Adam

10.7K posts

Adam

Adam

@agoldman79

Katılım Nisan 2013
172 Takip Edilen63 Takipçiler
Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@PhillyPMC Name another star players whose team didn’t drastically suffer without them. Danny Green winning more than LeBron has absolutely nothing to do with the fact the Celtics played very well without him. Not only when he didn’t play but in games as well.
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Patrick
Patrick@PhillyPMC·
I like analytics and think they help analyze player value and find inefficiencies in the market. But this is where we lose the plot on the Jaylen Brown debate. Danny Green won 31 more games than LeBron from 2010-2021. He also won more than Durant, Curry, and Harden. Does that make him better? Of course not. The eye test and common sense still matters!
Adam@agoldman79

@PhillyPMC They are 36-6 in the last three years without him.

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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@PhillyPMC Of course. But you still have to explain away how not only have they won without him at a very high rate but his on off splits his whole career have been flat out bad.
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Patrick
Patrick@PhillyPMC·
@agoldman79 They won a title and made another finals with him.
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Patrick@PhillyPMC·
I disagree with this take, but I think some people are missing the reference to Rudy Gay. 20 years ago when analytics first took the NBA by storm, the analytics crowd said Rudy Gay was overrated. He was a high volume, low efficiency two point shooter. Old school hoopers scoffed at the idea. Turns out the analytics crowd was right, and Gay’s contributions to winning was vastly overstated. Fast forward 20 years and a new wave of analytics are emerging that have called Jaylen Brown’s contributions to winning in doubt. Hence the comments from the random GM that Brown was the 7th best player, and comments like this ⬇️ To be clear, I think there is no credible argument to compare Brown to Gay, especially given Brown’s versatility and defensive abilities. We have jumped the shark analyzing players; the analytics crowd — once the outsiders pointing out the flaws in how the old guard evaluates players — have become the old guard themselves, and are impervious to recognizing the limitations of their approach. Brown is an elite player. He contributes significantly towards winning, and he solves a major area of need for the Sixers. This was a win — unquestionably — for the Sixers.
Raheem Palmer@iamrahstradamus

There's a real chance Jaylen Brown could just be Rudy Gay who just so happened to play on a team that had great coaching structure and enough pieces around him for him to be successful & Brad Stevens was ahead of the curve...........OR the advanced metrics simply aren't measuring him properly & the league as a whole is wrong about him. I can't call it right now but I can't wait to see how it plays out. My gut feel is that PG13 was a more portable player & I'm not sure how Maxey, VJ, Brown and Embiid will fit together and they're probably a 2nd round exit, again.

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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@PhillyPMC They are 36-6 in the last three years without him.
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Patrick
Patrick@PhillyPMC·
@agoldman79 1. They haven’t been. 2. The stats saying they were better were most pronounced last year, when Boston’s bench unit was elite and created that impression. But 3. We can’t just rely on advanced models. Watching the games still matters.
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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@SpikeEskin I think it’s an overreaction but there should be some weight given to the Celtics performance when Brown isn’t on the court.
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Spike Eskin
Spike Eskin@SpikeEskin·
Yes that's why there's a long list of finals mvps who aren't hall of famers. Also the small sample size of the team being excellent every year, reaching the finals in another year, and being one of the best teams in the nba with no Tatum. Analytics are not the problem, it's the easy access to them that makes regular people think they understand analytics is the problem. It's someone seeing some chart on twitter and then seeing hey just big brain what they read.
Hank259@hank259

@SpikeEskin Finals MVP is a prime example of small sample size. People fight numbers and analytics mostly out of fear of unknown, & for how cold it seems to just be by the numbers. Joke's on them. It's always been by the numbers. And no one likes it, if it doesn't come down in their favor.

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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@samhaselby Rent freeze doesn’t reduce rents
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Sam Haselby
Sam Haselby@samhaselby·
Mamdani and the left have real issues: childcare, rent freeze, etc, to promote that people care about. You guys just had a multi-billion $$ "abundance" promotional campaign that as far as anyone can tell is just some kind of prosperity gospel for pro-Israel billionaires.
Jordan Weissmann@JHWeissmann

I'm quoted in this Vox piece about DSA's winning streak. The left basically has a permanent campaign, while we libs have none. That may have been tenable for us in cities when demographics and the national mood were in our favor, but it isn't anymore. vox.com/politics/49318…

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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@dailydirtnap Find it interesting you are obsessed about democrats yet the republicans are currently running the country into the ground.
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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@SpikeEskin Seems like we have the same opinion. Definitely not funny and a little overrated but still very enjoyable. Thought the acting was really good
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Spike Eskin
Spike Eskin@SpikeEskin·
I wish I could go on the AMC app or Fandango after I've seen a movie and see what previews I saw. I'll see good ones and 50/50 whether I remember it.
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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@SpikeEskin It’s so strange that he did what he did his rookie year and had no support from Nurse and Morey.
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Spike Eskin
Spike Eskin@SpikeEskin·
To be clear on McCain: they did not trade him to get under the tax. They traded him because they valued the picks more than him. There were several other ways to get under the tax that were not trading McCain. It got them under the tax which helped but had other avenues.
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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@fifimcfae Buddy, check where he did the best. Hope this helps
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party mom
party mom@fifimcfae·
@agoldman79 buddy, the district is not just your neighborhood. i hope this is helpful.
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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@RealMattCarey Drafting has been great and roster construction has been pretty awful even with the constraints
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Matt Carey
Matt Carey@RealMattCarey·
My Morey take for the last few weeks has been that I'm ambivalent either way, but I've said for a while that he's not ahead of the curve anymore, and while you can grade his individual moves fairly well (with a couple notable exceptions), the full picture is underwhelming.
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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@PhillyPMC @dmorey But they shouldn’t have even had to get under the tax. Considering how Embiid was at the time they should have been buyers
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Patrick
Patrick@PhillyPMC·
@agoldman79 @dmorey Eh. There were multiple ways they could get under the tax without selling a promising young guard. Harris is bad, and we all know why the trade was made. But Morey could have come up with a better solution. Nurse deserves blame too since he wouldn’t play him
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g a b y
g a b y@gabydvj·
the west village mom i nannied for in 2013 told me parents were expected (or i guess encouraged) to donate like $5k a year to their kids' public school. obviously a deal compared to private school tuition! but still crazy
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart

One thing I did not realize until having kids in NYC public schools is how much variable auxiliary fundraising occurs at each specific location. So even if you divide the tax pie in a perfectly egalitarian manner, schools with wealthier parents will still end up with more.

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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@Amonahan It’s called trade or tighten
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Alex Monahan
Alex Monahan@Amonahan·
When I worked in quant finance @ SIG, we'd play this game called "Make a Market" for $1,000... It's kinda interesting: 1) An unbiased person picks a random question (e.g. What's the population of Tanzania) 2) Person A makes a market (say 30million-100million) 3) Person B can "tighten" the market (e.g. 50M - 80M) or buy/sell (e.g. below 30M or above 100M) 4) Person A can then "tighten" the market (e.g. 60M - 65M) or buy/sell (below 60M or above 65M) The game ends when somebody buys/sells... Let's say Person A "buys" 65M. The popular of Tanzania is 72M so they'd win the $1,000. If they "sold" 60M, they'd lose. If the population was between 60-65M, then they'd also lose... The game teaches you a lot about trading/risk tolerance/confidence in your assumptions
Deedy@deedydas

Jane Street made ~$40B in 2025 with 3,500 employees, a ~2x from the year before. At ~65-70% profit margin, that's $8M profit / employee, the highest for a 1000+ ppl company. High-frequency trading continues to be the most efficient money making engine. I want to share an old story about my Jane Street interview in 2014. Jane Street was known for hiring a lot of math, physics and CS olympiad winners from top universities and putting them through many rounds - including, for trading roles, a gauntlet of mental math. It was my 6th interview and my final round and I recall being asked "What is the next day after today in DD/MM/YYYY where all the digits are unique?" They'd toy with you and say "You can use a pencil and paper, if you want" but you knew that was an instant no. Painstakingly and as quickly as I could, I came to an answer. "How confident are you that this is correct on a 0-1 probability scale?" the interviewer said. "0.95", I blurted out, not fully knowing how to answer that. "Are you sure?" After thinking harder for a few more seconds, I realized I could've flipped the digits around to get a closer date. I gave the interviewer my answer. It was correct. "0.95 huh?" he chuckled. That's when I knew I failed. Note: fwiw, other companies that come close in efficiency are - Tether ($90M+ profit/emp) - Hyperliquid ($80M+ profit/emp) and on revenue: - Valve ($50M/emp) - OnlyFans ($37M/emp) - Craigslist ($14M/emp) - Anthropic ($12M/emp, run rate) - OpenAI ($8M/emp, run rate) For comparison, Nvidia is very efficient at scale and is $4.4M/emp.

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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@PhillyPMC Probably explains his previous illnesses and issues with his right oblique.
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Patrick
Patrick@PhillyPMC·
Joel Embiid is arguably the most physically talented player in Sixers history. But he’s too injury prone to ever trust. The Sixers should have traded him 3 years ago. While it’s too late for that now, it isn’t too late to clean house otherwise. Fire Morey and Nurse. Morey doubled and tripled down on a hobbled Embiid and oft-injured Paul George, instead of scrapping them both and building around Maxey and Edgecomb. (And don’t even get me started on the embarrassing McCain trade— he should be fired for that alone). Nurse is largely incompetent and living off his one championship win. And do whatever you can to move Paul George this offseason. Maybe you can find a championship contender willing to take on that contract. I don’t have any faith in Harris and Co. having a backbone and making the bold moves necessary to win like Roseman and Lurie do routinely. But maybe this time he will surprise us and do the right thing.
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Adam
Adam@agoldman79·
@SpikeEskin I think the fans that go to his concerts have never cared about his shenanigans outside of his really awful stuff. I also think the main cancellors were not his fans
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