stara_crypto

Same cycle, same year, different skin. #Bitcoin Blue Year has had the same structure each and every time. Two significant highs, two sideways periods. This cycle, we traded a shorter more powerful move from the January - March high for a longer correction afterward. No cycle has ever been able to achieve ATHs in Blue Year like our current one has, which is why the correction is taking so long. All highs you see here have taken about a month to find their bottom, while we are going on 5 months. Now the good news. Every second early top (light blue circle) has bottomed around August, for which our latest August drop looks like a likely culprit. The month that that price makes new highs after that has been pushed forward each year. New highs in September inbound? It's great to see that despite regular differences, the Halving Cycles Theory and a top in late 2025 look like it may have never derailed.

#BTC is setting up the same way it setup last year heading into Q4 as well as how it setup in election years (2012, 2016, 2020) Every August we found bottom before trending upward heading into Q4

@MatthewHyland_ lol posted almost the exact same thing at the same time x.com/SuperBitcoinBr…

Is #Bitcoin bear market over ? All you need to know: Indeed, bear market ended after RSI breakout in the end of 2022, the time when I kept begging you to buy tons of BTC. Indeed, its the time when bear market ended, end of 2022 when BTC was between 16-18k. The reality is, end of bear market doesnt always mean start of bull, people underestimate the regeneration phase of market after end of bear, and start yelling bull market without basic knowledge. Once bear ends, market enters into price discovery to find the "Actual fair price". So what happened after RSI breakout in late 2022 ? Who remembers the Tweets in Feburary and March this year in which I described the region between 18-21k as buy region for Binance ? This entry is now considered as institutional entry, an area which is strongly defended by tons of buyers in that region, most likely Binance that bought tons of BTC with minted TUSD. Indeed, a very clever play. After that, price went into next price discovery till kissing 30k, which was also expected and predicted. That was first time for BTC to retest WMA200 for the first time since more than a year after breakdown. What happened ? Exactly, it got rejected and we went full force short, while everyone was euphoric and called for a bull run prices dropped towrads 25k in a matter of few days. Do you know understand the difference between bull run and pre bull, and regeneration ? If market would be truly in a bull run, it would have broke through easily, which was not the case in that time. Indeed, we shorted the 30k region and took tons of profits once it dumped back to $25.000 in which we went back into long. Same play, we kissed WMA200 again and got rejected once again, same play, short till $25.000, take profit and enter long again till $30.000. This time, we expected that BTC is going to dump more from 30-31k region and prepared the big short with target of 20-23k region. Indeed, BTC crashed exactly as we predicted, but only till 25k, and not towards 23k as we expected. We have not taken profits and closed our shorts back nearby entry. Indeed, it was not a good trade. So where are we now ? It takes many months to confirm the end of the bear market, now we can clearly say that bear market is over once WMA200 closes monthly candle above WMA200, which is most likely going to happen in the next hours. We have a full confirmation on chart that BTC bear market is over including the mentioned regeneration phase. We have a very strong momentum with recent RSI breakout including the breakout above the 30k resistance including the historical breakout above WMA200. Many indicators that shows us signs of a strong bull. Learn the difference between a relief rally with a weak bull, and an explosive strong bull. In other words, the explosive bull is the golden bull, the same bull that brought us to 60k few years ago, and sadly this bull has not arrived yet, but is preparing itself to fully explode in the next 6-12 months. Bitcoin is now re-testing the previous bull market support of 2021 which is between $34.000 - $35.000 region. At the same time RSI is facing resistance, however bull is stronger than RSI resistance this time. Breakout above which is possible with current momentum can bring us easily to $37.000 - $38.000 target. From there, you can expect some sideway movement and possible dumps even to 26k region in the coming months, till the golden bull arrives Dont get exhausted, greedy or care for long or short only. Remember that a legendary bull run is loading, you should have prepared your long term bags back then during absolute fear, however, everyone that buys below ATH will end up in profit according to BTC 4 years halving cycle. Indeed, Iam fully trusting BTC Bear market is over, regeneration is over, pre bull arrived, golden bull is loading. The bull run has not started yet, sideway movement still loading in big time frame and big range, the golden bull is preparing itself for the next 6-12 months Be prepared

Have you heard of Steve's 5.3 #Bitcoin Theory? This says that returns are diminishing by 5.3x from bottom to top each cycle. If this is true, the next cycle top will be about $77,000... I've done a ton of math, so you don't have to! Let's see if this is the real deal. After measuring returns from cycle bottoms to tops on the daily time frame as precisely as possible, the returns from cycle tops to bottoms are not 5.3. They are as follows: 1. 5.34x 2. 4.96x 3. 5.63x But there is merit to the 5.3, the average of these numbers is 5.31. However, we cannot say for sure that this will be the returns if this is just an average. Instead, it gives us a range. Here are the real numbers so far from lowest to highest: Lowest Cycle Top: $73,522 Average Cycle Top: $77, 122 Highest Cycle Top: $81,675 Now, none of these numbers are ones people would want to hear. So, let's see what it would take to reach a slightly more optimistic target: $100,000 = 3.84x diminish. This means Bitcoin would need to set in a drastically lower diminishing return rate to reach that target this cycle. Bitcoin has never not hit a Fibonacci extension level at a cycle top, if $77,000 is the target, this would break that. The cycles hit these Fibonacci extensions: 1. 58.764 2. 19.764 3. 3.618 The lowest Fibonacci extension for this cycle measured from Weekly candle bodies is the 1.618. This would mean a price of $104,000 which takes a 3.7x diminish from last cycle. Many believe that ETFs will bring the power it takes to break models and numbers. Returns are clearly diminishing, but do you think the 5.31 ($77,122) average return will be the top this cycle? Let me know!

FTX is going to sell off 9% total supply of $SOL I think we will see 8$ or lower over the coming weeks

The N28CT Price model gave you the #Bitcoin bottom at 15.5k in Nov 22, coming +/- 21 days from Nov 28th then. It gave and continues to give you the best cycle buying prices during accumulation year. It gave you a move to the median ($34,500 blue line) in green year. Now looks much like previous green years, Bitcoin makes a move towards the median and then cools down. In many cases offering you a last chance buying opportunity. Focus on the end game. This model calls for: Cycle Top 140k 2025 +/- 21 days from Nov 28th. 27k bottom 2026 +/- 21 days from Nov 28th. 190k Top 2029 +/- 21 days from Nov 28th. 36k Bottom 2030 +/- 21 days from Nov 28th. End of green year (Nov 28th, 2023) is typically a time of rally! ... don't blindly follow any one model, use data from many sources to come to conclusions, friendly tip from a profit veteran! (pinned tweet)

Look what we have done in the 24+ hours after the update below😍 3067% with 10X leverage, just one trade lost, one in loss and open, and One at BE and open. 24 trades smashed 💣 Just search TL, with the name of the coin, all trades shared before entry. #LearnWithNoan

🚀 TARA'S ALTCOIN PICKS FOR 2023/24 🚀 Top 50 MC with massive ROIs. Over 90% ⬇️ from ATH. No fundamentals, only technicals. NFA -- Continue Thread for Charts, Analysis, and Targets --

Weekends are for learning. Screenshot and save this cheat sheet, these are super useful! ✍️ #Bitcoin #Crypto #BNB

@profit8lue twitter.com/User1I1I1/stat…

⚠️#Celsius looks like it can rug pull or go to zero.... Whichever comes first This is a warning, be extra careful.

@CryptoSavy1 Said the King of Shorting

Looks like 4 hr rsi retest and rejection. May be a great short spot here tradingview.com/x/kAP86ubr

Celsius, fate loves irony. I would say by now, that there are more chances that @CelsiusNetwork survives than collapses. Also with some changes, it can lead the way and become what they wanted to be, here's my take 👇1/ #CELShortSqueeze

#BTC #OnChain 📉📈 📊HODLers SOPR (30D MA) by @whale_map 🌐 🧵1/ Throughout the history of #Bitcoin , the 30D MA of the LTH SOPR has entered the "LOSS" area only 3 times, which is now the 4th time. 📝 Each time it lasted more than 5 months & formed a MACRO BOTTOM for >3 years/👇

1/7 @saylor, you better get off your ass and get in this #CelShortSqueeze fight, as this affects you directly, and I mean directly. If they succeed and drive the #Bitcoin price to $13,000 and liquidate that 23,963 Celsius Maker #Bitcoin loan. then #Bitcoin will crash to below