Casey
432 posts
@casey9372 @drunkelections @HowlingTranny You can rate the race whatever you want
All I saying is that Husted doesn't have "incumbency advantage" and ironically, Brown does.
Ohio hasn't been as swingy as more diverse states lately, and Husted could just win based on that
But he won't be winning because of incumbency
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You're not allowed to say that the guy who lost Ohio by 3.5 in 2024 is in a tossup race in 2026 in an environment 8 points bluer on this app because idk woke or something
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@xHaustedOfStats @drunkelections @HowlingTranny For some it is how name recognition works, and a lot of certain Brown positions are going to be attacked in ads
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@casey9372 @drunkelections @HowlingTranny That's not how name reco works tho
I am not suggesting that no one in Ohio knows Husted
I am suggesting that Husted's policies and votes are clear to 70-80% of likely voters while Brown's policies and votes are clear to 90-95% of likely voters
Usually, incumbents are better
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@xHaustedOfStats @drunkelections @HowlingTranny Doesn't mean it's going to take a significant chunk of the vote away
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@xHaustedOfStats @drunkelections @HowlingTranny Also, it's not just elections that determine name recognition. Secretary of states have their name on records, notaries, certain registration, etc
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@casey9372 @drunkelections @HowlingTranny Sure
But Husted was against Nina Turner lol
That tells me that Husted's results are just coattails
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@HowlingTranny @xHaustedOfStats @drunkelections Presidential races aren't even close to the same as statewide races when it comes to name recognition
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@xHaustedOfStats @casey9372 @drunkelections trump has high name reco that means he cant lose or something
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@xHaustedOfStats @drunkelections @HowlingTranny Because kasich was an extremely strong candidate that only lost 2 counties in 2014
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@casey9372 @drunkelections @HowlingTranny He last run in 2014, one of the worst turnout years and he lagged Kasish by 3 points
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@drunkelections @xHaustedOfStats @HowlingTranny Secretary of states almost always have great name recognition, and Husted won convincingly in all of his SOS runs
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@xHaustedOfStats @casey9372 @HowlingTranny Also I’m terminally online and I don’t know SOS or Lt Gov… I highly doubt most people do!
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@xHaustedOfStats @HowlingTranny @drunkelections He does have name recognition. He was the LT governor, secretary of state for 8 years, state senator, and state representative
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@HowlingTranny @drunkelections Not lost, the biggest incumbency advantages are voting record and name reco. Brown has both.
On the other hand, Husted is an appointment. He doesn't have name reco and I wouldn't call his voting record an advantage in this environment
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@ThatRedCatholic Haley Stevens is the weakest, Mallory McMorrow is the strongest.
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Y’all are setting themselves up for disappointment by assuming that terminally online islamophobia will tank Abdul El Sayed in Michigan.
Reality check: He’s not even the weakest candidate in the Michigan Dem primary field.
Bushie 🇺🇸🗽@OldNewRight
2026 Senate Prediction Map 4/27/26 (Michigan is assuming El-Sayed is dem nominee)
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@dew_kellan1 @MccainGOP Yeah, but for the special election he should be the Republican nominee
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@casey9372 @MccainGOP Doesn’t Hobbs unfortunately get to decide his replacement?
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Holy shit. We actually need to lock tf in right now.
I have a compromise ticket. Biggs for Governor, Robson for Senate, the establishment and base get their picks
PJ Media@PJMedia_com
Democrat Senator Ruben Gallego Now Accused of Sexual Misconduct pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/…
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@Kattergang It's only April and Brown outraised Moreno by over $70M, too
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This race is nowhere near 'Lean R'
Political Polls@PpollingNumbers
New - Q1 Fundraising update - Ohio 🔵 Brown $10M 🔴 Husted (Inc) $3M
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@_DinoReborn I'm thinking about it as it would give us the best chance in the general
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.@PfPopulist I’m begging you to please vote Sayed it would be so funny
Red Eagle Politics@RedEaglePatriot
Michigan Republicans need to cross over and vote for Abdul "Michigan Zohran" El-Sayed. Mamdani underperformed Harris in NYC by approximately 30 points. El-Sayed will lose even if he overperforms Harris by 1.3%, and we get an optical punching bag even if he doesn't.
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@chriswithans She barely lost in a strong year for Republicans so she has a very good chance of flipping this seat.
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She raised $7.5 million by August 2024 to Begich’s $900,000.
And lost.
Steven Dennis@StevenTDennis
Peltola raised $8.9M - or $12 per Alaska resident - in one quarter. Kind of a staggering sum. (For scale: $12 per American would be ~$4 billion.)
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@BlueMissourians @IowanCentrist @KJVPopulist @PollTracker2024 midterm polls in Iowa underestimate Republicans, especially when they're early
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@casey9372 @IowanCentrist @KJVPopulist @PollTracker2024 If it was, why are Rs getting concerned about their internals?
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GABO poll | 3/10-3/16 LV
Iowa Governor 2026
🟦Rob Sand 50%
🟥Randy Feenstra 42%
——
US Senate Iowa 2026
🟥Ashley Hinson 47%
🟦Josh Turek 43%
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US Senate Iowa 2026
🟥Ashley Hinson 47%
🟦Zach Wahls 44%
——
Generic congressional ballot 2026 (Iowa)
🟥Republican 46%
🟦Democratic 44%
(Democratic pollster)
Link to poll: politico.com/live-updates/2…
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@KJVPopulist @PollTracker2024 Hate to break it to you, but it won't be "safe R" this time, especially if Feenstra is the nominee.
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Follower heat check: how do we feel about the Virginia referendum. Please explain yourself!
Especially if you're a Virginia voter I'd love to hear what you think!
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Casey retweetledi
The ‘DIGNIDAD Act’ gives legal status to ~12 million illegal aliens, massively increases legal immigration, and expands work visas that replace American workers and undercut wages.
Use all the euphemistic generalizations you want, but it’s still an amnesty bill.
The reality is that mass migration is wrecking our working class, tearing apart America’s social fabric, and making our communities unrecognizable. And this bill only makes it worse.
Our voters want their country back. They voted for mass deportations, and that’s what we owe them.
Rep. María Elvira Salazar@RepMariaSalazar
1/ Brandon, let’s get something straight: I want DIGNITY for Americans and I put Americans first. Here are the facts:
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