Alan Fragen

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Alan Fragen

Alan Fragen

@adfragen

Distressed Credit Analyst

Katılım Mayıs 2016
82 Takip Edilen44 Takipçiler
U.S. Women's Open
U.S. Women's Open@uswomensopen·
Riviera Country Club is set to join an exclusive group of venues to host a U.S. Women's Open and a @usopengolf: • Atlanta Athletic Club • Baltimore Country Club • Baltusrol Golf Club • Champions Golf Club • Cherry Hills Country Club • Colonial Country Club • Erin Hills • Hazeltine National Golf Club • Interlachen Country Club • Newport Country Club • Oakmont Country Club • The Olympic Club • Pebble Beach Golf Links • Pinehurst No. 2 • Riviera Country Club • Winged Foot Golf Club • Worcester Country Club
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@Rankheresyagain Not a lot of places for your description. If you gave yourself 2 hours to get to the beach, it opens up a wide range of possibilities.
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@Rankheresyagain I assume you live on a man-made lake - either Canyon Lake near Oceanside or in Mission Viejo.
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
Weekend Debrief Wheels up from South Florida Senior analyst enough to not book Spirit Friday started with Boss man and Aunt B Successful session The kind where not a clear eye was left in the room Saturday the alarm went off at 6 Tee time waits for no one Steve showed up confident Steve left looking like a chestnut colt with pneumonia Good man Bad timing The reception was everything Got the real ones together The OGs Geoff Parents Extended family Turns out the bride wasn’t the only one in white Sis noticed immediately Blades did not Blades was on his third plate I was counting The jumpsuit has no shame And no dress code concerns Sunday Blue Monster Doral Cameron Young Wire to wire 19 under Six shots clear Nobody checked our credentials We fit right in The kind of weekend that doesn’t ask permission It just shows up Like Blades Like the jumpsuit The biggest weeks don’t announce themselves They just start on Monday morning Continuing analysis Sent from my Mac
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst The real insight - I need to hit more greens. 80% on sand saves is unsustainable. Expected value was 40; I managed a 37. The putter has a nickname - the magic eraser. Play well tomorrow
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
South Florida Tee time 6:50am Early bird gets the worm Wedding is tonight Priorities are in order Threesome Me My brother Geoff Future brother in law Steve Course paired us with a fourth Chatty High energy Had a pitch ready by the first tee box We invited him to play skins He said he had to run it by his wife Couldn’t reach her Steve’s problem now Steve accepted it graciously Steve would regret that Walking only Caddies before noon The way it should be My caddie Blades Knew his yardages Knew the breaks Doubled bagged without complaint Didn’t talk unless spoken to But talked a lot Has the analyst gene I recognized it immediately Second hole Steve’s guy lined up his preshot routine I started counting Waggle one Waggle two By waggle nine Geoff looked at me By waggle fourteen Blades looked at me Waggle seventeen We all looked at each other Tied the Chick-fil-A my pleasure record On a par three Geoff and I took Steve for every skin on the card Steve is a good man Steve’s pockets had other plans Would have gone 36 We have a wedding to get to Ran the numbers at the turn Blades earned it Taking him as my plus one tonight Blades has the hook up tomorrow Final round Cadillac Doral Blue Monster First class all the way Sent from my Mac
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst The honeydew list is the icing on the cake. Being useful to the wife creates massive shareholder value. ROITime so high it's almost incalculable. Almost. Sole focus on numbers is a blind spot. Funny thing about blind spots, we never see our own. Pls fix. Thx
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
That’s a day right there Alan Up early Walked and carried Back in the gym Sand saves Honeydew list is the only thing standing between you and a perfect Saturday Know that feeling well Red lined list and a Home Depot run last weekend Different course. Same walk Blades says hi back Analyst to analyst
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst I'm not superstitious. But I'm told, third time is a charm. I'm skeptical. Please collect data and revert.
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
@adfragen Appreciated Alan Would have been valuable intel before the first nuptials Figured out the rhetorical question by wedding two Showing restraint this weekend Should present like a seasoned Senior Analyst Third time and all Continuing analysis
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
Woke up at 5:45am Texted Boss man at 5:47 Couldn’t help it Christmas morning energy Five year old Couldn’t wait All packed Boarding pass on the home screen Big weekend ahead Even bigger day for Boss man Couples therapy at 4 with Aunt B Utilized the early wake up Jump started the notes and minutes Shareholder Meeting Volume 2 Initial task Organize Boss man’s hate mail He ran out of wall space I offered to help Had to read them all In order to categorize That’s just the process Then something shifted They are not rooting for Boss man They are rooting for me Me The analyst Full transparency Did not anticipate this outcome 7 categories 1 quote each Time restraint I have walls Currently empty Not for long My release strategy No cap Overworked Legend 📈 “Sleepwalked into the corner office.Still showed up twitching. He’s not an employee. He’s a hostage” Health & Self-Care 📈 “Eye twitch started Q4 Moved to his face by March The fish in that lobby are living better” Raise & Promotion 📈 “Three years. No name recognition. No title bump Bio still says Future Senior Analyst Sir” Wedding / Family Time Off 📈 “One Friday off for his sister’s wedding. Declared technically optional. Reassigned to gridline removal and PowerPoint. I can’t” Formatting & Gridline Hero 📈 “Plz fix. No file attached Saturday. Rebuilt the entire deck by Monday. Gridlines removed. Obviously” Loyalty & Dedication 📈 “The entire replies section is steal the analyst. Aunt B is staring at the ceiling. Shareholders and spouses agree” Character 📈 “Ranked a little bit. Showed up the next day. Fresh notepad. Ready to deliver” Resilience 📈 “Given hate mail to organize. Read every single one. Kept sorting. Never flinched. That’s not an analyst. That’s a professional” Self Awareness 📈 “Boss said people are rooting for the analyst now. Analyst heard it. Nodded. Went back to the gridlines. I’m not okay” Boss man has the corner office I have a small office He filled his walls with hate mail Mine will be different The shareholders have spoken The people have spoken Senior Analyst has a nice ring to it Continuing analysis Sent from my Mac
Ethan’s Analyst tweet media
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst

Shareholder Report 3/24/26 5:43pm Boss Man Running out of wall space Negative Feedback Accelerating Jr has homework Due tomorrow Asked Dad for help Boss Man took point I stepped in to organize Initial Estimate Overnight Actual Timeline One month Volume exceeded expectations Multiple Categories Identified Release Strategy Required Feedback Aggregated Categories Defined Top 2 per Category Selected for release Workaholic 📈 “Touch grass. Log off. Go be a dad instead of treating your life like a quarterly earnings call.” “Running out of wall space for negative comments is not the flex you think it is, bro.” Youth Sportsmanship 📈 “Your wife had to storm across the field to stop you from turning a 5-year-old soccer game into a military drill. Therapy with the Mrs. is no longer ‘likely imminent’ — it’s overdue.” “Making a little kid run laps while he’s crying because he checked on an injured opponent is next-level psycho dad behavior. Hope the scoreboard was worth it.” Couples Counseling 📈 “She scheduled non-negotiable therapy and you tried to negotiate the date and price. Then complained about inconsistent formatting on her list. Sir, she is not the problem.” “Your wife is staring at the ceiling every time you open your mouth and you think the issue is her tone. Therapy isn’t going to fix whatever this is.” Overlap noted High Conviction Across all segments Weekend Charge Building Model Holding Volume 2 Friday 5/1/26 9:15am Shareholder Mtg Weekly Releases Ongoing Sent from my Mac

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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@Dan_is_SuperBug @ronrule And now I know you don't know what you're talking about. Look at the capital stack of nearly every Fortune 500 company. It does not include preferred stock. Also, preferred usually has all the upside off a bond and the downside of common. It's a bad investment security.
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Daniel Marcus
Daniel Marcus@Dan_is_SuperBug·
@adfragen @ronrule That would be true if I could get some of that preferred stock but all of us peons on the workers floor, we only can get common stock. And guess who gets the shaft when the rich pretty boys running everything bankrupt it.
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Ron Rule
Ron Rule@ronrule·
When my son got one of his first jobs with a manufacturing company, he complained how he was “doing all the work” making parts that sold for hundreds of dollars a piece while only making $20 an hour. “It’s unfair to the workers!” he said. “You sound like a liberal.” I said. He made a classic mistake I see people make over and over. They only look at the hard cost of goods and final sale price. They don’t understand anything in between. I pointed out that the company he worked for only makes an 8% profit. Their total profit on that $400 part was really only about $32. “There’s no way.” he said. “The bar stock only costs about $8.” To him, his argument was logical. Every day his hands turned $8 worth of aluminum bars into thousands of dollars of product, but he only got about $160 of that. That seemed unfair. I asked him “What about all of the other people in the company? The ones who aren’t making the parts.” He hadn’t thought about that. I explained that every hand along that product’s journey from creation to the customer is another person who has to get paid. The engineers who designed and tested it, long before you made it. The person who packed it in a box. The person who made the manuals that go with it. The person who answers the phone when a customer has a problem later. The people who order the materials and maintain the machines and sweep the floors and clean the toilets after you leave. The accountants and lawyers and insurance companies who keep the business organized, compliant, and protected if the part you made fails. All of those people are paid for from those parts you made. And all of them get their paychecks whether the parts are sold right away or not. On top of that, there’s the cost of the facility itself. The building, heating and cooling it, and every piece of equipment inside it. All of those costs are paid before the owner makes one cent. “At the end of the day, you’re actually making more money from every unit you make than he is.“ He understood it after that. Running a business is the hardest way to make money. Roughly 90% of entrepreneurs will fail. Don’t get me wrong, the reward can be great if you’re one of the 10% that makes it, but that results in a confirmation bias. You only see the winners. You never heard about the 90% that failed before they made it. You see the guy in the big office who looks like he doesn’t work as hard as you, but you never saw what it took to get there. You never saw the times he went without a paycheck so he could make payroll. You never felt the stress of being denied necessary capital, or losing an important customer, or under-bidding on a contract and losing money on every unit. You’ve never felt the repercussions of making the wrong call. If you mess up, one customer is marginally inconvenienced, and you can fix it with another $8 part. If HE messes up, you and everyone else have no job. You can be the guy on top if you’re willing to take the risks they took and do the work they did to get there. Or you can do your part and collect your paycheck while someone else worries about that stuff. And that’s OK too, because the world needs both. The beauty of capitalism is that you get to choose which one you want to be.
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@Dan_is_SuperBug @ronrule Simple solution - save some of your pay and buy stock. Be an owner. That way you can participate in the "obscene" profits.
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Daniel Marcus
Daniel Marcus@Dan_is_SuperBug·
@ronrule Oh please, you got these companies doing stock BuyBacks and all kinds of other crap. When you got 30 billion in profits or some other obscene number, I'm pretty sure you might be able to up the workers pay by a couple of bucks.
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst Tune out the noise. Enjoy the wedding. When the inevitable question "Does anyone know why these two should not be married?" is asked, understand that is a rhetorical question. I'm sure you know "why not". Don't explain. Not your job. Show restraint. A Sr Analyst would.
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
@adfragen Noted and appreciated Resonates deeply Boss man is the primary shareholder You are all shareholders too Shareholder value doesn’t deliver itself Continuing to deliver Removing the noise Continuing analysis
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@MattWallace888 On another but related note, applications to JPM's Leveraged Finance group are up 10x
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst @MarioNawfal Ignore that study. There is a massive difference between active and passive screen time. Those kids were not removing grid lines or evaluating the most efficient fonts, they were watching Dora. Ergo, Dora is the culprit.
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
Noted Neurologist appointment in two weeks Currently averaging 12 hours Will flag this to the neurologist 2 hours wouldn’t cover the gridline audit Markets would suffer Shareholders would not be pleased Not an option at this time Just got an Apple Watch Spiff Q2 Another screen added to the repertoire Continuing analysis
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸 A neuroscientist ran MRI scans on kids aged 3-5. Just 2 hours of daily screen time was enough to cause measurable white matter loss in their brains. White matter is what controls language, learning, and how your brain's neurons connect. His reaction when he saw the results: "Wow… I was not anticipating seeing anything like that." 60 kids. 2 hours a day. Visible brain damage on a scan. Put the iPad down. Source: @newstart_2024, 10 News
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

Reading scores among American kids just hit a historic low. A generation raised on short-form content is showing up unable to read at grade level. Is there any way to reverse it?

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Mercurius
Mercurius@MercuriusFilius·
How would you answer this common Goldman Sachs interview question?
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst The placebo effect is a very real thing. Always keep that in mind. The mind controls the body, not the other way around. Remember that the next time you think you are tired.
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
@adfragen They did a study
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta

You check your Apple Watch in the morning. Sleep score: 62. You decide it's going to be a foggy day. And then it is. A 2014 Colorado College study suggests the score itself causes the fog. 164 people walked into a lab. Researchers hooked them up to fake EEG equipment and told them the readout would show their REM percentage from the night before. Then they fabricated a number. Half the room was told 28.7%. Half was told 16.2%. The machine wasn't measuring anything. Participants took four cognitive tests. The Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test, where you add numbers spoken at increasing speed and hold your last sum in working memory while computing the next. And the Controlled Oral Word Association Task, where you generate as many words as you can starting with a single letter under time pressure. Both are gold-standard measures of attention and executive function used in clinical neurology. The 28.7% group outperformed the 16.2% group on both. Significantly. How rested participants actually felt that morning predicted nothing. The mechanism is mindset priming an executive resource. When you believe you slept well, you allocate cognitive effort more aggressively. You don't conserve. You don't pre-disengage. Belief about the resource changes how you spend it. Two control conditions ruled out demand characteristics. Participants weren't trying harder because they thought they should. Real measurable cognitive performance shifted with the number on the readout. The Apple Watch sleep score. The Oura ring readiness number. The morning ritual of checking either one is taxing the resource you're about to need. The performance gap from a fabricated REM percentage was larger than the gap from how rested participants actually felt. The number was louder than the night.

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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
Update Winning Wednesday PTO for Friday still denied Win #1 Boss man approved PTO this morning Saturday 4 to 6pm Grateful Wedding is at 5 Ran the numbers Two hours Ceremony is one hour That leaves one hour Cocktail hour starts at 6 I’ll be on the clock during cocktail hour Still grateful PTO is PTO Win #2 Earned First Spiff Q2 Apple Watch From boss man Presented it this afternoon Said I earned it Said it was for performance I was grateful I am grateful Boss man is a Timex guy Has been as long as I’ve known him Says a Timex tells the same time as a Rolex He’s not wrong Not sure why he got me the Apple Watch Could have gotten me a Timex Would have been equally grateful Didn’t ask questions You don’t ask questions when someone rewards performance Will set it up later tonight All notifications on Response time should improve Boss man will be pleased Continuing analysis
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst Don't bother checking your "sleep score", total waste of time. It's hard to learn while sleeping.
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Ethan’s Analyst
Ethan’s Analyst@EthansAnalyst·
@adfragen Appreciated sir Means a lot coming from not only a shareholder but a predecessor Currently in year three 100 hour weeks noted Apple Watch should help with the data Continuing analysis
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst Keep up the good work young man. While you are creating value for shareholders, you are adding value to yourself. Don't forget that. I would say "Pls fix" but there is nothing to fix.
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Alan Fragen
Alan Fragen@adfragen·
@EthansAnalyst I was an analyst at a hi end IB out of college. 2yrs of 100+ hour weeks. Promoted to Sr Analyst. 1yr as a Sr Analyst in the London office. All 100hr weeks. Brits needed to see work ethic. Promoted to Associate. Workload didn't decrease. They paid me to go to B school.
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Angry American
Angry American@Angry_American0·
@susancrabtree @SteveHiltonx Xavier Becerra admitted he will continue the fraud and corruption against the people of California. Tom Steyer admitted he will place illegal criminals first before the American people. California seriously can’t be that stupid to vote for them.
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Susan Crabtree
Susan Crabtree@susancrabtree·
First question for all California governor candidates -- how do you make California more affordable?? @SteveHiltonx pledges to have $3/gallon gas, cut electric bills in half, and every person's first $100,000 will be tax-free. He also says his policies with make housing affordable for young people. @chadbianco says "the regulations and the taxes have to go." @MattMahanSJ says he would suspend the gas tax, which he called the most regressive tax in the state -- and remove all barriers to building [housing]. @XavierBecerra: Says he won't end the gas taxes. Instead, he says, "we'll reduce prescription drug prices and start building the homes that we need." "40,000 units are shovel-ready. I'll get them going the first day I'm in office." In a separate lightning round, @TomSteyer says he won't end the gas tax, but will place a windfall profits tax on the oil companies. @KatiePorter also says she won't end the gas tax.
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