CryptoMiami
2.3K posts

CryptoMiami
@cryptomiami1
#Bitcoin. Public BTC mining, AI/HPC/energy infrastructure. Retired MD.






Today on @CNBC Power Lunch with @SullyCNBC and $WULF CEO @PaulBPrager 🐺 Brian Sullivan: “How do these two deals differ in WULF’s goals for the future?” Prager: “Hawesville meets an urgent need for available power. Morgantown is about where the market is going, the idea of bring-your-own generation.” Nice, clear timelines for us investors, backed by deep IPP execution experience. It’s in their DNA 🧬

TeraWulf just expanded its development pipeline in a big way with strategic infrastructure acquisitions in Kentucky and Maryland. Here’s what you need to know.







$APLD 2.35B Bond Disaster: A Debt Crisis Spreading Through Data Centers The bonds, issued at 97 cents on the dollar with a 9.25% coupon yielding approximately 10%, contrast sharply with recent successful offerings from competitors $WULF and $CIFR, which issued at par with yields of 7.75% and 7.125% respectively The core issue plaguing Applied Digital’s bond offering stems from its reliance on $CRWV $CRWV represents approximately two thirds of Applied Digital’s contracted revenue through an $11 billion, 15 year lease agreement While this appears to be a massive revenue commitment, investors have reacted with extreme caution because $CRWV itself carries a sub investment grade credit rating and has seen its credit default swaps (CDS) spike to approximately 510 basis points up from around 360 basis points in early October 2025 $APLD will pay approximately $217.4 million annually in interest on the new bonds alone Now onto how this affects the sector While hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL, and $AMZN can distribute their AI infrastructure spending across multiple projects with smaller per project exposure, the real pressure and fragility exists one layer below at the infrastructure builder level $APLD issued $2.35 billion in bonds at a 10% yield while carrying only $634 million in shareholder equity, pushing its debt to equity ratio to 4.18x This represents nearly their entire balance sheet levered to build infrastructure for primarily one tenant, $CRWC, which itself operates on massive leverage This has created a dangerous double leveraged situation Between September and November 2025, data center developers issued approximately $75 billion in bonds and loans, representing about 5% of total U.S. investment grade debt issuance for the entire year Multiple players are racing to build out capacity simultaneously, all taking on massive leverage with similar risk profiles They all depend on continued AI demand growth, access to affordable power, timely GPU delivery from $NVDA, and the financial health of a small number of hyperscaler customers or speculative grade cloud providers The Bank of England noted in its October 2025 financial stability analysis that “if power acts as a bottleneck to the operation of AI data center projects, it can weigh on their credit risk” Equity markets have already begun reflecting this concern The damage to sentiment operates through several channels, first, it increases the cost of capital for all players in the ecosystem without direct hyperscaler backing, if $APLD must pay 10% for bonds, other similar developers will face comparable or higher rates, making projects less economically viable Second, it creates reflexivity in credit markets, As $CRWV credit default swaps widen and $APLD bonds trade below par, lenders become more cautious about the entire sector, this can create a self fulfilling dynamic where higher borrowing costs impair project economics, reducing cash flows and further widening spreads Third, it raises existential questions about whether the physical infrastructure layer can generate returns above their weighted average cost of capital A particularly acute manifestation of systemic risk will emerge in 2029 and 2030 when approximately $10 billion or more in data center debt matures simultaneously I am still VERY bullish on my favorite names $NBIS $CIFR $IREN but its important to acknowledge what is going on @aleabitoreddit and @MarkosAAIG deserve their flowers, both their content inspired this post I also made $APLD Amortization table for fun :)




Congratulations to our partner @core42_ai on earning a Top-20 spot on the global TOP500 list with their Maximus-01 supercomputer – deployed at $WULF's Lake Mariner facility near Buffalo, NY. “The Buffalo cluster is operated within TeraWulf’s Lake Mariner facility as part of G42’s strategic partnership with the company. The site provides the power resiliency, cooling efficiency, and operational scale required for large GPU deployments, bringing together Core42’s high-performance AI infrastructure with TeraWulf’s zero-carbon, energy-efficient compute environment.”









