Ben Hatch

@EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist I think it holds up pretty well. If anything, the effect would probably be further reduced because of better prep from both sides on specifically troublesome matchups

@benarhatch @DerekCarty @EricLindquist Appreciate it — actually think I have a copy and will take a look! A bit dated tho at this point, no?

Hi. This is your yearly reminder that BvP is meaningless and should not in any way be a part of your process. Carry on!

@EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist "The Book" by Tom Tango has a section about it

@DerekCarty @EricLindquist Man why are you being passive aggressive lmao I am begging anyone to give me something to read about it

My top 50 players in MLB for 2026. Explanations for ranks 26-50 below! #1-25 are covered in an earlier post.

@CBSScottWhite I'm down

Need some participants for a 12-team H2H points mock tonight at 8:30 ET (yes, during the game -- sorry). Should take about 90 minutes. If you know the format and don't mind dividing your attention, let me know. I'll pick my favorites this afternoon.

@MichaelSalfino I was hoping Edwin Diaz would get to me

Here's my #TGFBI league draft so far. It's hard to feel too good or too bad at this point of a draft. I have a lot of speed so far. Average power.

@James_Schiano buying everywhere

looking at the data and simply laughing

Part 1 of my top 50 players out now! Link below. open.substack.com/pub/benarhatch… Most of the code for the ranking graphic is from the @TJStats pitching summary.

@JustBB_Media @The_CallUpPod Griffin, McGonigle, McLean, Made, Emerson

Happy Top 100 Prospects Day! Predict Just Baseball’s Top 5 prospects for the 2026 season IN ORDER and we’ll send someone who gets it a Just Baseball hat ⬇️

The draft: benarhatch.substack.com/p/2026-expansi…

I simulated a full MLB expansion draft (70 picks in total!) with short explanations for each pick. Link below.

@TJStats Didier Fuentes

I am updating my Top 100 Prospect list and wanted to hear some of your thoughts: Who is a prospect who you think doesn't get enough love on prospect lists?

@GiraffeNeckMarc Nolan McLean is a top 10 pitcher next year

🚨 MLB OFFSEASON HOT TAKES 🚨 Reply with your hottest take about the MLB offseason for a chance to be featured in the next Buy or Sell on my YouTube channel this weekend 🔥

@LouisAnalysis He's going to feast

Nolan McLean's 2026 could look like this: 155 IP 3.18 ERA 29.7% K% 8.2% BB% 1.08 WHIP 55.3% GB% McLean is so complete already: - Elite GB% ✅ - Plus Whiff% ✅ - 4 pitches w/xBA below .220 ✅ - 4 pitches w/Whiff% over 30% ✅ Only thing to watch is the 23.4% Chase%.

@YankeeWRLD Tucker's projections seem consistently way too low - he was elite the past two years before fluke injuries. I'd give him 12/450 at minimum.

Top 25 free agents and their contract projections according to Baseball America: 1) Kyle Tucker - 11 years / $360 million 2) Bo Bichette - 8 / 240 3) Framber Valdez - 7 / 220 4) Alex Bregman - 6 / 180 5) Pete Alonso - 7 / 175 6) Dylan Cease - 5 / 160 7) Shane Bieber - 5 / 150 8) Cody Bellinger - 6 / 175 9) Gleyber Torres - 7 / 160 10) Kyle Schwarber - 3 / 110 11) Edwin Diaz - 6 / 125 12) Munetaka Murakami - 7 / 140 13) Trent Grisham - 5 / 130 14) Trevor Story - 4 / 110 15) Michael King - 4 / 110 16) Eugenio Suarez - 3 / 75 17) Kazuma Okamoto - 5 / 85 18) Josh Naylor - 6 / 120 19) Ranger Suarez - 3 / 75 20) Devin Williams - 4 / 75 21) Brandon Woodruff - 1 / 27.5 22) Zac Gallen - 2 / 45 23) Jack Flaherty - 3 / 72 24) Ryan Helsley - 4 / 170 25) Lucas Giolito - 3 / 65

Happy that I got my first @TGFBI win in my second attempt, especially with it coming down to the wire against @markblakemore! Also was honored to face @PitcherList - no one has taught me more about how to analyze the game.

@PaMaBoysandDogs @JLucroy20 Goodhart's law!

@JLucroy20 I wonder if the numbers show the result but are useless in predicting the result. Like the result we get when people are in front of the camera and unwittingly change their behavior. When we aim for those analytical outcomes something else happens instead.

The difference being that guys who played the game understand that it's a process to achieve the result. A to B to C to....Z. You can use the results to refine the process along the way. That's why numbers are a tool that can be used.

@MLBRandomStats Brian Lara's Test runs in an innings comes to mind. Beat it by a similar margin (6%) just a few months after his prior record was beaten.

It’s preseason so doesn’t count, but kinda absurd when a record gets broken by this much (reg season record is 66yds!). Any other recent examples of something like this in any sport?

@GreenfieldMax18 Reminiscent of A-Rod's odd vs. even lead debate

Duh.?

@James_Schiano 20T H2H Pts

I’m reviewing and roasting fantasy baseball teams for my next YouTube video Drop a screenshot of your team right here for a chance to be featured in it Have to include your league size and type of scoring for your team to be in the video Let me see those teams 👇👇👇