Axel

@midwit_capital Github != gitlab. What’s the thesis for $GTLB?

GitHub service availability is a product in shortage. $GTLB

@rubicon59 It’s a low liquidity Twitter pump atm. Think they need more operating momentum otherwise it’s completely speculative

If $CGEH starts getting DC orders which they are all-out pursuing, the current val will look small. But no guarantees.

@HedgeyeComm I think in the short term you might have a higher natural rate of employment if advances in robotics/ai happen quick enough, but I think over time people will migrate / retrain into careers that are more resilient to being completely replaced by ai

Imagine the amount of permanent job less that is going to happen in the next recession? Shouldn't the natural rate of unemployment be structurally higher now with AI? Fire 10 people, hire back 3 and replace the other 3 with AI/agent (who combined are more productive than the initial 10)...

@blondesnmoney $psix?

The one day I turn bbg alerts off so I can relax something dips 20% and then bounces right back.

@BustedAuction crazy pace but didn’t John Malone do this in the 80s?… not unheard of

Took a recruiter call. Role is for someone to run m&a for PE backed co. Looking for someone who has experience closing 1 to 2 add-ons a month. Is that realistic? I’ve nvr heard of that sort of velocity across the 3 pe funds and 2 ibs I’ve worked at. Seems FAST

@ACapitalLP Skimmed it, but construction delays seem pretty prominent. Can’t seem to stick a timeline

@Amph0ra1 @AyyouEm Fee is split between the investment banks and lawyers no?

@AyyouEm the lesson from all this: I should've been a lawyer

@PaxDex_Research Why $NICE vs any other customer support firm eg $VRST or $CNXC? $CNXC is crazy cheap at 4.77 forward P/E

@ACapitalLP Fair point haha

@ACapitalLP Think $GRAL is worth to short?

@KyleAdamsStocks @mardowone @SeekingAlpha Perfect, thanks!

@axel_malone @mardowone Do you have @SeekingAlpha? Good last article on there.

$ALAR Q2 numbers in just a few weeks. G2 reviews almost to 100. 86 full time employees, which is 8 more than 2 weeks ago. 6 new job postings on their LinkedIn. Attending more conferences. Building two new products. Hiring sales people from Bright Data. I’m having a hard time seeing how they don’t crush their Q2. Alarum Technologies at $34-35 is a gift when you zoom out long term.

@KyleAdamsStocks @mardowone What’s the thesis on $CREX? Any good reads on it?

If $ALAR executes like I expect then $60+ at least within 12 months, and potentially much higher. $CREX I believe $7 in 12 months is a fair guess, and conservative, although if they execute extremely well the next few quarters, then maybe higher. The $10 analyst price target is a little too aggressive IMO

@KyleAdamsStocks @StockSavvyShay Would you mind sharing a model? I'm having trouble getting to those numbers for FY 2024

@axel_malone @StockSavvyShay The analyst numbers are wrong. It’s my own estimate of $2.00 EPS at least.

What is your largest holding right now?

@KyleAdamsStocks @StockSavvyShay Where is your forward earnings metric from? Can't find any actual guidance from IR

@StockSavvyShay $ALAR By far the best software company to own. Their software is growing triple digit revenue growth, net retention 166%, trades at under 20x forward earnings, and has really strong cash flow.

@JCharlesAssets Where do you find forward PE? Management doesn't issue guidance for the year

$ALAR Is a hidden gem in the same space as $CRWD that offers #data collection tools for enterprises. The stock trades at an 18x Forward PE with expected revenue to grow a whopping 90% next year. Starting position confirmed here.

I really don't see $CPRI trading higher until we have better clarity on the hearing in september. Until it's clear that the FTC has no case, I think we see the stock trading around earnings, with an embeded option to reflect the merger

@HotDogCap @JonLitt @Elliottinvmgmt $FYBR - Jana. Earnings should be interesting, hopefully they'll provide an update on the strategic review

@acemoney21 @dalibali2 Quebec has some of the cheapest power in NA, I think that's going to have a bigger influence on data center location than land costs

@dalibali2 that’s a good point. also really cold temps there which may help power/heat issue altho i think that’s we’ll known re:US energy policy. that changes and then plenty of land you can argue to take that capacity and build in some of the most rural areas for ex new mexico ?

Any reason why Canada can’t just becomes the NA data center farm?

@ragingbullcap Isn't there the risk the Alteria folds Cronos without compensating shareholders once cannabis gets the legal go-ahead ? They only need to acquire 9% to have a controlling stake.

$CRON "an industry where so much capital has been incinerated...that the capacity for investors to rationally assess risk/reward has been fundamentally compromised." Latest piece on Cronos Group now up at link in bio.

@ContrarianCurse What's the thesis for XBI?