Steve
13.9K posts




More broad view on recent $HYPE PA too Circle news was absolutely not a "known known". Nobody had it priced in, instant +$200m to ARR with an extra $12.5m per 25bp rate hike if we see those. Durable, uncorrelated, straight juice to buybacks. The candle straight to $46 was just the instant rerating based on this news to a similar multiple as when it was $38-40. CME KYC FUD was absolutely known and has been generally priced in for some time now. The entire reason $HYPE is so "cheap" now IS the regulatory uncertainty. The reason you can buy it at $40 when it can go to $100+ IS because it can also go to $20 if there's some massive crackdown. There's no free ride, the rewards just outweigh these risks. This is not new news to anyone familiar with the thesis. This is also why the @HyperliquidPC is such an underrated and important part of the bull case, and why the Circle news is actually much more bullish than just the immediate ARR boost. @jchervinsky is arguably as integral to the $HYPE bull case right now as the Jeffs. The most pervasive theme from the current admin is wanting to preserve American hegemony and reshore industries that have been pushed away due to regulation, especially for crypto. Coinbase and Circle are the most entrenched and informed entities in crypto lobbying and regulation. If they feel the need to give @HyperliquidX 90% of their revenue, how much risk do you think they assign to some existential threat crippling Hyperliquid? How much leverage did Hyperliquid clearly have in that conversation? They practically enacted Prima Nocta on Circle. The fact that the CME KYC FUD basically erased this news is a complete mispricing, and more so a broader macro/rates/stocks looking toppy move. $HYPE looks much more relatively cheap compared to the rest of the industry after this boost to ARR and regulatory derisking. The upside of being king-made in the US alongside Circle and Coinbase is considerably higher than the risks. Reality sits much closer to the bear case (US ban/crackdown) than the unfettered mass adoption that could ensue in the next 3-6 months. If you're macro bearish, $HYPE long / everything else short pair trades are incredibly attractive at these levels imo. I also like pretty deep OTM longer dated calls.


The rusting colossus that was once the massive and vastly productive Bethlehem Steel, on the Lehigh Valley in Eastern Pennsylvania.







Hyperliquid dominates weekly blockchain fee revenue as vertical chains gain ground theblock.co/post/400803/hy…


so why the fuck is it still $40



Sandisk $SNDK has outperformed the top 5 major crypto assets in the last year. While everyone was focusing on $BTC and altcoins, $SNDK has moved from $33 to $1,400 in the last few months. This is because AI data centers needed storage and nobody was paying attention to who was selling it. Western Digital split the company off in early 2025 and suddenly Sandisk was the only pure storage play in the middle of the biggest AI buildout in history. Every AI model that runs needs somewhere to live and that's where Sandisk comes in. The biggest gains always come from the thing nobody is looking at yet.


The irony is that the cautionary AI bubble crescendo is loudest now right at the beginning of three of the biggest technology super cycles ever that will last at least a few quarters into 2026: 1) The biggest data center buildout in history funded by the most profitable companies in history. It started in the September quarter 2025. 2) Nvidia NVL72 (72 GPUs) AI server product cycle volume ramp with its much better performance versus prior 8 GPU models. Think iPhone 3G moment. 3) The advent of AI reasoning models enabling vast use case proliferation and productivity improvements while driving exponential token consumption. Most people who write about this stuff are not technical and don't understand this is happening.


only altcoins in 2026 moving more than single name stocks are things that @zachxbt reports generally lol state of the market








