Andy Levi

@AdamKinzinger Be honest and tell us what deal you'd make

He says the quiet part out loud. Although he should have said “i only think about myself”

Out for a jog and was almost raped twice by Jewish dogs. Thank God for the NY Times which warned me about this.

@Faytuks So what choice is there for America but keep the blockade and possibly re start bombing?

Iran will not discuss the nuclear issue with the US before these conditions are met -Al Jazeera - War ending on "all fronts" - Lifting all sanctions - Releasing Iran's frozen assets - Paying war reparations. - Recognising Iran's sovereign right over the Strait of Hormuz

@Jormheim @BU6ENHA6EN @jakeshieldsajj @DanBilzerian They were. They armed Israel's enemies. They wouldn't let jews emigrate.

@BU6ENHA6EN @jakeshieldsajj @DanBilzerian “The Soviet Union was anti Zionist”?!?? What the fuck is the Mexican talking about

Imagine @jakeshieldsajj, @DanBilzerian, or any other AFU skin suit, answering this question about jews and Israel so effortlessly.

@PeteButtigieg Whay is your plan. Put in details rather than "make a deal"

Inflation up dramatically - a direct result of Trump's Iran war. Blaming others won't help. Without a change of course, Americans will keep paying the price.

@VaccineCourse @Radar625148 @RJLDilkie @BrettErickson28 Do you understand how dumb it comes off showing a hit and presuming one projectile was needed? Do you understand how CEP and stats work? Iran launched thousands of missiles since 2024. A small % were attempted and failed intercepts. A smaller % hit targets. You're useless

Look at how precise this single strike was: exactly where the equipment was located in the plane (the assumption is that they got access to Russian or Chinese spy satellites images). There is zero question about Iranian missile accuracy. A missile in each desal plant and it's anarchy and millions of refugees in the Gulf countries. It would basically be the end of them. Take two nights to destroy ten plants if you feel one night isn't enough. Either way, in no time they would be destroyed. Israel has an elaborate water distribution system (with high over-capacity) that means there is no single point of failure. It would take destroying three plants to give them a serious problem. But it's not like that for the other countries.

The Iranian regime has outplayed Trump throughout this conflict. Full stop. I wish, genuinely, that I didn't need to say this, but ignoring the reality would not make me "patriotic". Addressing the situation the United States now faces does not make me "treasonous", it makes me "realistic". Here is the reality of the Iran War as I see it: 1) The United States conducted attempted decapitation strikes on the first day of the war, assassinating the Ayatollah. It goes without saying that the Trump Administration hoped that the initial "shock and awe" would be enough to bring Iran to the negotiating table. It was not. 2) In return, Iran shut down the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off roughly 20% of the world's energy and fertilizer supply. 3) The United States then initiated a massive bombing campaign that WAS militarily successful. If you have followed me for the past 6 weeks (I just set up my twitter recently), you will know I am very much opposed to how Trump has handled this conflict. I am not entirely opposed to him LAUNCHING the campaign, I understand the rationale behind it, but I very much am opposed to how he has navigated it thus far. 4) In retaliation for this massive bombing campaign which... basically wiped out the entire Iranian leadership (yes, there are some who survived, but largely success from a purely military perspective TACTICALLY), Iran then lashed out at their Gulf neighbors. This was underscored by the Iranian strikes on the South Pars Gas Field in Qatar. Qatar's North Dome supplies ~20% of the world's LNG. Iran's strikes knocked off ~17% of that total production, and it will take ~5 years to repair. That is 3.4% of the world's LNG supply taken off line. In addition, various other energy infrastructure throughout the Gulf was taken out of commission. 5) After a long period of trading strikes, on April 7th, the United States and Iran agreed to what was "supposed" to be a two-week ceasefire. The "ceasefire-yness" of this is... questionable... 6) On April 13th, the United States implemented a "blockade of the blockade". By definition, this is an act of war, and this is significant to understand when discussing the 60-day War Powers. However... this is America, so who cares! The intent of this blockade was to produce oil well shut-ins and terminal hyperinflation within 13 DAYS. That number is very important to remember. 13 days. Did you forget? 13. Days. It has now been 28 days... 7) Skip forward to modern day, May 11th, and multiple rounds of negotiations have failed. Multiple attempts at a second round of in-person negotiations in Islamabad have been canceled as a result of the United States refusing to lift the blockade. The most recent Memorandum of Understanding put forth between the US and Iran was still worlds apart. 8A) Two things are now clear as it relates to the current situation the United States, Iran, and the World now face. 8B) The first is that the blockade has failed catastrophically to produce the intended effects. That DOES NOT mean that it "militarily failed". You can argue the semantics of that all you want, but at the end of the day, it boils down to this simple question for me as per the efficacy militarily: "did Iran's exports fall as a result of the blockade?". That answer is yes. You can argue the details further, but that is irrefutably true. However... and this is what TRULY matters when assessing the success of the US blockade and overall "Operation Economic Fury" campaign: "did the Iranian regime collapse, or did Iran make substantial concessions at the negotiating table?". That answer, clear as day, is NO. 8C) The initial phase of military strikes from the United States on Iran were tactically successful, but strategic unsuccessful. That is a key difference to understand (I'm looking at you Pete Hegseth. More boom no good). And after now 34 days of the initial ceasefire taking hold, and 28 days since the US imposed the Blockade of Iran, there is very little support domestically within the United States to resume military strikes on Iran. 9) As a result of 8B and 8C, we are now left with the following situation: - The Blockade of Iran has miserably failed to achieve the stated objectives, and disastrously overpromised and underdelivered in terms of timeline to oil well shut-ins, terminal hyperinflation, and the intended end goals of regime change or diplomatic concessions. - Appetite for further military action is at an all-time low, and it is very questionable whether or not anything short of boots on the ground would change this situation. Additional clarification: boots on the ground is ALSO highly unlikely to produce any of the intended effects, and is logistically a non-starter in terms of timeline. 10) Final point: You don't have to like it. You don't have to be happy about it. But it is clear that Iran holds a substantial advantage at this point. They entirely control traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, with almost no vessels transiting in the past week. Iran still retains a significant amount of their pre-war levels of Shahed drones and anti-ship missiles. They also have substantial asymmetric warfare capabilities beyond this with divers and limpet mines, fast boats with small arms fire, ability to lay mines in the Strait, and other remaining means. Iran has a long runway until they are forced to shut-in. Likely >45 days from today, which would be 73 days in total from imposition of blockade to shut-in... a bit different that the initial 13 day projection. This likely can be extended to closer to 100 days in total through additional emergency measures. Further military strikes on Iran are unlikely to produce results that were unable to be achieve in the first phase of military strikes prior to the questionable ceasefire. It is for this reason, that the conclusion can be drawn that Iran holds substantial leverage at the negotiating table with the United States. 13 millions barrels per day are being removed from the market. 20% of global fertilizer is not reaching the market at a critical time for food production. Every day that passes, Iran gains more leverage... and they know it. 11C) Conclusion: It is now clear that Donald Trump has two remaining options... neither of which are enviable. - Double down on military action, knowing full well that it will have significant domestic backlash in the United States, and still only amounts to the football equivalent of a Hail Mary. - Make significant concessions at the negotiating table, including several unsavory capitulations that will come to define his presidential legacy. He will certainly try to spin this as a win at home, but all but his most ardent supporters will see through this for what it is: a historic failure. That is what this conflict has boiled down to. A low-likelihood Hail Mary that would potentially only dig the hole deeper, or massive concessions that will forever define his presidency. I cannot say which path President Trump will choose, but it is irrefutable that he has failed in this Iran Conflict to an extent that it now looks increasingly likely that this will forever be his legacy. Failure.

@VaccineCourse @ColoRocko @BrettErickson28 *transfer money

@VaccineCourse @ColoRocko @BrettErickson28 Lol. Entirely illegal and many nations cannot legally transfer lonely to a designated terrorist organization. Non starter. Do you see many ships paying 2 million now? Why not?

@VaccineCourse @BrettErickson28 Are you lying or ignorant? They want hundreds of billions directly from the US as a precondition to even negotiate. Stop.

@alevsobe @BrettErickson28 Americans wouldn't pay reparations. Iran's plan is to get that from the $2MM tolls.

@VaccineCourse @Radar625148 @RJLDilkie @BrettErickson28 Way overhyping iran. Actual strikes caused limited damage; plants kept operating. GCC has storage for days/weeks, redundancy, dispersed sites. Iranian missiles bad CEP means one rarely disables a major complex. 1 night time frame is a crazy fantasy. Do better.

@alevsobe @Radar625148 @RJLDilkie @BrettErickson28 Iran has already issued desalination plant target lists and the undersea cables they would cut. For the desal plants it's just one missile each. They could destroy the ability for the Gulf countries to exist in literally a single night.

@War4theWest @hodgetwins Screaming about iq...you have to be insufferable in real life. Lol. Who brings up iq like this? Like no self awareness. Lol

@alevsobe @hodgetwins What you're sure of is what signals your lower IQ.

Y’all think Fuentes is really a fed??

@War4theWest @hodgetwins I said there was no rigged election. Liars, grifters, and morons think there was. But nice..."issues" no shit with 150m votes "You do not even know how to argue" Jesus christ I bet you think you're a genius. Shove your substack up your own ass, im not one of your rubes.

You do not even know how to argue. It's pathetic. As for the 2020 election, I published the reasons for my concerns in this article. open.substack.com/pub/warforthew… Again, you are in the minority if you don't think there were issues. My views are rational and evidence based. You? All you've got is a pose.

@War4theWest @hodgetwins Thanks for the tacit agreement you're wrong about both points. And im sure there is a strong correlation between those beliefs and iq

@alevsobe @hodgetwins Giggling. You are just a vicious jerk. Move along now. Guarantee my IQ is higher than your's fyi. You are not as intelligent as you think you are.

@SkwedaibagoI @MMOX991 @ShadowofEzra Relative peace aside form the occasional massacre and expulsion of jews. No big deal.

@MMOX991 @alevsobe @ShadowofEzra If your "Jewish homecoming" requires the expulsion of the people living there for generations, then it's illegitimate. Jews lived in Palestine in relative peace w/ Muslims & Christians for centuries. Palestinians welcomed the newcomers w/ open arms, then were BETRAYED & KILLED.

Dan Bilzerian tells Alex Jones that, if he were president, he would declare war on Israel, cut off all foreign aid, and let Iran obliterate Israel without U.S. involvement. “I would let the problem take care of itself.” “If we stop defending Israel, I think they would get what they deserve.”

@SendDopaminePls @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic Unceded? Does this mean it's not controlled by federal and provincial governments and that it's under the full control of indigenous people?

@alevsobe @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic I live on unceded land while fighting for decolonization and reconciliation. You live on ethnically cleansed land while genociding the people you stole it from. You can't possibly expect people to think these are the same thing.

🇺🇸🇵🇸 Shane Gillis at the Netflix Roast of Kevin Hart calls out Chelsea Handler for being a ZIonist Epstein associate: "Chelsea is a Zionist.. speaking of dead kids, she's a big fan of abortions. Chelsea's been scrapped more times than the grill at Benihana... speaking of tossing tiny shrimp into a child's mouth, Chelsea Handler went to dinner at Jeffrey Epstein's house in 2010. You can look it up, there's articles... Prince Andrew and Woody Allen were there"

@SendDopaminePls @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic No. You live on stolen land. You can move any time.

@alevsobe @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic "the same sin" literally the opposite, as I've explained.

@SendDopaminePls @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic You're fighting for jews to be displaced and killed for the same sin you choose to perpetuate every single day

@alevsobe @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic Again, I'm fighting for decolonization and reconciliation here in Canada. You're fighting for the opposite, in Israel. You keep pretending these are the same thing.

@SendDopaminePls @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic You mean they don't give a fuck about smug assholes living on stolen land demanding jews become homeless, dead, or subjecting themselves to Muslim rule? Blow me, you twisted fuck.

@alevsobe @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic By all accounts, most Jews in Israel don't give a fuck about fighting colonialism.

@SendDopaminePls @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic Hahaha. And jews in israel feel the same way. Go fuck yourself you disingenuous piece of shit. Enjoy your stolen land for me but not for thee bullshit life

@alevsobe @theteslarobot @HotSpotHotSpot @bSmithMagic Moving wouldn't have any impact on my ability to fight for colonialism.