coby

Good year onto the next

@mansourtarek_ Why are you posting fake market screenshots

How?

ok the website hasn't broken in a while except for the superbowl so it's probably fine to use now

trading down

I have the Kalshi badge but my official recommendation is to not use Kalshi until they fix their repeated issues of the website crashing and not being able to cancel orders

@CSP_Trading @grok is this real

KALSHI STEALS FROM ITS USERS Today im launching KalshiSteals.wtf to keep a running tally of how much Kalshi has stolen from its users by not paying out interest on time. Again, Polymarket pays out 4% yield on 2028 positions that are sent EVERY DAY out of their own pocket

@Flairtonne 2026

@cobybets1 What’s the next one

Good year onto the next

@DustinGouker @Random501901 Cash it

@DustinGouker @Random501901 I’ll take yes at 10c

🧐

@Sports__Proj @goldenpants013 1000 grapes in front of you 1 is poisonous and u die if u eat it u get $100k for each grape u eat how many are u eating

Due to scheduling conflict, @goldenpants013 and I are recording the podcast today so if you have any questions or topics you want discussed feel free to comment or DM.

@goldenpants013 @Sports__Proj @mr_peanutbettor ANY LOCKS FOR THE HOT DOG CONTEST THIS YEAR

Next week on The Risk Takers Podcast, myself and @Sports__Proj interview the one and only @mr_peanutbettor Please leave some questions for this esteemed guest in the comments. EXTRA POINTS FOR QUESTIONS IN ALL CAPS

@sam_mcquill @PG3124 Find me any major game that is 12% worse odds on kalshi Im not trying to be a kashi shill, they never have the best odds, just don’t know how you are apparently a sports betting journalist and don’t realize this is obviously wrong

@cobybets1 @PG3124 The gap on tonight’s two Monday Night Football pre-game sides between Kalshi and FanDuel is not representative of the aggregate pricing gap across all pre-game sides and totals for the 15 NFL games played so far and tracked by Citizens. Correct.

Kalshi’s pre-game NFL odds were 12–13% worse than FanDuel & DraftKings in Week 16, when accounting for transaction fees, according to Citizens JMP. 👉That's roughly $4-5 less per $100 bet. Parlays had an even wider gap: • Kalshi: ~28% vig • Sportsbooks: ~15% vig

@sam_mcquill @PG3124 So is that what you meant in the tweet because it’s still not close to 12% difference

@cobybets1 @PG3124 Cents = diff in odds/juice, the way it’s been used colloquially by sportsbooks for decades, not literal contract-prices the way exchanges quote probabilities. Either way, Kalshi's often worse on the fave/better on the dog, which is why Citizens didn’t look at just 1 market.

@sam_mcquill @PG3124 That’s not cents -240 is 70.59c and -235 is 70.15c .44c and .63% worse

It’s the aggregate result across all MLs and totals for the 15 games played so far in Week 16. Kalshi is sometimes better on the underdog, but often worse on the favorite, which nets out to worse avg pricing w/ fees. In that screenshot, for example, Kalshi’s favorite ML is 5 cents worse than FanDuel’s / underdog is 3 cents better.

@PG3124 @sam_mcquill wrong

@cobybets1 @sam_mcquill No fees in that figure.