Jo

2.8K posts

Jo

Jo

@bigmelon

California, USA Katılım Nisan 2009
502 Takip Edilen215 Takipçiler
Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
Never say never. But the way it is going, India is not on the path to become like China. Like in all things, timing is everything. 1. The era of mass manufacturing move from countries to countries in search of lower labor cost, like it has done for the last 60-70 years is likely to end in 5-10 years. AI/Humanoid robots like Optimus/Figure and China made robots like Unitree will end it. The manufacturing will relocate only in small scale and use mostly robots supervised by a few people, producing insufficient manufacturing jobs for a country with large population like India. 2. LLM is already killing programmer jobs and customer service jobs support the west in scale. Both industries were the cash cows for India. They are being decimated now. 3. India has almost no natural resources and exports nothing significant to elevate its economy. Honestly I don’t see how India can dig itself out of this hole. In fact its GDP per capita sank below Bangladesh last year.
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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
I believe in India because I saw China transform in a way that I never thought possible. Yeah the buildings and trains are amazing, but the way people behaved changed completely. If China could, why can’t India? People blame genetics for behaviors that are driven by culture and incentives. India has a lot of disadvantages that China did not have: - more chaotic government - more languages, less national identity - AI poses a greater threat to their industries But India also has advantages that China did not have: - better English language skills (also can be a negative) - more accomplished diaspora who can return - rising in an era without a clear hegemonic power The things I see people mock India for, I saw firsthand in tier 3 city China 15 years ago. I watched a chef drop a wok of rice on the floor and put the rice right back into the wok. I saw a pile of manure that got dumped in the downtown. Broken glass and sharp wires at neck height everywhere. Gutter oil! Restaurants cooking with used oil from other restaurants. Is India more dysfunctional in states like Bihar than this? Yes, but I think they can fix it, just needs time, education, and different incentives. Will they match China? No one will ever, but they can be unique and great in their own Indian way.
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart

The 7 major ways China has changed between 2019 and 2024

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NutriScience
NutriScience@Nutri_Science_·
Japanese scientists just discovered shocking news about grey hair. It’s literally your body choosing survival over cancer. Here’s everything you need to know (& how to keep your hair dark):
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@Tz_2022 都会翻墙的人还会上这么粗浅的当实在是让人有点难以置信,难道欺骗对象是海外的华人?
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@Molson_Hart I don’t know what those followers are thinking. I get more value from following you than 99% accounts I follow.
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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
I have lost about 400 followers recently. Those of you who remain can learn this wonderful mental model:
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
真TM给力,王外长威武。
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@Tsla99T 我用了一个月,也就是和平常一样用,基础费+里程数,结果比之前的的GEICO还贵了1/3,准备换了它,Lemonade 里程数每mile 保费太高了,我的是0.18 per mile, 也就是开100mile, 另外多18刀,赶上油费了吧。按里程数起码要低到0.10以下我才会考虑。
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TSLA99T
TSLA99T@Tsla99T·
我就纳闷, FSD保险半价这么大的折扣,在AZ和OR推出后岂不是应该卖爆了,所有特斯拉FSD车主都无脑入?但是都2个多月了怎么没听说什么具体案例呢?弄了半天,它在价格上都和传统保险公司没有竞争力,也就是说,他的全价至少是竞争对手的2倍多。那它的AI作用到哪里了呢?如此不透明的价格体系,是不是在利用特斯拉呢?我现在好奇,它对其他车的保费是多少,不会比特斯拉还低吧?
Wei@Ambulocetusz

@Tsla99T @Lemonade_Inc 我98%FSD,在Oregon quote了一下lemonade,发现价格并不比我现在的state farm便宜,感觉就是噱头。还有就是为什么lemonade能用AI,传统state farm geico不能用AI?lemonade我觉得并无优势

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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@wsl8297 求分享🙏
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Joruno
Joruno@wsl8297·
最近开始疯狂做自媒体、搞流量、营销自己。 亲身经历告诉我:流量这东西,带来的机会你根本想不到。 先推荐个手册《流量的本质与暴力》,看完你会重新认识流量这件事。
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@guishou_56 实测GLM-5V turbo,不错。
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Niko
Niko@guishou_56·
这几天ClaudeCode 彻底恶心到我了 说了句 hello,扣了 2% 额度,还偷摸清空缓存,加速token消耗 中转站那边也没好到哪去——要么一堆报错,要么发个请求等半天没反应 于是乎我直接转投了GLM,惹不起我还躲不起吗? 实测下来,基本和 CC 大差不差 任务大多数一遍过,没出现过返工 日常的前端和文案,GLM 够用了,重度开发的活交给 Codex 国产平替这个事,我本来以为还要等几年 感觉,已经到了
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
苹果 50 周年 从 #iPod 早期到 #iPhone 面世,我职业生涯最关键的时光都在这里。 留下的不只是产品与团队,更是苹果的思考方式。 几十年依然适用的心得: 1. 先想用户,再想技术。 2. 专注就是一切,懂得拒绝比懂得做更重要。 3. 硬件、软件、服务必须一体。 4. 细节决定产品。 5. 充分辩论,全力落地。 6. 为长远而造。 技术在变,底层逻辑不变。 能赢的公司,永远是做出人们离不开的产品。 致敬每一位参与苹果首个50年的人!🙌 -Tony Fadell(托尼·法德尔) 美国工程师、企业家、产品创新者,iPod 之父、iPhone 联合设计者、Nest 智能家居创始人。
Tony Fadell@tfadell

50 years of @Apple From the early days of the #iPod to bringing the #iPhone into the world, some of the most formative years of my career were spent there. The products and teams stay with you. But more importantly so does how Apple thinks. A few lessons that have held true for decades: 1) Start with the user, not the tech. The question isn’t “what can we build?” but “what problem actually matters?” 2) Focus is everything. Apple is defined as much by what it says no to as what it builds. 3) End-to-end matters. Hardware, software, services. It all has to work together. 4) Details are the product. What feels small is what users remember. 5) Debate hard. Commit fully. 6) Build for the long term. We’re in another moment of massive technological change. The fundamentals haven’t changed. The companies that win build things people actually use and can’t imagine living without. Congrats to everyone who has been part of Apple’s first 50 years! 🙌

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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@AriXZone 洋洋洒洒一大篇文章可以浓缩成一句话,一个是搞软件的,一个是搞货运的。
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魔都老猿
魔都老猿@AriXZone·
腾讯和京东的财报也出来了。 腾讯一年收入7500多亿,净利润2200多亿,利润率接近30%。员工只有11万多,人均一年创造利润200万左右。 这种赚钱能力,说白了就是印钱。 也只有互联网这种行业,才能干出这种事情。放到现实世界里,几乎没有对手。 再看京东。 一年收入1.3万亿,比腾讯还高,但净利润只有200亿左右,利润率连2%都不到。员工却有90万,相当于腾讯的八倍,人均利润也就几万块。 这才是绝大多数企业的真实样子。 腾讯干的是纯互联网生意,游戏、广告、社交,本质都是数字产品。一套东西做出来,可以无限复制,卖100份和卖1亿份,成本差不了多少,后面的基本都是利润。 京东干的是另一种活,仓储、物流、配送、供应链,全是实打实的现实世界。每多一单,就多一份成本,多用人、多用车、多用仓库,这种东西不可能有高利润。 腾讯这种公司,说白了,是建立在“人可以不干正事”的时间之上的。 你不玩游戏、不刷视频、不聊天,腾讯也不会影响你活着。 但你一旦有空、有情绪、有社交需求,它就出现了,然后把这一切变成钱。 它赚的不是刚需的钱,是人性的钱。 而京东完全相反。 它赚的不是你想不想花的钱,而是你必须要花的钱。 吃的、用的、生活里的每一件东西,都要经过类似它这样的系统。
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@JourneymanChina 赞成,毛比赢政的难度起码高一个量级,光长征的难度就超过赢政经历的困难度。
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Journeyman
Journeyman@JourneymanChina·
从对历史的功绩来说, 毛和嬴政是中国历史独一档, 对中华民族都是开创性的 但从掌握最高权力途径的磨难和危险来说, 嬴政真的和毛没法比, 为什么?在此分析如下: 两人权力的获取难度存在“维度级”的差异: 1.基业储备: 嬴政是“继承者”,坐享秦国六世积累的强盛国力,是在成熟体制上的最后收割;毛是“开创者”,在废墟中白手起家,从无到有建立武装与政权。 2.生存容错: 嬴政拥有天然的合法性,失败通常只是权力更迭;毛身处生死边缘,长征等极限环境意味着肉体与事业的随时毁灭,容错率极低。 3.使命难度: 嬴政完成的是同种文化下的政治统一;毛则是在半殖民地的危局中,完成了从农业文明到工业文明、从旧社会到新中国的文明重塑。 总结: 嬴政是“顺势而为”的集大成者,终结了割据; 毛是“逆天改命”的破局者,扭转了国运。 这种从“绝对虚无”到“改天换地”的磨难, 使两者的权力含金量完全不同。
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@kooka2025 @colinwu 本末倒置。限韩令也许加快了他们国际化的道路,但国际化的课题对K-Pop肯定是迟早的事。 现在K-pop是全世界减中国,没有限韩令的结果就是全世界➕中国。 更重要的是限韩令把k-pop 文化隔离在国外对青少年成长绝对是一件好事。K-pop 就是垃圾。
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kooka2025
kooka2025@kooka2025·
@colinwu 限韩令功不可没 所谓杀不死我的 令我更强大 如果14亿市场没丢 轻松吃个几十年没问题 没有进步动力
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Colin Wu
Colin Wu@colinwu·
突然在想,韩国好像是唯一一个非英语母语、却持续输出全球级别顶级偶像的国家? 比如 blackpink,全球完全不同文化的人群都为他们疯狂,为什么能做到? 工业化生产培养的全球审美的最大化公约数?算法时代的最优偶像?
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@Molson_Hart The optimism when Trump was reelected was incredible in his voters, that’s why he won a super majority. But it has proved to be short lived.
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molson 🧠⚙️
molson 🧠⚙️@Molson_Hart·
America is craving optimism it can truly believe in so badly right now.
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Jo retweetledi
苏里格
苏里格@szslg·
只能说像特朗普这样边打仗边炒股的,上次看到还是蒋介石。
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Jo@bigmelon·
@Soulogic 展开讲讲,怎么从反贼的错路找回来的😃
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Jo@bigmelon·
@EZFIX_ 欲买桂花同载酒,终不似,少年游。
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EZFIX
EZFIX@EZFIX_·
味儿不对了
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
太喜欢这段话了。 采访者问:“你是那种热爱胜利的人,还是讨厌失败的人?” 科比回答: “我都不是。我打球是为了弄清楚事情,为了学习东西。因为如果你带着对失败的恐惧去打球,或者带着超越恐惧的求胜意志去打球,我认为这两种都是弱点。如果你带着害怕失败的心态,你就会向那种恐惧屈服。如果你带着‘我想赢,我想赢’的心态,那么你就会害怕万一没赢会怎样。但如果你在中间找到共同点,你就不会被任何一方所动摇。这能让你专注于当下,除了眼前的事情之外,不会感受到其他任何东西。”
Jaynit@jaynitx

Kobe Bryant: "Failure doesn't exist, it's a figment of your imagination" An interviewer asks: "Are you someone who loves to win or hates to lose?" Kobe responds: "I'm neither. I play to figure things out. I play to learn something. Because if you play with a fear of failure or you play with the will to win that supersedes fear, I think it's a weakness either way. If you play with fear of failing, you'll capitulate to that fear. If you play with the sense of 'I want to win, I want to win,' then you have the fear of what happens if you don't. But if you find common ground in the center, you're unfazed by either. That enables you to stay in the moment and not feel anything other than what's in front of you." The interviewer asks: "How did you become someone who doesn't seem afraid of failing?" Kobe responds: "What does failure mean? It doesn't exist. It's a figment of your imagination." He explains with an analogy: "Let's use happy endings. Everybody wants a happy ending, right? Snow White finds her prince and lives happily ever after. Well, I call BS on that because two months later, they had an argument and he's sleeping on the couch. The point is: the story continues. So if you fail on Monday, the only way it's a failure is if you decide to not progress from that. If I fail today, I'm going to learn something from that failure and try again on Tuesday. That's why failure doesn't exist." The interviewer asks: "If you finished your career without a championship, would you have looked at that as a failure?" Kobe: "No. I would look at it as being extremely disappointed, because I had a dream and goals I wanted to accomplish. If I didn't accomplish those goals, I'd have to ask myself why. Poor leadership? Failure to communicate with my teammates? Lack of preparation? Those would be reasons why I didn't win. So I'd have to analyze that. And as I evolved post-basketball into business, those same weaknesses would reveal themselves there too. If I don't learn from that, I'm going to struggle again." He concludes: "I can take those situations and learn from them and have them make me a better person later in life. But if I don't take that stuff and apply it someplace else, that's failing. The worst possible thing you can ever do is to stop. It's to not learn."

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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
钱老真的是百年一出的科学天才,1992年已经预见了现在的科技几大趋势. 1. 人工智能 AI 2. 灵境 VR 3. 人机结合 NueralLink. 4. 信息技术 IT Yahoo 1995 成立,Google 1998年成立。
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Jo
Jo@bigmelon·
@maigomaigoHH 直接抓起来,拿钱换减刑。看看cz.
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コガ
コガ@maigomaigoHH·
假设Manus是一家100%美国孵化的AI初创公司(利用美国孵化器/生态),核心技术、团队、产品全在美国完成,在第三国洗产地,最后“打包卖给中国”,结果政府介入,被cfius审查后强制剥离或者叫停,创始人被调查,舆论又会变成什么样,当然美国应该不至于限制出境
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