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Ben

@_Dyson_Sphere_

The spice must flow

Katılım Temmuz 2021
575 Takip Edilen365 Takipçiler
Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@robotaxi Where are you going first?
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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@CernBasher Its a flywheel. Another couple of quarters when it really hits the bottom line I think wall Street will get it
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Cern Basher
Cern Basher@CernBasher·
Tesla - FSD & ZEV - Replacing One High Margin Revenue source with Another Wall Street always ignored Tesla's ZEV regulatory credit revenues. But for years, they were significant and have generated over $14 billion since 2011. They also had the benefit of having an extremely high margin (>95%). Now we're seeing FSD subscriptions taking the place of the reg credits. FSD subscriptions are another very high margin revenue stream. If we treat Tesla's FDS subscribers as all paying $99 per month (Tesla doesn't book the revenue from FSD sales all in one quarter), then the quarterly revenue from FSD subscriptions in Q1 2026 would have equaled that of the reported ZEV credits: $380 million. That's an annual run rate of $1.52 billion for FSD subscriptions. To put it another way: $1.52 billion of FSD subscription revenue is about the same profit as Tesla selling another ~300,000+ cars. So, FSD subscription revenue is significant and it's growing rapidly (up 51% yoy). And, of course, higher FSD subscription sales are now driving sales of vehicles - people want FSD, so they have to purchase a car too!
Cern Basher tweet media
Cern Basher@CernBasher

FSD Usage is Exploding Not only are more people subscribing to FSD, but the number of Daily Miles per Subscriber grew 74% year-over-year. From 10.3 miles per day in Q1 2025 to 17.9 miles in Q1 2026! We are hearing anecdotally that more and more people are driving all (or almost all) their miles on FSD - well, we're also seeing it the data that Tesla reports. As Vaibhav Taneja said on the earnings call: "...we have evolved our vehicle sales strategy, where we now emphasize FSD as a product and vehicle as only the delivery mechanism." Yes - people want a vehicle that can do the driving for them - so to do that you have to buy a Tesla and subscribe to FSD. This consumer buying shift will drive Tesla's results for the remainder of 2026 - and until Robotaxi scales enough to swamp the growth.

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Good Law Project
Good Law Project@GoodLawProject·
An anti-Christ obsessed billionaire. A company named after a LOTR evil seeing stone. And our NHS. The Shadow Contract, a new podcast by Good Law Project, is here 🎧👇 goodlaw.social/c22b7d
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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@TeslaJigsaw @Tesla Great quarter. Energy GM nearly 40%. FSD subscriptions up 50% YoY. Cybercab ramping....
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Will
Will@TeslaJigsaw·
What other Company on earth get's this much done in one quarter? astonishing 👏 Congrats @Tesla team for your relentless efforts.
Tesla@Tesla

Q1 2026 Shareholder Update #quarterly-disclosure" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">ir.tesla.com/#quarterly-dis… We continued to make meaningful progress on the build out of the infrastructure & AI software that underpins our Robotaxi & future robotics businesses in Q1. That meant commencing the ramp of new factories across AI compute, battery & battery materials, as well as preparing lines for start of production of Megapack 3, Cybercab & Tesla Semi. Demand for our vehicles continued to grow in APAC & South America markets, with a rebound of demand in EMEA markets & North America. As trade and geopolitics become more uncertain, we're further regionalizing and vertically integrating critical supply chains to ensure access to key materials & componentry in each region across vehicle, energy & AI. Automotive – Optimizing our vehicle product portfolio with an emphasis on vehicles designed for a fully autonomous future – More affordable trims of Model 3/Y & rollout of Model Y L in markets outside of China – Began deliveries of Cybertruck in the UAE – Volume production of Cybercab & Tesla Semi this year Energy Generation & Storage – Good progress with new Megafactory outside Houston (will produce Megapack 3 for Megablock). Start of production on track for later this year – We began meaningful customer deployments of Tesla’s first in-house designed solar panel produced at Giga New York Robotics – Preparations for our first large-scale Optimus factory will begin shortly in Q2. First-gen line designed for 1M robots/year will replace Model S/X lines in Fremont Factory, second-gen line is being prepared at Giga Texas (long-term annual capacity of 10M robots/year) AI Training Compute – Cortex 2 is now online & has started running training workloads – Also ramping on-site training infrastructure to ensure sufficient compute resources for AI products & services – Continuing with custom silicon development (Dojo 3) to reduce training cost over time Battery – Ramping new battery & material factories, including LFP cells in Nevada, cathode material & lithium refining in Texas – Battery vendor cell availability continues to be a limiting factor on ramping vehicle production, so we're working on initiatives to de-bottleneck, including using 4680 cells at Giga Berlin Other Supporting Infrastructure – Giga New York is now producing V4 Supercharging cabinets (3x power density & 2x the number of stalls vs V3) – Alongside the ramp of Tesla Semi, we're deploying public Megachargers, including our first one in SoCal – Over 2,200 new Supercharger stalls, growing the network 19% YoY AI Software – FSD 14.3 launched in April – Upgraded Reinforcement Learning (RL) stage to better handle long-tail edge cases, enhanced the neural network vision encoder for sharper perception in low-vis scenarios & rewrote the AI compiler to accelerate model iterations & cut inference latency by 20% (faster reaction time for FSD!) This accelerates our efforts to eventually deploy unsupervised autonomy to both the Robotaxi fleet & customer owned vehicles – Digital Optimus: our next evolution of AI development. We're working on automating digital workloads, building an intelligence layer that will complement real-world AI in vehicles & robots AI Inference Compute – Expanding our scope of manufacturing to include semiconductor fabrication (coinciding with Robotaxi & Optimus ramps) = step towards ensuring sufficient & resilient chip supply – Partnership with SpaceX aims to build the largest chip fab ever, vertically integrating logic, memory & advanced packaging to allow for rapid iteration – Completed final chip design of AI5 (our next-gen inference processor) in April Automotive & Other Software – Rolled out Spring Update which includes a new Self-Driving app with tutorials & stats, "Hey Grok" wake word w/ location-based reminders, accent lights for blind spot alerts, updated Pet Mode & more Robotaxi – Paid Robotaxi miles doubled sequentially in Q1 – Cybercab will begin replacing Model Y fleet once in production & be the largest volume vehicle in the fleet over time – Continuing to lay the groundwork for expanding into new cities (testing, permitting), so we can launch quickly once ready. Safety remains top priority – Expanded unsupervised ops in Austin & launched in Dallas & Houston in April FSD Supervised – Record net new FSD subscriptions in Q1 – Received approval to deploy FSD Supervised in the Netherlands in April, clearing the path for potential approval in other EU countries – Continuing to make progress on approval in China Automotive Services – Safety Score v3.0 enables every mile driven with FSD Supervised engaged to receive a score of 100. Higher Safety Score over time = lower premiums for Tesla Insurance customers

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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@SawyerMerritt Up 50% YoY. So much for it being too expensive
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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
Tesla says they set a new record for number of new FSD subscriptions in Q1 2026 ,with 180,000 new subscribers. $17.8 million/month in revenue.
Sawyer Merritt tweet media
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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@LinkN01 Software company
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Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@business Start up? They are older than SpaceX!
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Bloomberg
Bloomberg@business·
The failed launch of the New Glenn rocket from Blue Origin raises doubts about the Jeff Bezos-backed startup’s ability to be an alternative to SpaceX. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
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Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@BachmannRudi This post excellently describes Europe's decline
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Dan Go
Dan Go@CoachDanGo·
Question for people under 15% body fat: What's one meal you eat on most days?
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Pete Balls to the wall FSD 🤖🚕
AJ has been less and less worthy of following over the weeks, nothing but self promotion and negative Tesla takes. Considered unfollowing for awhile but held off. Today I got all the signal I needed. 😂 See ya AJ👋
Pete Balls to the wall FSD 🤖🚕 tweet media
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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@CFC_OBED New owners needed. Sack all management
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OB
OB@CFC_OBED·
Chelsea fans , what’s the way forward ?
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Joe Tegtmeyer 🚀 🤠🛸😎
Something big has changed at Giga Texas with Cybercab production … ~ 14 in the outbound lot WITHOUT STEERING WHEELS! Earlier this week, the production line has begun what we are all waiting for and I would expect to see many more starting on Monday, 4/20 🤠 A big step forward!
Joe Tegtmeyer 🚀 🤠🛸😎 tweet mediaJoe Tegtmeyer 🚀 🤠🛸😎 tweet mediaJoe Tegtmeyer 🚀 🤠🛸😎 tweet media
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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@PolitlcsUK What a waste of time. Its already been opened by Iran in response to negotiations with the states.
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Politics UK
Politics UK@PolitlcsUK·
🚨 BREAKING: Keir Starmer says the UK will lead a defensive military mission with France to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz
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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@NASASpaceflight Holy shit. Looks like something got obliterated
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NSF - NASASpaceflight.com
NSF - NASASpaceflight.com@NASASpaceflight·
Starship Flight 12: Booster 19 STATIC FIRE! Looks like the full 33 Raptor 3s, another first. Wait for SpaceX to confirm good test. Short (potentially intended) firing, but wow! Live here on X and YT: youtube.com/live/sJOsivvVL…
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Ben
Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@EdConwaySky Or perhaps the fact that Tesla makes the most popular car globally. The model Y outsells all competition in China itself.
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Ben@_Dyson_Sphere_·
@WR4NYGov Wasn't cortex specifically for optimus? I guess no reason why it couldn't be jsed for fsd too...
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Warren Redlich - Chasing Dreams 🇺🇸
Suggests v15 is in an early stage of development. My gut says not in pre-training yet. Cortex 2 starts up later this month, fully deployed by August? Training v15 on much larger compute capacity makes sense. Then v15 on AI4 cars by end of year. v14 improving fast means robotaxi might scale soon.
Elon Musk@elonmusk

@Chansoo Our rate of advancement with the small model has been so fast that the large model has not yet caught up. V15 will be the large model.

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Sawyer Merritt
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt·
BREAKING: Tesla has officially released FSD V14.3 I'm downloading it in my Model Y right now. Here's everything that's new: • Improved parking location pin prediction, now shown on a map with a P icon. • Increased decisiveness of parking spot selection and maneuvering. • Rewrote the Al compiler and runtime from the ground up with MLIR, resulting in 20% faster reaction time and improving model iteration speed. • Enhanced response to emergency vehicles, school buses, right-of-way violators, and other rare vehicles. • Mitigated unnecessary lane biasing and minor tailgating behaviors. • Improved handling of small animals by focusing RL training on harder examples and adding rewards for better proactive safety. • Improved traffic light handling at complex intersections with compound lights, curved roads, and yellow light stopping - driven by training on hard RL examples sourced from the Tesla fleet. • Upgraded the Reinforcement Learning (RL) stage of training the FSD neural network, resulting in improvements in a wide variety of driving scenarios. • Upgraded the neural network vision encoder, improving understanding in rare and low-visibility scenarios, strengthening 3D geometry understanding, and expanding traffic sign understanding. • Improved handling for rare and unusual objects extending, hanging, or leaning into the vehicle path by sourcing infrequent events from the fleet. • Improved handling of temporary system degradations by maintaining control and automatically recovering without driver intervention, reducing unnecessary disengagements. Upcoming Improvements: • Expand reasoning to all behaviors beyond destination handling. • Add pothole avoidance. • Improve driver monitoring system sensitivity with better eye gaze tracking, eye wear handling, and higher accuracy in variable lighting conditions.
Sawyer Merritt tweet mediaSawyer Merritt tweet media
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