bunchu
43.3K posts
bunchu
@BunchuBets
Garage Band Market Maker. Combinatoric Athletic Outcome Contracts Specialist
Katılım Mayıs 2011
6.5K Takip Edilen15.6K Takipçiler
I am 12 hours into a 72 hour fast.
The hunger is ever present and I’m slightly lower energy, but my mood is excellent.
The hardest part? Remembering that I’m fasting and not accidentally eating out of habit.
Why am I fasting? Here are the benefits I expect to gain: 🧵👇
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No presale
No sale
No airdrop
No team allo
No VC allo
How does the platform make money? Why would the founder be motivated?
Because @paradicetech earns a small platform fee on every rake.
This is embedded in the contract and explained in whitepaper.
No unlocks
No team dumping
Fast Poker@FastdotPoker
Fake $FP tokens are being created. Do not buy them. There is NO presale. NO sale. NO airdrop. No VC. No team allocation. Official CA: FP111dxqjLRqtuoknQ8L6aaZjqqyFRT6FcAnaCPytJ3
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Is this the founder of Draft Kings complaining that he couldn’t bet the amount he wanted for the odds he wanted?
It’s only ok when DK does it
Yonan@yonann
Matt Kalish says Kalshi showed him a $930K payout on a $10K bet, then market makers turned the odds from 93 to 1 into 38 to 1 "i say i want to bet $10,000 on brooks koepka to win, the website says 93 to 1, i hit bet, what do you think happens?" "you think you're getting 93 to 1 right, and of course you're gonna win $930,000 right" "it turns out my bet's getting dumped to wall street market makers for a fraction of the amount. it was like 60% vig basically on this bet" "why is it if i bet $10 i'm getting 93 to 1 and if i bet $1,000 now it's suddenly 38 to 1? that's not sports betting, that's some other shit"
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Analytically… a hotdog is a sandwich.
New York Basketball@NBA_NewYork
“Analytically…we’ve won 2 out of 3” — Kenny Atkinson
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Analytically I’ve won 8 of my last 10 bets.
New York Basketball@NBA_NewYork
“Analytically…we’ve won 2 out of 3” — Kenny Atkinson
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How much did Kelce have to pay for the NBA broadcast to refer to them as “Travis Kelce and his girlfriend”
It’s almost like it’s in the programming notes.
NBA@NBA
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift are courtside for Knicks/Cavaliers Game 3 👀
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@DustinGouker Yeah this sucked. Watch survivor every season w my family. Knew the winner before episode 1 because of the Kalshi market. Ruined the whole thing.
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Because I have no life, I wrote about prediction markets and Survivor on Friday night.
Stop Letting People Bet On Survivor And Other Things That Already Happened
nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/stop-letting…
GIF
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obviously @polymarket parlays will benefit sports, but I'm personally excited about parlays for longer term markets (politics, finance, geopolitics) where leverage is needed
hopefully polymarket can find RFQ partners to quote those markets
Scott@Scott_eth
Parlays are coming to @Polymarket Here's what the code tells us: → works across all categories (sports, politics, wars) → every combo gets its own market + order book → up to 50 legs per parlay → add or remove legs anytime amoy.polygonscan.com/address/0x5462…
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@DustinGouker I’d dabble with some sports x weather cross category.
Temp in Denver and Under 49.5 points for some combinatoric athletic meteorologistic contracts.
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I don’t think people really wanna do this that badly.
Senzer@senzer
if Polymarket pulls off sports parlays, the next step is obvious. cross-market parlays combine totally different markets into one bet sports is the easiest entry point, and probably the cleanest one from a regulatory standpoint. but the real upside is way bigger cross-market parlays would be a masterclass and could easily become the flagship product. excited for what's next 🙏
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Wait until @mattkalish finds out that Kalshi solicits mention markets strikes from its sharpest customers, creating structural adverse selection, and then uses their input in settling disputes over the strikes they chose
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