Andrew Brown retweetledi
Andrew Brown
1.2K posts


@PlusEVAnalytics @DataBasedBets How do ties play into this? They could say 70 people make the cut at the beginning but 90 people could make the cut. I understand it’s still a negatively correlated bet but is the EV calculation more nuanced than this if you factor in ties?
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A simple (not perfect, simple) approximation of the EV you're losing on a negatively correlated parlay of multiple players to occupy a fixed number of spots (make the cut, top 20, top 10, whatever):
Example: 5 players, 70 spots
(70/70) x (69/70) x (68/70) x (67/70) x (66/70) - 1 = -0.136
So you're losing 13.6% EV by parlaying them compared to playing them straight.
Say NO to "make the cut" parlays!
Eric Patterson@EPatGolf
My make-the-cut parlay for the Canadian Open 🇨🇦 Pumped to get out there tomorrow morning to track the Aberg-Clanton portion of this. Check it out below ⬇️ thescorebet.app.link/6uLjWQPVVTb
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Andrew Brown retweetledi

Andrew Brown retweetledi
Andrew Brown retweetledi

@bradmccann @TheMarcusDaniel @BarrettSallee @patbell33 People talk about an 8 team college playoff like the first round is going to be 1/16 matchup in March Madness. 16 seed will never win...
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@TheMarcusDaniel @Jon__Reed Dane Bradshaw was the best to ever play there
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@awilliams105 I agree with this. I’ve been saying ND overrated since we almost beat them early in the season
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