.qt

🫠

News flash from the future: Even a blockade of Kharg Island would not force Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This (yet again) reflects a persistent misunderstanding of Iran’s strategic doctrine. For Tehran, control over the Strait is not just economic leverage—it is a core component of regime survival and deterrence. Under pressure, Iran is more likely to escalate than concede. Reopening the Strait would likely require one of two extreme options: either regime change, or a large-scale military campaign to seize and secure the waterway. Such an operation would take months and still wouldn’t prevent Iran from disrupting traffic through asymmetric means. There is no silver bullet to the Iran problem. The regime will hold onto Hormuz the same way it defends every pillar of its survival—with persistence and escalation. If reopening the Strait is the strategic objective, policymakers should recognize the cost: a prolonged, high-intensity conflict, and likely retaliation against Gulf energy infrastructure. #Ira

Iran's biggest problem is that it always assumed the threat of global economic collapse would act as a deterrent. It never factored in that the Israelis are more than willing to collapse the global economy, rather than admit defeat.

trump said he's "not putting troops anywhere." making you wonder what those 5000 ground forces on their way to the gulf are doing. (it's a surprise?)

@TheGeorgePu That's called leverage

Jeff Bezos is worth $200 billion. He's raising $100 billion to buy factories and automate them with AI. Not his money. Sovereign wealth funds. If it works, he takes 20%. If it fails, they eat the loss. If you believed in the trade, you'd fund it yourself.

Egypt charge tolls for the Suez Canal. Panama charge fees for the Panama Canal. Turkey charge fees for Bosporus Strait. Canada charge fees for the St Lawrence Seaway. United States charge for the St Lawrence Seaway. Iran kept the Strait toll free for decades and they are somehow still the terrible guys.

Israel claims that Iran has shot down over a dozen Israeli planes. So the true number is likely more than 100.

Lmao even the mini version of GPT-5.4 outperforms Grok 4.20

Someone asked what past decade seems most similar to the current one. I said the 1930s. Great progress in technology, combined with corrupt, autocratic, populist political leaders.

I said this a week ago, and it will be proven true till no one doubts it: Iran's achievements in the 2026 war will be counted among the greatest military triumphs in history

@Cointelegraph Stealing funds is easy, but trading is hard. 📉 6 months of stress for $0 profit? That’s what happens when you have an Ego but no Strategy. 🤡 While the exploiter is struggling, I closed my crypto in green and moved to Cash. Discipline > Stolen liquidity. 🛡️💰 #UXLink #Trading

🚨 UPDATE: After 6 months of trading stolen funds, the UXLink exploiter hasn’t made any profit and sits at break even, per Arkham.

Sri Lanka refused US request to land two fighter jets in Mattala - You don't need to be big and strong to say NO to a superpower bully. You just have to have some morals with a spine.

@TradersConf This is not true and trading doesn't work that way. Anyway, your confession is hilarious. Nice try. Well done.

LARPing is the best way to become a trader. For every trading session I wear a suit and a bald cap and pretend I’m Tom Hougaard. I try to imagine I’m him and make decisions that he would make. I started it as a joke but have made too much money trading like this so I do it for every trading session.

The average Iranian IQ is 105. This means some of their scientists have IQ’s in the 140’s and 150’s. Robert Oppenheimers IQ was 120. If Iran wanted nuclear weapons they’d have them.

A U.S. strike hit the IRGC’s tunnel complex on Qeshm Island, causing visible surface damage (craters, hits on nearby facilities), but failed to destroy or penetrate the hardened underground tunnels, meaning key assets likely survived. Crater impacts near tunnel entrances, but no signs of collapse or deep penetration. The underground complex (used for boats, missiles, drones) is still likely operational or repairable. Source: @MT_Anderson, @A_z_im

Iran attacked the Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery in Kuwait, one of the largest in the region, as Kuwait allows the US to attack Iran from its territory. A cautionary tale for all frontline states from Europe to Asia?

@Its_ereko She is servile for a leader. Gosh. No charisma. I love Meloni.

🇯🇵 Takaichi flew 6,000 miles to be humiliated. Pearl Harbor brought up. Lunch canceled. No joint statement. She went to Washington to explain Japan's limits. Trump spent the meeting mocking them. 82% of Japanese oppose this war. She ignored them. 11,000 protested in Tokyo. She flew anyway. Now she's signing $40 billion nuclear deals. Tying Japan closer to an empire that just insulted its history. Takaichi bowed. Trump laughed. Japan paid. Call it diplomacy. The rest of us call it submission.

@WhaleInsider Good!

JUST IN: 🇾🇪 Yemen’s Yahya Saree says “Any U.S. involvement in aggression against Iran will trigger direct Yemeni strikes on American naval assets in the Red Sea.”

No one in history was ever eager to do anything like the Houthis are eager to fight the US and Saudi Arabia. They can barely contain themselves. I bet Iran is begging them every day: not yet, not yet, wahyat Allah, not yet, and the Houthis be like: wallahi, one more day and that's it. Tomorrow we bomb everyone