believe that thesis — nothing about UiPath has changed, and I still expect it to 10x within five years. What changed is I found something better. $BETR — Better.com — is going to compound topline revenue at 50%+ per year for the next several years, and it's priced like a company growing at a fraction of that. If rate cuts accelerate, we could see 100%+ annualized growth. I expect $BETR to 20x within five years. I highly recommend reading my recent post about the company and watching our latest video. So why not own both heavily? I would if I could. Here's the problem: despite running a leveraged strategy for seven years — $20k to $1.6M in $TSLA at 300% leverage, riding $5M to $10M and back in $PATH without a phone call — Interactive Brokers effectively allows 0% margin on $BETR. It's a $700M company with limited daily volume, and IBKR's risk engine won't extend leverage on it. My solution: I moved ~89% of my net liquidity into $BETR and spread my margin across a broad basket of 30+ other names. IBKR's portfolio margin system requires that no single position outside of BETR exceeds ~10% of net liquidity when Better dominates ~90% the portfolio like this. If I could leverage $BETR freely, I'd still be 100% net liquidity in $PATH and 150% in $BETR, with the rest split among my top favorites. But I can't, so the broad basket is how I keep my margin working instead of sitting idle. That breadth comes with a tradeoff I want to be upfront about. When you hold your top three or five ideas, it's possible every one of them works. When you hold 30+, some of them will be duds — that's just math. Even Peter Lynch said four out of ten won't go as planned. But I believe deploying margin this way will add far more to my returns than leaving it unused. My portfolio as of 4/7/26: Core position (89% of net liquidity) $BETR — $1.8M @ $33.85 avg Top conviction (each ~9% of net liquidity) — $1.3M total across all $PATH $HIMS $ZETA $DOUL $FOUR $KLAR $LMND Remaining broad basket — $2.7M total across all $IBKR $NKE $UPST $MELI $MU $SMCI $CAKE $AMZN $COIN $SKM $CELH $DLO $TSLA $HOOD $GLBE $GT $ELF $AMD $WHR $ROOT $FLY $CRM $NVDA $MNDY $FUBO $BMNR $MSTR $META $MIAX $WEN $TEAM $FVRR To be clear about what happened here: I didn't lose conviction in UiPath in the same way I didn't lose conviction in Lemonade when I started buying UiPath originally, or stop loving Tesla when I bought heavily into Lemonade. I found a situation where the math on the upside is roughly double over the same timeframe. If your current best idea is a 10x in five years and you find a 20x in five years, you move heavier into the better opportunity. That's not giving up on a thesis — that's doing exactly what the thesis framework is supposed to do. For context on the strategy overall: I'm up over 300% in the past 12 months and have averaged nearly 100% annualized time-weighted returns over seven years. I'm also down 73% YTD. Both of those things are true simultaneously, and that's what leveraged concentration looks like. A sub-20% market pullback could easily cut my portfolio in half. This is shared for entertainment and educational purposes only. I'm not a financial advisor. I do not recommend using margin. I'm learning, experimenting, and sharing in real time. Thanks for reading.

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Banana3
Banana3@Banana3Stocks·
$MOVE $SPY This chart has worked out exactly at the levels and analysis explained within BOND volatility has drastically subsided 👀… right at the point shown in the previous chart linked below Shocker… it has correlated with a big bounce in markets as hypothesized in the analysis 😘 Here’s an updated chart 🤗 P.S. my subscribers have had more up to the minute and deeper analysis on these subjects 🍇💜🥰
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Banana3@Banana3Stocks

$SPY $MOVE THE MOST IMPORTANT CHART THIS WEEKEND 💛 Everyone searching for a sign of a bottom, and the correct answer is nobody really really knows, however… The ICE MOVE Index (Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate) is the "VIX for Treasuries” Large spikes in treasury volatility (which are rare) have marked every single short term, intermediate term, and longer term bottoms, the chart clearly shows that. Especially when there is…A LARGER SPIKE 🧐 A 40% move in the $MOVE index is very large. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that an almost perfect trendline (highlighted in yellow) has marked the previous two largest peaks with where we are now 🤔 Many don’t know that in the world of deep economics and treasury markets, that there is “stealth” QE5 going on right now, it is called RMP’s (Reverse Management Purchases), it is basically the FED buying short term treasuries to give the banks reserves/liquidity 💦 So in that backdrop there should be less implied volatility in the treasury world, and another piece of context that has caused all the spikes evaaa evaaah in the $MOVE index is Major FED Decisions on monetary policy and Geo Political Shocks…hmmm…I wonder if we have one of those right now 🤨 It’s almost impossible to chart a news driven event that clearly moves and marches to the beat of one man’s thoughts, Iran’s replies, and the price of a Barrel of oil… but this charts is VERY VERY interesting! Hope you enjoyed the research, much love 💛🍌🍌🍌

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Spachus Aus
Spachus Aus@SpachusAus·
🏡 Australia Median House Listing Prices (Right Now) 💰 Listing values dropping on the Sunshine Coast. Down -$50k. 1️⃣ Sydney — $1,600,000 2️⃣ Sunshine Coast — $1,600,000 3️⃣ Gold Coast — $1,549,000 4️⃣ Wollongong — $1,295,000 5️⃣ Central Coast NSW — $1,250,000 6️⃣ Newcastle — $1,200,000 7️⃣ Northern Rivers — $1,200,000 8️⃣ Canberra — $1,175,000 9️⃣ Brisbane — $1,100,000 🔟 Coffs Harbour — $1,100,000 👇 Rest of the pack Melbourne — $990,000 Geelong — $950,000 Cairns — $900,000 Hervey Bay — $895,000 Toowoomba — $883,500 Perth — $881,390 Adelaide — $880,000 Hobart — $875,000 Darwin — $800,000 Bundaberg — $799,000 Bendigo — $770,000 Launceston — $750,000 Townsville — $749,000 Albury — $720,000 Rockhampton — $710,000 Mackay — $699,000 Ballarat — $699,000 #auspol #property
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Kristian Gehradte
Kristian Gehradte@WWWKGPHOTO·
@jakestrading18 Yep I thought he would Taco a little earlier but was coming. He cannot have oil prices this high with mid terms incoming. This period needs to be forgotten.
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Jakestrading
Jakestrading@jakestrading18·
Had one of my greatest predictions ever yesterday/ today. With the Nasdaq having a bearish bias and a new 3 month candle opening today, comes the new manipulation leg of the candle. The open and then high (What is currently happening). I literally wrote that there would be a TACO this week/ a ceasefire. Not from following the news or any nonsense from the media, but from following the chart. The only reason I'm tweeting this is so you can see there's an algorithm. All the gurus are saying, "It was obvious" after the event, or trying to make excuses for why futures moved the way they did last night. - Remember, it is always in the chart. Demand/ supply are already predetermined to get to the price target. No, the bottom is not in. AKA, I am/ will be selling my shares that suffer in bearish markets into this current strength. Nasdaq is approaching my first bullish target right now. Depending on the reaction, it either forms the top or we head to the next high, and that does. (I think we go up to the second high). (All IMO) Once you see it, you can predict world events well before they unfold. You can argue with anyone in hindsight, you can't argue when they call something in live time consistently. I know this is highly controversial, as everything we learn in school/university is that the market is based on supply/ demand... but what if it's not? IMO based on what i have seen for the past 2 years and what I know, a target is going to get hit and the market is going to produce whatever demand or supply it needs to hit that target. Happens with shares, commodities, bonds, yields etc.
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Jakestrading@jakestrading18

New 1M and 3M candles coming next week. Prepare for many OL (Open, low) moves coming in April.

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Drew Pavlou 🇦🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
This is how I would save Australia: - Crush communists and Islamists, Lee Kuan Yew style crackdown on crime, social decay. - Completely redesign NDIS, save $30 billion a year. Use savings to: - Build 150 subway stations across the five major Australian cities. Bring the Paris/London/NYC metro to Sydney, Melbourne, Perth, Brisbane. - Build high speed rail down entire eastern seaboard. Brisbane to the Gold Coast in 15 minutes. Sydney to Melbourne in 1.5 hours. - Build 50 nuclear power plants like France - decarbonise our entire energy grid while making ourselves completely self sufficient in energy for the next 100 years. - Drastically lower migration, redefine national identity to emphasise that we are a Western country. Per capita GDP $130,000. Significantly cheaper energy, housing and transport. Decarbonised electricity grid and way less travel emissions but we refuse deindustrialiation and we refuse far-left efforts to dissolve the nation.
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David Bird (ASX Trader) B.Ed, CFTe
WDS - Before & After - up 58% since October A lot of people will look at Woodside here and say it’s near the top of the cycle. And sure, you might get a short-term pullback on the daily. But zoom out to the monthly and the picture changes. For the first time since 2011, Woodside is showing relative strength against the XJO. That’s a 14-year shift. That’s not noise, that’s a structural change starting to build. The key level is $40. Once that breaks, you’re looking at an official change in market structure. And that’s typically where the real outperformance begins, when the broader market starts to participate. That’s when it moves from being early positioning… into public participation on the bigger picture. It’s surprising how many people still think oil’s outperformance is just short term. This isn’t a few strong months, it’s the early phase of what looks like a decade-long bull market. For those who’ve already spotted it, you’re well positioned. And if you haven’t yet, don’t stress, you will!
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David Bird (ASX Trader) B.Ed, CFTe@ASX__Trader

WDS - Woodside - Monthly Imagine telling people in 2008 that Woodside was about to enter a 20-year bear market. You’d have been laughed out of the room. Woodside isn’t a bad company, far from it. It’s simply that oil has been in a multi decade bear market, and when the underlying commodity is suppressed, even the best producers struggle to shine. But cycles always turn. If you understand macro cycles, you know where oil is heading over the next decade and you know that Woodside will be one of the biggest beneficiaries. Just as people laughed at the idea of a 20-year bear market, they’ll laugh again now when you say it’s about to enter a multi-year bull market that will take out prior highs. That’s the nature of cycles: disbelief at both extremes.

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Kristian Gehradte
Kristian Gehradte@WWWKGPHOTO·
@AngusTaylorMP This is the smartest thing I have heard from a politician for a long time. Thanks @AngusTaylorMP let’s get Australia back on track after the unfortunate recession that is incoming.
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Angus Taylor MP
Angus Taylor MP@AngusTaylorMP·
Our natural resources are one of Australia’s greatest strengths, and it’s time we used them. I’m 100% committed to reversing the damage Labor has done to our mining and energy sectors, which is critical to restoring Australians’ standard of living. Under a Coalition Government we will dig, drill and pay down the debt bill.
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Peasant
Peasant@asxpeasant·
@BollingerBanter Is the “energy industry” in the room with us right now
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Nebraskangooner
Nebraskangooner@Nebraskangooner·
I've made a lot of positive health changes in my life over the last 2-3 years But the biggest health upgrade I still haven’t mastered: Sleep. Hard to get a good routine for some reason.. what do you guys do?
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Bollinger Banter
Bollinger Banter@BollingerBanter·
@WWWKGPHOTO Using your hard earned bread, to buy bread, to make more bread. 😂
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Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈
Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈@cantonmeow·
I'm not sure whether Silver has topped. But I think these are valid higher time frame EW counts, which suggests that we are on the last leg of this big bullish move since 1991.
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Krason22🎭
Krason22🎭@KeithvdKraan·
$ILU.ax 1W hold this break!, 🙏
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Krason22🎭
Krason22🎭@KeithvdKraan·
$APA.ax 1W, Crazy if you didn't Imo.
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