John. Just John.

1.7K posts

John. Just John.

John. Just John.

@a_just_john

Katılım Şubat 2018
51 Takip Edilen21 Takipçiler
John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@TheZvi IDK, "I don't want this conversation to affect future conversations" and "I don't want past conversations to affect this conversation" are pretty different and it's kind of odd to conflate the two. Incognito is for the first, not the second.
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Zvi Mowshowitz
Zvi Mowshowitz@TheZvi·
I think Incognito windows should (at least by default) strip away ALL preferences, instructions, identifying information, etc. Same for everyone, no matter what. Carrying anything over is a bug.
Fiora Starlight@FioraStarlight

@allTheYud yeah. iiuc, if you have anything in the personal preferences field in settings, that gets carried over to incognito claude. mine was blank, but maybe yours has something?

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Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion·
In retrospect, we shouldn't be surprised that it's easier to train a general intelligence to do tasks that humans learned to do very recently, because those are tasks we had to use our own general intelligence to learn, instead of evolving for specific tasks over aeons.
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion

Everyone talking about AI job displacement was always so focused on the working class. They thought only the highest-IQ people would still be valuable. But it turned out mathematicians got replaced long before truckers did.

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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@littmath @dwarkesh_sp You can get to 50 if you include an AI-powered literature review finding a solution in the literature to a problem previously thought by the list maintainers to be open. But I agree that shouldn't really count as "solving".
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Daniel Litt
Daniel Litt@littmath·
@dwarkesh_sp Wait, 50? This seems like a huge overestimate, even if one counts solutions by humans in collaboration with AI.
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Dwarkesh Patel
Dwarkesh Patel@dwarkesh_sp·
AI has solved 50 Erdős problems in the last year. But on a wider sweep of problems, the models’ success rate is only about 1-2%: labs have just been publishing the wins. This isn’t because AI isn’t useful for mathematicians. Terence Tao thinks the models are currently at the level of a trustworthy coworker. But while they’ve got a strong ability to apply standard math techniques to problems, often more reliably than humans, Terence thinks they currently aren’t great at iterating on partial successes - their understanding of the mathematical object does not advance from session to session. I swear I wasn’t trying to get him to talk about continual learning.
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@SashaGusevPosts @KelseyTuoc @ryancbriggs @RuxandraTeslo e.g. if you ask a newly-rich tech person if they give to charity, odds are the answer is one of a) no, b) to church, c) some trivial amount (<$1k) to warm fuzzy causes, or d) a large amount to EA causes in a counterfactual world without EA it's probably mostly just the first 3
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@SashaGusevPosts @KelseyTuoc @ryancbriggs @RuxandraTeslo You're talking about persuading people to give in general, rather than a charity persuading people to give to it in particular. ISTM EA-thought has done quite well on the former (esp. counting dollars rather than doners), though I agree it's generally quite bad on the latter
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Ruxandra Teslo 🧬
Ruxandra Teslo 🧬@RuxandraTeslo·
I can confirm this and think it's a unique thing abt them. I am not an EA, but I think they will have forever changed philantropy for the better.
Samuel Hammond 🦉@hamandcheese

The unique thing about EA / rationalist philanthropy is that, while it has its traditional "cause areas," it is broadly steerable by better arguments. That is, if someone marshalled dispositive evidence that we're headed for an AI winter or that the technical alignment problem wasn't hard or that xyz funding strategy created more costs than benefits or that shrimp are p-zombies, EA and Rat funders would turn on a dime and fund something else. You can't say that about any other big philanthropic source.

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Yah
Yah@YahhSirio·
@girldrawsghosts This is not how light exposure works, he would not be brighter than his backdrop/background by this much on a foggy/cloudy day. The left is more accurate. Yall don't know what color grading is used for nor do you know how light works. Why are you speaking?
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FoolishPig
FoolishPig@TheFoolishPig·
@Aella_Girl @DylanALTKY These right skewed distributions always have mean >> median, so if your median is too high, welp.
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@jessesingal I mean, yeah, the same way young communists are idealistic. It's not enough to have ideals, you also have to not be stupid!
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Jesse Singal
Jesse Singal@jessesingal·
much idealism
Jesse Singal tweet mediaJesse Singal tweet media
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@Aella_Girl would love a setting to get other measures, like 75%ile or 90%ile or whatever
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@zplerhop @Romy_Holland you can't advocate policy changes _for the purpose of_ encouraging higher birth rates. you can advocate policy changes which would (or might) incidentally have that effect but if you suggest this is reason to do it people look at you funny.
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Charly
Charly@zplerhop·
@Romy_Holland I don't think that's necessarily true. Medicaid expansion, making housing more affordable, universal pre k, etc. These are pretty lefty policies or accepted among the leftists I know.
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Romy
Romy@Romy_Holland·
watching something become politicized in real time is so frustrating. there was no reason pronatalism needed to end up politicized at all, and now it's slowly becoming seen as a wacky rightwing talking point. I mentioned something to an older neighbor about how strange it is that so many people have stopped having kids and she readily agreed and then after a minute said "...but that's what all those MAGA people are talking about now." I tried to gently be like "oh I guess so, but it seems to me like something everyone should care about" but I could watch the desire to maintain the correct political allegiance surging within her and overriding any reasonable thought.
Kate Willett@katewillett

It is extremely creepy and bizarre to care whether or not other people have kids. Unfortunately, there’s growing acceptance for this deranged obsession even in segments of the left.

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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@marc__adler @jessesingal Google Translate is based on AI. It always has been, but these days it actually uses an LLM internally. They switched over because it significantly increased accuracy.
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Jesse Singal
Jesse Singal@jessesingal·
it's just this complete detachment from the real world. imagine telling a migrant in any sort of legal/other trouble to do this instead of relying on good-enough auto-translation. imagine telling a busy jounro to seek a librarian instead of an LLM for an initial research survey
mas.to/@sheldonrampton @sheldonrampton.bsky.social@sheldonrampton

@jessesingal I checked out the service she suggested people use instead of AI. Basically, you submit a webform asking for assistance and then wait for someone to get back to you. I guess that might work if you had all the time in the world, but it wouldn't have worked in my situation.

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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@patio11 @SFBayCityZen @philipkiely another fun bit of tech is keys which can create derived keys with more limited permissions, so an agent can give a subagent a task-specific key which can't do anything else. helpful for keeping agents on track too. ("macaroons" is the name for this)
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Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie@patio11·
@SFBayCityZen @philipkiely This is fairly routine in well-developed APIs, particularly ones with high risk if misoperated. (I make _extensive_ use of read-only Stripe keys.)
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Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie@patio11·
Complex Systems this week is with @philipkiely , who has recently written the book (literally) on Inference Engineering. We discussed what AI adoption looks like as an engineering matter in enterprises.
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@Noahpinion Isn't he the guy who tried to put on a ballot measure to close Sunset Dunes and turn it back into a street? Isn't that the exact opposite of urban revival? Maybe the other candidates really are worse, but couldn't we find even one non-terrible candidate?
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Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@Noahpinion·
For the first time in my life, I made a major donation to a politician. I gave $10,000 to an organization supporting Alan Wong, running for supervisor in San Francisco's District 4. Whether he wins could determine the destiny of SF's housing reforms. noahpinion.blog/p/san-francisc…
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@KelseyTuoc @ilzolende @teafortillerman @CoreyWriting I was going to say "it's surprising they've all hosted CAIR though". But apparently they haven't! > CAIR has never worked with several of the schools that were banned [according to them] So even if you agreed with the pretext, it wouldn't cover the extent of the ban.
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Kelsey Piper
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc·
a bunch of people in the replies are going "we don't want to allow the use of vouchers at Muslim schools, though" which...yeah, this was always the thorny thing about vouchers, but you're very obviously going to lose in court and I don't know what you expected.
Maria Kari@mariakari1414

BREAKING - Today, on behalf of 3 Islamic schools & affected parents, we sued Texas state officials for unlawfully refusing to approve otherwise qualified Islamic schools for participation in Texas's new education savings program. Not a *single* Islamic school in Texas has been approved to participate in the new program - despite thousands of private schools across the state being approved. Here is our press release.

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Zvi Mowshowitz
Zvi Mowshowitz@TheZvi·
GPT-5.4 reaction thread. I know we're really got a lot going on right now, but how's the latest frontier model?
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Sam Tobin-Hochstadt
Sam Tobin-Hochstadt@samth·
@KelseyTuoc Genuinely I think you're one of the few people likely to update your views in a substantive way based on this.
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Mike Solana
Mike Solana@micsolana·
what I saw on 10/7 disturbed me for weeks. there are obviously many otherwise normal, good people who are skeptical of israel. but actually enjoying the sort of carnage we saw targeting civilians that day is legitimately psychopathic. mamdani's wife is a psychopath.
Stephen L. Miller@redsteeze

One of the posts was from a go-pro attached live stream that showed Hamas attackers shooting dogs outside of houses after breaking down fences. The NY Times omits this.

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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@itserinfitz @Aella_Girl @ClitEastwood4u You asked why someone would avoid academia. These things are a big part of why. You've been Stockholm syndrome'd into thinking this is normal. This is only normal inside of the academy. Doing research literally anywhere else doesn't make researchers suffer like this.
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John. Just John.
John. Just John.@a_just_john·
@itserinfitz @Aella_Girl @ClitEastwood4u Please listen to yourself. "You can't do research on 20% of the population, it's unethical to ask people questions without first getting approval because it might hurt them, and also even in the best case it's going to take FIVE DAYS for you to add a new question to your survey."
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Keşfet

@TheZvi @Noahpinion @littmath @dwarkesh_sp @SashaGusevPosts @KelseyTuoc @ryancbriggs @RuxandraTeslo