Smo

@Cryptopathic finally the cyberpunk future we deserve is materializing

imagine waiting on 3 confirmations as an autonomous swarm of shaheds flies towards you

Wow 🤯 I just used this guy's OpenClaw skill repo and made an agentic swarm that farms perpdex arbitrage and volume while avoiding (visualized by grey blocks) negative -PnL It's been running for about half a day and did over 480k in volume across 3 different perpdexes and made me $140..so far! You are missing out if you're not building apps with AI.

@MrOziPM It seems you forgot a link to your profiles on Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t offer refunds, so there's no crying in the casino But what Polymarket does offer is a ton of money to the people who spend time learning the skill In less than 1.5 year, I've made $400k on Polymarket (Started with $15k) Actually started from $5k because I lost $10k on my first bet... (Then I decided to learn from my mistakes) I’ve persisted. I’ve journaled and reflected. I wrote my mistakes and hanged them on the wall behind my screen, read them every day Turned the casino experience into a money-making investment machine Anyone can make one big win every now and then, but what really counts is improving step by step. Making better and better decisions overall. Becoming a consistent trader who knows how the markets actually work Understanding what the sharpest traders have long understood Proud to announce that I have created a course outlining everything you need to start learning prediction markets. 40 chapters on all the important topics. No bullshit In fact, we are building the largest prediction market education community. Live calls. Community chats and support I have built all this together with another trader. Actually one of the best ever - he's Top 10 of all... @iabvek (he’s made $2m this year alone) Wether you're a beginner with 0 understanding for how prediction markets work, someone who's already trading on prediction markets, or a sharp simply looking to join a community, this is the place to be Big things are coming - The PredictLab Link in bio to gain access

@boneGPT >you'll be in a state of permanent rug, where everything you expect is a money losing opportunity as they rig reality against you That's exactly what's already happening, may at least attempt to make some profit

you have no idea how bad society gets when prediction markets become sufficiently liquid you'll be in a state of permanent rug, where everything you expect is a money losing opportunity as they rig reality against you the people who care whether they are 90% accurate or 99% accurate are cancer on our society

I go to sister for Christmas. Her husband is Matthias. German. Works in 'Compliance.' He ask: 'Where you pay tax?' I say: 'Nowhere. You don't pay tax on gambling winnings.' He stares. 'Gambling?' I say: 'Yes. Market is just big casino. I am professional coin-flipper. Winnings are tax-free. It is not income, it is miracle.' He starts shaking like washing machine with brick inside. He grabs phone. Speed Dial #1 is 'Finanzamt.' Brate, normal man has Kum on #1, Dealer on #2. Calling tax man on Christmas is mental illness. Next morning at Frankfurt, customs stop me. '300 illegal films on laptop.' I laugh. 'Officer, I do not watch movies. I watch candles.' But they take passport. I am stuck in Germany. Matthias thinks he wins. But he is amateur. Now I am stuck in state hotel. Free bed. Free heating. Food is boiled potato, but free. I have no distraction. No family dinner. No talking. No kids. I trade 19 hours a day. Portfolio is up 400%. And in Germany, privacy law is higher than God. Matthias planted evidence? My lawyer is laughing. Matthias will lose job, lose pension, and pay for my bets the next 20 years.

My wife’s brother is a “digital nomad” whatever this means He works remotely and travels the world During Christmas dinner I asked where he pays taxes He said “nowhere” My hands started to shake Not only he destroys climate mindlessly travelling without a reason but also cheats on his own government I stood up and left the dinner table sweating from anger My wife followed me She found me holding my Siemens cell phone with 1 pressed (I have my local tax authority on speed dial) “Baby stop, he’s just living his life” “He is a criminal” I said She looked at me with her begging eyes “Honey please let it go” I put the phone down and hugged her Later that night while he slept I took his laptop I uploaded 300 pirated German erotic films on it Then emailed an anonymous tip to the German anti-piracy enforcement Three weeks later he was detained at Frankfurt airport, his passport seized He’s stuck in Germany now Can’t leave until the case is resolved Maybe my hands got a little dirty, but my European conscious is clear

@Marko_Poly @allodev @StandX_Official It is

@allodev @StandX_Official I thought the most anticipated launch was Lighter

Polymarket predicts @StandX_Official to launch above $800M, meaning that it's one of the most anticipated perps launches right now It's likely to launch until March 31 next year which could potentially be in a better market environment 👀 How do you think this will play out?

@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade I am running these strategies and I make a billion dollars a month

Programmers are klilling Polymarket. Fully automated $1M+/month. They make $1M a month because they’re smarter and faster than everyone else. This is already happening. Most people just don’t see it yet. Everyone talks about “alpha”, narratives, insider info. But the real edge on Polymarket right now is code. I used to think Polymarket was just another prediction casino. I was wrong. Programmers are deploying bots that scan markets every second, looking for mispriced probabilities, broken correlations, and structural inefficiencies humans simply can’t react to fast enough: > When YES + NO costs less than $1 — they don’t hesitate. > When correlated markets diverge — they hedge instantly. > When spreads appear — they farm them thousands of times per day. This arbitrage bot account made $250K in one month: > @distinct-baguette?via=igor-mikerin" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@distinct-bagu… This trader uses statistical arbitrage and made over $500K in a single month doing almost nothing: > @Sharky6999?via=igor-mikerin" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@Sharky6999?vi… This trader runs AI probability models and made $1M in one month: > @ilovecircle?via=igor-mikerin" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@ilovecircle?v… Some of these bots execute millions of trades. Programmers are simply more efficient than regular humans. Have you already used code to trade on Polymarket?

No measeals report is a lock brate. But not because they hide it. RFK does not respect it. In the Balkans, when child gets spots, Baba Vanga says: 'Good, the demons are leaving the skin.' We do not write report to government. We rub child with Rakia and wait. That's how it works in the US now too.

This is horseshit. Christmas miracle my ass I hate this game. Now I just need - Eleven to die in stranger things. - All I want for Christmas is you to NOT be the song of the day today - measles cases to be not reported && we make it all back!!!

@gavelsvtw @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Wen National Bank of Serbia?

Polymarket just got hit by a wave of banks And no, this isn’t random Today, a cluster of new markets went live on @Polymarket All focused on bank decisions - rate moves - policy calls - institutional actions Too coordinated to be noise This feels intentional A few months ago, Polymarket quietly started to develop economic/finance markets First came stocks Then broader economic questions Now we’re seeing full-on banking decisions turned into tradable markets - Brazil - Australia - Canada - Colombia - Korea - Mexica - Swiss Polymarket added banks from all over the world Banks don’t usually get this kind of spotlight in prediction markets They’re slow, opaque, and hard to price Which is exactly why this matters Polymarket isn’t chasing memes here It’s testing whether traders can price institutional behavior in real time Call it an attack, call it an experiment, call it the next phase Either way, this isn’t normal activity It’s Polymarket moving one step closer to becoming a real-time map of global finance Is that a next step for Polymarket being absolutely everywhere?

@Param_eth we call that keeping it in the family

Insiders are the biggest problem. This is also the problem with "prediction markets". See how this Netflix insider made $35k in just 24 hours on Polymarket.

Vitalik is right. Media screams: 'INVASION IMMINENT!' You get scared. You bet YES. Market says: 0.4% chance. You get confused. Why? Because I just got WhatsApp from my cousin Pavel on the front line. He sold the tank motor to scrap yard for €500. Then he bought whiskey for the Commander. Now they are both drunk singing folk songs in the barracks. Tank does not start. Commander cannot stand up. War is cancelled. I win your liquidity. Pavel keeps engine money. World gets peace. You call this Corruption? I call this Effective Altruism. You are welcome.

this is one of the clearest explanations of why prediction markets matter that I’ve seen. Vitalik is basically saying: > prediction markets aren’t about gambling, they’re about forcing accountability into beliefs. > on social media, people get rewarded for being loud, extreme, and wrong. whereas on prediction markets, you get punished for being wrong and that flips incentives completely. > what’s powerful here is the idea that markets discipline narratives. you can scream "this will definitely happen" on X and get likes, but the moment you have to put money behind it, uncertainty suddenly matters. that’s why prediction markets feel healthier than most info ecosystems: > lies are costly > confidence has a price > reality settles arguments they don’t eliminate misinformation, but they price and that alone makes them one of the most honest coordination tools we’ve ever built.

Stop laughing at 'Trader M.' That is Trader M(iroslav). It is December 24. Year end is coming. He holds cash he cannot explain, and he needs 'clean' source of funds immediately. He bet $20k on market that is basically already resolved. He lose on 'dirty' wallet, he take profit on 'clean' wallet. Zero fee. 100% paper trail. Now he tell tax man: 'I am just lucky genius on internet.' This is oldest trick in Balkans.

An “ignorant deer” - degen, with the nickname trader-M joined Polymarket three days ago, but even in that short time managed to burn over $20k. All because he bet on a dispute in the “Trump release more Epstein files” market, where, in fact, Polymarket has already issued a decision and all that remains is to wait for the UMA vote. Basically, the market is resolving as YES in about a day and a half, but that didn’t stop him. He threw all his dollars into the whale furnace to make Christmas a bit more “exciting.” I’m always amazed where these idiots come from, but every time there are more and more new “horned heroes.” 😂His profile: @trader-M?via=view" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@trader-M?via=…

People building bots and talking about microstructure. That's great, but do you know about Mirko-Structure? My Brate Mirko works at the data centre and he installed our server right next to the Polymarket server. Try to beat that.

@0xd1namit @Polymarket nobody is actually writing them it's all engagement farming

Now everyone suddenly started writing their own @Polymarket bots and posting code screenshots everywhere Honestly it looks like McDonald’s dropped a new toy and everyone ran to buy it at the same time You always have to remember: if everyone is doing the same thing at once, you won’t be able to make money from it anymore You have to search for alpha, there’s no other way. Especially in such market conditions

@ZEITFinance Slow bots don't stand a chance in this environment

@tsybka @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this will finance my new year steak dinner

Degens are so desperate in the market for Maduro potentially leaving power by Dec 31 that they’re literally willing to give away NO shares at 96c, which comes out to over 540% APY. In my opinion, Maduro stepping down within such a short time frame of 8 days is impossible. My NO bet was placed much earlier, but the fact remains - SafeMaduro. Polymarket is the kind of place where money is literally falling on your head from everywhere.

@gemchange_ltd @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade This bot meta ai slop is driving me mad, how did you come up with any of these figures lmao? 85ms latency? Could even play counterstrike with that, that is not hft brother

devs are making $10k-200k monthly on polymarket no they're not lol here's what those threads don't tell you zero fees = zero friction for HFT shops to eat your lunch. In an efficient market, these simple arbitrage opportunities are fleeting at best. High-frequency trading bots and sophisticated arbitrage algorithms continuously scan for such discrepancies, capturing profits within milliseconds. You're not competing with other python hobbyists You're competing with rust bots running on dedicated polygon nodes with sub-millisecond execution. That "simple python script" from twitter? For Python systems, these numbers were more in the 250-500 microsecond range per message, meanwhile actual HFT systems in rust/c++? Processing time per quote message is about 12 microseconds. that's 20-40x slower before you even place an order. what you actually need: - dedicated polygon RPC nodes (public ones rate-limit you into irrelevance). 99.99% uptime, 100% healthy nodes in production, and average latency max 86.5 ms for premium infrastructure - VPS colocated near polymarket servers. Ultra-low latency and physically close to Polymarket's servers - Code written in rust. There's literally a polymarket-hft crate optimized for trading scenarios requiring fast execution - Proper quant algorithms you can't vibecode because garbage collection is extremely useful during development but often sub-optimal for certain high frequency trading strategies so those "$200k/month" traders? They exist. They're the top 0.5% and they're running infrastructure that costs more than your yearly salary.

@igor_mikerin @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade this is completely false, stop making up stories

AI will kill Polymarket. $2.2M in 2 months using probability models. This news is going to blow up the internet. Polymarket trader made $2.2M in just 2 months using AI. His account is traded entirely by a bot. I’ve heard plenty of stories about AI trading bots before, and almost all of them turned out to be scams or didn’t work properly. But this case is different and honestly I’m shocked. He uses AI probability models, training machine learning to estimate real odds based on news and social media data. If his model says an outcome has a 60% chance, while the market prices it at 50% (50¢), he buys because the market is mispricing it. According to his profile: > @ilovecircle?via=igor-mikerin" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@ilovecircle?v… His prediction accuracy is 74%. That’s insane. He runs an ensemble of 10 AI models that retrain themselves every week to stay up to date. What do you think about this? This feels like the new reality.

@polydao @antigravity @PolymarketTrade x.com/ZEITFinance/st… Read this bro

Sat down to build an arbitrage bot for Polymarket 🤖 Using Google's @antigravity (subscription already paid), and… it's been harder than expected The good news: – The bot works – Finds arbitrage setups – Sends transactions The bad part: Execution is brutal Often it manages to buy YES, but the NO leg fails - someone else fills the order faster, liquidity shifts, and the edge disappears mid-trade Classic speed war So yeah, lots of edge in theory, but practice is messy Going to keep digging into latency, order timing, and execution logic Please share your advice in the comments More updates soon

@0xinternetchild I meant I don't have a small dick lol

@predictibull I mean it's just executing your trade right so you get the best price you could

Valuable article on the execution part of predicted markets As prediction markets expand a lot domain experts are attracted by the promise of making money on what they already study The idea is good but micro-execution is usually where new participants stumble