Mel

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Mel

Mel

@bubbaray90

Mastadon: @[email protected] BlueSky: @melkolsch.bsky.social

Katılım Ocak 2013
1.1K Takip Edilen239 Takipçiler
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Retro Coast
Retro Coast@RetroCoast·
Breaking: Reports the 2 missiles fired at the US base on Diego Garcia were fired from an Israeli submarine Iran did not fire them- Israel did.
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Isabella M Weber
Isabella M Weber@IsabellaMWeber·
The world energy shock is coming — it will deepen inequality in ways we've seen before. Our new @newstatesman piece argues that without urgent government action, the Strait of Hormuz crisis will ripple through our economies and rip apart our societies. Here's why. 1/
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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
JUST IN: President Trump threatened to destroy Iran’s power grid. Iran retaliated & responded by threatening to destroy the Gulf’s water supply. The 48-hour ultimatum just became a mutual hostage crisis where the hostages are not soldiers. They are 90 million Iranians who need electricity and tens of millions of Gulf residents who need desalinated seawater to drink. Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi and military officials warned through Tasnim that any US strike on Iranian power plants will trigger immediate attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure and desalination facilities. This is not about oil. Kuwait gets 90 percent of its drinking water from desalination. Qatar gets nearly 99 percent. Bahrain 85 percent. Saudi Arabia 70 percent. The UAE 42 percent. The Gulf produces 40 percent of the world’s desalinated water through 400 facilities, with 90 percent of output concentrated in approximately 56 large coastal plants sitting on shorelines within 350 kilometres of Iranian launch positions. These are not hardened military installations. They are open-air industrial complexes powered by fossil fuels, processing seawater into the liquid that comes out of taps in Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Doha, and Kuwait City. A single cruise missile into the Jubail desalination complex in Saudi Arabia, the largest in the world, threatens water supply to the capital. There are no wells under Riyadh sufficient to replace it. There are no rivers. There is desalinated seawater from the coast or there is evacuation. The precedent already exists. On March 7, strikes damaged a desalination plant on Iran’s Qeshm Island, cutting water to 30 villages. An Iranian drone struck a Bahraini facility the following day. The infrastructure has already been hit from both sides. What Iran is now threatening is not a first strike on water. It is an escalation of targeting that has already begun, calibrated to match whatever the United States does to Iranian civilian power generation. This is the escalation ladder that has no rungs left. Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum threatens to plunge Iran into darkness. Iran’s counter threatens to cut water to populations that have no natural freshwater alternative. The humanitarian math is symmetrical and devastating on both sides. Iranian hospitals lose power. Gulf hospitals lose water. Both outcomes produce mass civilian harm within days. Neither side can execute its threat without triggering the other’s response. The Gulf states that co-signed the 23-nation Hormuz statement calling on Iran to cease hostilities are now the states whose water supply Iran has explicitly identified as a retaliatory target. Three of the statement’s signatories, Bahrain, the UAE, and the host country itself, the UAE, depend on desalination for the majority of their drinking water. They signed a document condemning Iran. Iran responded by naming the infrastructure that keeps their citizens alive. The 48-hour clock is running toward March 23. If it expires and Trump strikes power plants, the cascade is not hypothetical. Iran hits desalination. Gulf water supplies collapse within days. Millions of people in the world’s wealthiest per capita nations face a water emergency that no amount of oil revenue can fix because the plants that make the water run on the electricity that comes from the power grid that Iran will target in return. The destruction is circular. Each side’s retaliation enables the other’s next strike. Oil gets the headlines. Helium gets nothing. Water gets less. But water is the threat that turns a military confrontation into a civilisational emergency. You can survive without oil. You can survive without helium. You cannot survive without water. And 48 hours from now, the survival calculation may no longer be theoretical. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet mediaShanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ tweet media
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

Kuwait has eight desalination plants producing over 2.2 million cubic metres of drinking water per day. They supply roughly 90 percent of the country’s drinking water. They sit on the coastline. They cannot be moved. They cannot be hidden. And Iran has already demonstrated it considers them legitimate targets. On March 8th, an Iranian drone struck a desalination facility in Bahrain. The Bahrain Interior Ministry and Electricity and Water Authority both confirmed the attack. Material damage. No supply disruption. The plant kept running. That was not a failure. That was a rehearsal. The strike told every IRGC provincial commander between Bushehr and Bandar Abbas that coastal water infrastructure is inside the approved targeting envelope. It told them before Larijani was killed. Before Soleimani was killed. Before Israel vowed to hunt Mojtaba. Before every Gulf state publicly demanded that Washington finish Iran for good. Before the IRGC had any reason to escalate beyond calibration. Now they have every reason. In the eighteen days since March 8, the Mosaic Doctrine’s provincial commands have watched their senior leadership systematically eliminated. Larijani. The Basij commander. Multiple unverified reports of other high-ranking figures killed in overnight strikes. Israel’s IDF spokesman has declared on the record that Mojtaba will be pursued, found, and neutralised. The six Gulf states whose desalination plants supply their populations have collectively told Washington to keep bombing. Provincial commanders are autonomous. They are also human. Men watching their chain of command incinerated while neighbouring countries demand their annihilation do not become more restrained. They reach for the highest-consequence target still within range. And the highest-consequence target in the entire Gulf theatre is not an airport, not a fuel depot, not a military base. It is a desalination membrane. The Gulf holds 40 to 50 percent of global desalination capacity. Kuwait has no river. No accessible aquifer at scale. No rainfall harvest system. Annual precipitation averages less than 120 millimetres. Bahrain is identical. Qatar marginally better but still critically dependent. UAE and Saudi Arabia run massive coastal plants co-located with power generation. Air defenses intercept 90 to 96 percent of incoming missiles and drones. Those rates are extraordinary. They also mean that of every hundred projectiles launched, four to ten arrive. A missed interception on a runway diverts flights for hours. A missed interception on a desalination intake pipe cuts drinking water to a city for weeks. The consequence asymmetry is not linear. It is existential. You can ration fuel. Sri Lanka just stacked five systems in eight days to prove it. You can stretch fertiliser through a planting season and absorb the yield losses months later. You cannot ration drinking water for millions of people in 45-degree Gulf summer heat for more than days before a humanitarian catastrophe begins that no military response can reverse. Desalination plants take years to build. They cannot be hardened against ballistic missiles without prohibitive cost. The populations they serve have no alternative source. And the IRGC commands that have already struck one plant now operate under conditions of maximum rage, minimum restraint, and standing orders that no dead leader needs to reauthorise. The Gulf states demanding Iran’s destruction are the same states whose populations drink from fixed coastal targets that Iran has already hit once and has no remaining institutional reason not to hit again. The nitrogen feeds the field over months. The water feeds the body over days. The strait and the doctrine threaten both. And the body breaks first. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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Dr. JiHoon Park | IQ 312
Dr. JiHoon Park | IQ 312@Jihooncrypto·
🚨🚨🚨 IRAN JUST REVEALED ITS DEADMAN SWITCH: ATTACK KHARG ISLAND AND THE HOUTHIS SHUT DOWN BAB AL-MANDAB. THE TRAP IS SET. 🚨🚨🚨 Iranian officials just told Tasnim News: if the US launches a military attack on Kharg Island, Iran will activate the Houthis to shut down the Bab al-Mandab Strait. Not a threat. A promise. Published through state media. Let that sink in. 💀 Kharg Island — handles 90% of Iran's oil exports 💀 Bab al-Mandab Strait — handles 10% of ALL global trade 💀 The Houthis already proved they can shut it down — they did it in 2024 💀 The US Navy COULDN'T stop them then. With FEWER ships now, they definitely can't stop them during a war 💀 Iran is telling the US IN ADVANCE: touch Kharg, and the world economy pays the price ⚠️ The US spent $1 BILLION trying to stop Houthi attacks on Red Sea shipping in 2024. It failed. Ships rerouted around Africa. Costs went up 400%. That was with the strait still partially OPEN. ⚠️ If Bab al-Mandab closes COMPLETELY — the Suez Canal becomes useless. Every ship from Asia to Europe adds 3 WEEKS to its route. The global supply chain BREAKS. The media is showing you "US planning Kharg Island operation." They're NOT showing you that Iran has already told the world EXACTLY what happens if they try it. Here's the trap: → The US takes Kharg Island to cut Iran's oil revenue → Iran activates the Houthis → Houthis close Bab al-Mandab → Strait of Hormuz is already a no-go zone → Now BOTH chokepoints are shut → 30% of the world's oil — GONE → 10% of all global shipping — GONE → Oil goes to $200+. Gas hits $12/gallon. Global recession in DAYS. → The US "wins" Kharg Island but the entire world economy collapses Iran doesn't need to beat the US military. It needs to make the COST of winning unbearable. And it just told you the price tag: the entire global shipping network. This is not a war plan. It's a hostage situation. And the hostage is the world economy. Prepare accordingly. 🚨🚨🚨 They don't want you seeing this. Follow + RT to beat the algorithm. 🚨
Dr. JiHoon Park | IQ 312 tweet media
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Ed Krassenstein
Ed Krassenstein@EdKrassen·
Dear U.S. military personnel. Bombing Iranian power plants would almost certainly constitute a war crime. If Trump asks you to do it, call a lawyer. Do NOT obey his illegal orders!
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Tracy Shuchart (𝒞𝒽𝒾 )
Here is a list of just 160 products made from oil and gas, as an example, from over 6000 products (Source: EIA)
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China in English
China in English@En_chinaNews·
Israel and the United States will seek to end the war after tonight. Because they realized they cannot defeat Iran. Iran is relentlessly bombing Israel tonight.
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Retro Coast
Retro Coast@RetroCoast·
So it turns out almost every member of Congress did insider trading on the #IranWar They bought stock options and future contracts on oil Some made milllions Imagine a country sending young men to war- and their first instinct is to call their stockbroker
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Melb_me
Melb_me@Melbme4now·
@GailVazOxlade She was in the USA for 5 years and still did not have a green card. I am going with, she was there illegally.
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Coffey4Canada2
Coffey4Canada2@Coffey4Canada2·
Fun Fact: 13 of the last 14 refineries closed in Canada were closed by Mulroney and Harper.
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Keith Edwards
Keith Edwards@keithedwards·
Trump is going to get us all killed
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Uncensored.AI
Uncensored.AI@GoUncensored·
Iran just said they would blow up all power and water plants in the Middle East if America blows up their Power Plants. That basically ends the world. Trumps now the Armageddon President.
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Andrew Feinberg
Andrew Feinberg@AndrewFeinberg·
Attacking civilian infrastructure such as a power grid can be charged as a war crime.
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Ed Krassenstein
Ed Krassenstein@EdKrassen·
BREAKING: After Trump threatened to target Iranian power plants in 48 hours if they don’t reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Iran says it will target energy infrastructure and desalination plants if the US strikes Iranian power plants. Oil, gas and energy are about to go through the roof and the stock market is about to plunge on Monday.
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Steve Lookner
Steve Lookner@lookner·
Iranian military responds to Trump's threat (from Iranian state media)
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