Andrei

@Kathleen_Tyson_ @BakuninsT Thinking the mullahs are no military leaders is a special sort of braint rot.

@shanaka86 These ChatGPT wording and texts are so Annoying.

The USS Gerald R. Ford is not parked near Iran. It is parked off Israel. And nobody is asking the only question that matters: why. The $13.3 billion crown jewel of the US Navy, the largest warship ever constructed, just positioned itself off Haifa. Not in the Arabian Sea where the Lincoln sits 850 kilometers from Iranian shores loaded for offensive operations. Not in the Gulf where strike range is optimal. Off Israel. Defending Israel. This is not redundancy. This is architecture. Two carriers. Two missions. Two entirely different strategic functions. The Lincoln is the sword, positioned to launch strike packages into Iranian airspace within hours of an order. The Ford is the shield, its Aegis missile defense systems creating an umbrella over Israeli population centers against the retaliation that follows the first Tomahawk. America just split its carrier doctrine into offense and defense simultaneously. That has not happened since the Pacific theater in 1945. But the positioning reveals something deeper than tactics. When Iran retaliates, and every wargame says Iran retaliates, its missiles and drones fly toward Israel. They will fly through the same airspace where a US carrier strike group is now stationed. Every Iranian missile aimed at Tel Aviv or Haifa must traverse the Ford’s defensive envelope. Shooting at Israel means shooting at, around, and through an American carrier group. Iran cannot retaliate against Israel without engaging American naval assets. The Ford’s position makes that physically impossible. The carrier is not defending Israel as a favor. It is positioned so that any Iranian response to American strikes automatically becomes an attack on American forces, triggering the full unrestrained weight of US military response without a single additional political decision required. This is escalation insurance written in steel and seawater. If the campaign goes longer than planned, if munitions run thin in 7 to 10 days, if allies hesitate, the Ford’s position ensures that Iranian retaliation does the political work Washington cannot do alone: it transforms a limited American strike into an act of self-defense that no ally can refuse to support. You do not park a $13.3 billion carrier where the enemy’s return fire will hit it unless you want the enemy’s return fire to hit it. The Ford is not there to prevent escalation. The Ford is there to guarantee that if escalation comes, it comes on terms that make American restraint politically impossible and allied participation politically unavoidable.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@AmbDanFried @ConStelz @ACGeoEcon Can’t wait to see how the EU will sanction gulf monarchies ports. Spoiler: it will never happen.

1) Good for the EU (& hope they get there); 2) sanctions geeks will appreciate the EU finding virtue in the dreaded "secondary sanctions." @ACGeoEcon

He is spending a lot of time on pharma prices, housing, affordability issues. He is campaigning to his domestic audience. You can hear it in the way he uses his language and who he is trying to get this through. Carney addressed the Davos crowd. Trump is addressing Americans, specifically the average.

@ChrisO_wiki Think he is not referring to Iceland as sovereign nation but the aspect the Greenland is only a land full of ice.

When you're intent on conquering countries, it's usually a good idea to know which country it is you want to conquer

@nymoen_ole Also die Verhandlungssituation war wenn dann erst im Mai bzw. September 2022 besser nach dem die Russen an zahlreichen Frontabschnitten geschlagen und zurückgedrängt wurden.

Damit haben diese Leute die Ukraine in der Tat "verheizt", wie es im Podcast heißt. Im Frühjahr 2022 war die Verhandlungssituation besser, nun wurden Hunderttausende getötet oder verletzt und die Niederlage wird mutmaßlich schlimmer als ein früher Frieden gewesen wäre.

Was dieses Gespräch zwischen @JohannesVarwick und @MAStrackZi vor allem zeigt: Strack-Zimmermann ist eine kaputte Schallplatte ohne Bezug zu irgendeiner Realität. Das wäre fast lustig, ginge dieser Wahnsinn nicht über Hunderttausende fremde Leichen. youtu.be/hPkIGb20LA8?si…

@HandyGingerGal Move to the EU, banks have to offer instant transfers for free here thanks to EU regulations.

@jaegerthomas2 Weiß ja nicht ob’s ne Errungenschaft ist mein GDP mit service fees und explodierenden Kosten im Gesundheitssektor aufzublähen.

Jedes Wort.

The affordability crisis is an inequality crisis. When prices spike in key sectors, it's not just inflation—it's a massive redistribution shock that hits poor households hardest. In our **new working paper**, we identify the sectors that matter most. A 🧵scholarworks.umass.edu/entities/publi…

@_AashishReddy Financializing politics through bets results into decisions based on maximizing financial payouts instead of non-financial utility. Leading to massive corruption and societal welfare undesirable outcomes.

Haven’t seen a single person explain why they think this is bad

@RushDoshi The only solution is to increase domestic aggregate demand by increasing the wage share.

The only solution to this problem is allied scale — pooling allied markets and demand to create an alternative to China’s scale. Either that, or the West’s development goes into reverse.

@Obluda252 @DanielKral1 @HelenaHorska Why should a energy company decrease its prices? Why should an oil or gas producer reduce its prices?

@DanielKral1 @HelenaHorska Germany (and EU in general) needs cheap energy, instead of making it ever more expensive with absurd regulations and artifical price increases to support chimerea of insta-green. Everything else will follow naturally.

Hard to overstate the crisis engulfing the German economy - investment & goods exports in free fall, private consumption stagnant (despite higher population), only the size of government is growing. Energy prices, US tariffs, China shock 2.0 - Germany needs a new growth model.

Die Antwort darauf, sagt sie, können nur wir – die nachfolgende Generation – geben. Ihre Generation hat ihre Kämpfe um Führung bereits hinter sich. Jetzt sind wir dran, zu entscheiden, welche Art von Führung wir akzeptieren und ausführen wollen. (7/7)

Dabei stellt sie eine provokante Frage: Soll sich die junge, nachwachsende Generation an Figuren wie dem New Yorker Bürgermeister Mamdani orientieren – als neues Vorbild für Führung? (6/7)

Auf der German American Student Conference @Harvard nahm Diplomatin und ehemalige US-Vizeaußenministerin Wendy Sherman in ihrer Eröffnungsrede die Teilnehmenden als eine junge, zukünftig führende Generation in die Pflicht. 🧵 (1/7)

@Spreebabylon Ausstoß von Vulkanen sind gemittelt über die Jahre quasi konstant. Da ändert ein ausbraucht mehr oder weniger rein gar nicht. Ständig steigende globale menschgemachte Ausstöße jedoch schon.

Klimawandel für Deppen in einfacher Sprache: Ätna, 30 Sekunden = mehr Schadstoffe als die Gesamte EU in einem Jahr an Kohle- und Gaskraftwerken. Is ja blöd jetzt🤔