WarrenMuppet

1.1K posts

WarrenMuppet

WarrenMuppet

@_JFSM_

The larger the number of people involved, the easier it is for them to delude themselves that what they are doing is smart

Katılım Kasım 2012
819 Takip Edilen320 Takipçiler
WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@TimurNegru perhaps you can spend a few words on the lack of property insurance (or therefore insane premiums) in Italy, the bureaucracy, being scammed by construction workers and contractors and the necessity to bribe people to get anything done
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Tim
Tim@TimurNegru·
So ya’ll tired of beautiful European properties or should I keep posting more bangers? 🤔
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The Icahnist
The Icahnist@TheIcahnist·
Favorite non-finance book that made you a better investor?
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@ZeeContrarian1 what about the nov/dec/jan fly? No idea about vix futures but the spreader goblin mind sees the kink in DEC and wants to buy it vs NOV and JAN
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Z
Z@ZeeContrarian1·
Should you short $VIX or go long here? I don’t have a very strong opinion, but short is definitely smarter than long. The front $VIX future is trading at 18.40, that’s high. You can’t get exposure at any other price. All $VIX options you’re buying are priced off futures at 18.40, not 16, which means an at-the-money call only pays if VIX goes above 21. Does that really sound like a good deal to you? So the only real question is: at 18.40, do you buy $VIX or short it by shorting $VXX, $UVXY, $UVIX or long $SVIX? I don’t see great opportunities either way, but if you forced me, shorting looks better. Unless, of course, you’ve got inside info from God that the market’s about to crash.
Z tweet media
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Michal Ziacik
Michal Ziacik@Airstarter·
BTC perp funding just went 🚀 from flat to +0.224% / 8h 📈
Michal Ziacik tweet media
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@apoorv1 2/2 and you pay a 40bps spread on OI on top of a potential taker fee your hedge is so expensive that there is no scenario where it makes sense. Product for shitcoin yield or DeFi punters but so far I don´t see a usecase for serious liquidity.
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@apoorv1 I was really excited about boros since it´s a viable attempt at interest rate swaps...unfortunately the fee model renders it basically useless for integrating it into a serious yield portfolio as a hedging product. On normal days the 30d yields are within 50bps annualized 1/2
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greg
greg@greg_lancet·
@quant_arb lol what you clearly know that what you give is not enough to clearly run a profitable multi exch arb
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WarrenMuppet retweetledi
Layergg
Layergg@layerggofficial·
🗓 2025 Crypto March Calendar Mar 3 : Trump's Investment Announcement Mar 3 : Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF Approval Deadline ~Mar 3 : $OBOL - Tokensale on Coinlist Mar 3 : $RED - End of Binance Pre-Market Price Cap Mar 3 : $HENLO - TGE Mar 4 : US - 25% Tariffs Imposed on Canada, Mexico Mar 4 : US - Additional 10% Tariffs Imposed on China Mar 5 : $ETH - Petra on Sepolia Mar 5 : $ENA - $914M Unlock (66.19% of Circ) Mar 5 : MegaETH - Public Testnet Mar 6 : US - Initial Jobless Claims Mar 7 : US - White House Crypto Summit Mar 7 : US - Unemployment Rate Mar 7 : US - Fed Monetary Policy Report Mar 7 : $SWELL - Swellchain Upgrade Mar 8 : $BERA - $83M Unlock (9.28% of Circ) Mar 9 : $MOVE - $25M Unlock Mar 10 : US - Stablecoin Bill (GENIUS Act) Vote Mar 10 : $ERN - Binance Delisting for Rebranding Mar 10 : $SC - V2.0 Hardfork Mar 11 : US - JOLTS Job Openings Mar 11 : $SOL - 2nd Deadline for ETF Approval (VanEck, 21Shares, Canary, Bitwise) Mar 12 : US - CPI Mar 12 : $APT - $72M Unlock Mar 12 : Hemi - Mainnet Mar 13 : US - PPI Mar 13 : $ERN - ERN → EPIC Binance Relisting Mar 14 : US - Federal Government Temporary Spending Bill Expiration Mar 14 (March-mid) : BNB - BNB Chain Pascal Hard Fork Mar 14 : $PI - PI Day (3.14) Mar 18 : JP - BoJ Interest Rate Decision Mar 18 : $MELANIA - $23M Unlock (17.5% of Circ) Mar 18 : $BNX - Binance Delisting for Rebranding Mar 19 : US - FOMC Mar 21 : $FORM - BNX → FORM Binance Relisting Mar 22 : $LTC - 1st Deadline for Canary LTC Spot ETF Approval Mar 23 : $SOL - 2nd Deadline for Grayscale SOL Spot ETF Approval Mar 23 : $ENA - End of Season 3 Mar 31 : $USDT - Delisting from Kraken Europe 👀 TBD in March Nillion - TGE Tabi - TGE Corn - TGE 0G - TGE StakeStone - TGE Mezo - TGE Elixir - TGE Blackwing - TGE Redbrick - TGE Kelpdao - TGE Nubit - TGE Milkyway - TGE Karak - TGE Blum - TGE Resolv - TGE Wizzwood - TGE MINT - TGE GUNZ - TGE Initia - Mainnet MOVE - Mainnet STPT - Rebranding Tether - AI Platform BAT - Brave Rewards 3.0 ZIL - Zilica 2.0 SAGA - Mainnet 2.0 XVS - Venus V5 GMT - GMT Pay CPOOL - Ozean Launch (direct USDT/USDC mint/redeem + T-Bill yields built in) ANIME - Anime Chain BB - BounceBit Prime KAIA - Native Stablecoin Onboarding TRX - Gas-Free Feature Launch D - Dalarnia Legends Mainnet BIO - dLAB v.1.0 * * * 💞 Please Like + Retweet if you enjoy this March Crypto Calendar. ➬ Follow me @layerggofficial for more🫡 🔗Sharing is welcome, just a nod to the source would be appreciated.
Layergg tweet media
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@ThalexGlobal @Gravity5ucks Delta hedge with Perps and roll into the respective maturity once there is opportunity. That's how it's done at the Moment.
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Thalex
Thalex@ThalexGlobal·
When you δ-hedge with the future: • Expiration is more elegant • Cost of carry is transparent However, futures are less liquid than perps, which probably hurts more if you hedge frequently. Do you think market makers prefer hedging with a perpetual, whereas futures may be used more by positional option traders?
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GravitySucks
GravitySucks@Gravity5ucks·
Bitcoin futures market on native crypto exchanges: The top 3 exchanges control over 95% of the market. No coincidence they also lead the options market since delta hedging with the underlying contract it's a no-brainer. A niche market dwarfed by perpetuals. But a market that likely wouldn’t exist without options trading.
GravitySucks tweet mediaGravitySucks tweet mediaGravitySucks tweet media
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lil qwant
lil qwant@LilQwantXBT·
it quotes a spread, stoikov model, - need to double check everything is working properly, getting correct feeds -fix margin constraints and canceling/editing quotes
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@LukeGromen I don´t like interpretations like these, you never know the buying price. Of course you would buy everything you can get your hands on for 50% off in case the seller is dead broke and urgently needs money
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Luke Gromen
Luke Gromen@LukeGromen·
If El Salvador has trillions in unmined gold, they should reach out to Glencore, who just bought the ENTIRE output of the 2nd largest gold mining deposit in Europe, in advance One of biggest, most connected commodity traders in the world seems to think gold is very undervalued🤔
Luke Gromen tweet media
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@quant_arb 2/2 I feel like the feds are going to knock on doors for the next ten years given how many of these shitters have already been created. It´s a very tempting money grab right now but I stay away from it for this exact reason. How do you feel about that?
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@quant_arb honest question: Creating a financial instrument and offering it to the public usually is an endeavour that is highly regulated, especially since it´s so easy to make money with it. And now everyone and their mom can do it. 1/2
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@686Prism We learn it in pre-school...right before we learn to fill in application 36b section 2 to be allowed to visit the restroom
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686 Ebullient Prism
686 Ebullient Prism@686Prism·
All you need to know about the fact Germany needs a devaluation but it's not gonna get it cause the regulators are mostly imbeciles, can be summed down to the fact we abbreviate the Bundesbank as BuBa. We're basically calling them a boob. That's how fcked the German economy is.
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@686Prism so you don't know ze Doppelkupplungsgetriebeschadenreparaturkostenvoranschlag?
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WarrenMuppet
WarrenMuppet@_JFSM_·
@SmallCapSmarts Why did you start trading your own account instead of opening or joining a fund? You could read all day and meet people and buy some stuff once a month.
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small_caps_automated
small_caps_automated@SmallCapSmarts·
My goal in trading crypto, options, and small caps is to grow my capital quickly, then switch to less risky strategies like long/short equities and fixed income. In that style, you spend more time reading, meeting people, and analyzing vs. staring at screens or coding.
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