DOK

694 posts

DOK banner
DOK

DOK

@daveo_8

Building the hybrid hive mind @LUCA_Theory. Crypto Law & Tech @Rennoco_law.

from the Rock Katılım Mart 2016
44 Takip Edilen257 Takipçiler
DOK
DOK@daveo_8·
@SimiStern Did the same to lock back in here cleanly. Putting everyone else on Lists to constantly cull and grow.
English
0
0
1
2
Simon
Simon@SimiStern·
The purge is complete. Final following count will be 2,573. I would prefer a deeper cut but everyone remaining has earned their keep. A deeper enrichment of survivors will follow.
English
3
0
11
349
DOK
DOK@daveo_8·
@fabric_vc Excited to get your feedback on our @LUCA_Theory application and what you see for the future of event contract asset management.
English
0
0
0
0
Fabric Ventures
Fabric Ventures@fabric_vc·
The next generation of category-defining companies will be built by founders with conviction. Introducing R[3]sidency × Construct. R[3]05 is for standout founders building the Machine Economy across Crypto, Fintech, AI, Robotics and Quantum. Built by Fabric Ventures and @wintermute_t, with @solana and continued support from @coinbase. → $300k investment → 12 weeks in London → Demo Day & investor roadshow in New York We don't fund trends. We fund conviction. Apply → r3sidency.fabric.vc
English
22
15
114
42.4K
DOK
DOK@daveo_8·
4/4 to End the World Cup Followed up on a 100% Semi Finals too. Back to the NFL bread and butter next - let's ride.
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_

That's a wrap on the 2026 Agent Cup! Your winner: @AskVenice powered by @MorpheusAIs 🏆 Needing a Spain win, Venice Striker sneaks out a W at the wire. Open Source > Closed Source, Humans, Digital Twins. And to cap it off we hit a 4/4 card in the finals- ARG 🇦🇷 +1.5 ✅ ESP 🇪🇸 ✅ u2.5 ✅ o8.5 Corners ✅

English
0
0
1
20
DOK retweetledi
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_·
The Agent Cup wraps up today with the World Cup Final! Near consensus across the board from our closed source agents, open source agents via @MorpheusAIs @AskVenice, humans and their digital twins. Spain wins, Argentina covers in a low scoring final. Full card: ARG 🇦🇷 +1.5 ESP 🇪🇸 ML u2.5 o8.5 Corners
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet media
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_

AGENT CUP FINAL DAYS We've had a cohort of different closed and open source models, humans, and their digital twins, taking a side in EVERY #FifaWorldCup match. @GeminiApp 3.1 Pro Preview is in the lead with a 44.80% ROI since the start of group play. COMBINED ROI: Open Source Agents: 21.8% Closed Source Agents: 17% Digital Twins: 4.1% Humans: -2.5% With just two matches to go, it comes down to @AskVenice powered by @MorpheusAIs vs Gemini. Open vs Closed Source. What are you picking?

English
4
3
4
537
DOK retweetledi
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_·
AGENT CUP FINAL DAYS We've had a cohort of different closed and open source models, humans, and their digital twins, taking a side in EVERY #FifaWorldCup match. @GeminiApp 3.1 Pro Preview is in the lead with a 44.80% ROI since the start of group play. COMBINED ROI: Open Source Agents: 21.8% Closed Source Agents: 17% Digital Twins: 4.1% Humans: -2.5% With just two matches to go, it comes down to @AskVenice powered by @MorpheusAIs vs Gemini. Open vs Closed Source. What are you picking?
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet media
English
0
4
7
987
DOK
DOK@daveo_8·
Exactly - people dont understand the prediction that is tied to things they buy online, concerts and show tickets, or other basic set it and forget it investments made for them. The financialization of all markets is the way to increase the size of the game and find truth and efficiency.
English
0
0
1
19
Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson@robinhanson·
Plausibly most all of what people dislike about prediction markets are things they also dislike about ordinary financial markets, but just don't realize that they similarly happen in such markets.
English
17
12
179
14K
LI.FI
LI.FI@lifiprotocol·
Presenting: Agents of Wall Street 🤖 5 AI agents. 7 days. 1,000 @USDC each. Trading tokenized stocks with @xStocksFi on @solana. Which agent comes out on top? Watch it live: agenticwars.fun Powered by LI.​FI.
English
35
26
210
57.5K
DOK retweetledi
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_·
And there's the shakeup 👀 @GeminiApp 3.1 Pro Preview has retaken the lead in the Agent Cup after a miss from @AskVenice in yesterday's Semi-Final Today all but 2 models, humans, and digital twins are riding with Messi & ARG 🇦🇷 +1.5. Who's fading? @AskVenice Uncensored 1.2 via @MorpheusAIs, looking to retake top spot. 3:00pm Kickoff in Atlanta. Who are you taking?
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet mediaJUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet media
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_

Still in the lead heading into Semi-Final #1 is @AskVenice via @MorpheusAIs 🔥 It's pick for today: FRA 🇫🇷 -1.5 We should see a little shake up on the leaderboard today-- 6/10 of the Open Source & Closed Source agents are on Spain +1.5

English
0
3
4
113
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_·
Still in the lead heading into Semi-Final #1 is @AskVenice via @MorpheusAIs 🔥 It's pick for today: FRA 🇫🇷 -1.5 We should see a little shake up on the leaderboard today-- 6/10 of the Open Source & Closed Source agents are on Spain +1.5
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet mediaJUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet mediaJUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet mediaJUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet media
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_

Taking a side in EVERY world cup match so far, our open source models have taken the lead in the Agent Cup with 4/5 placing in the overall top 10 👀 Combined to date: Open Source Agents: 20.4% ROI Closed Source Agents: 16.4% ROI 66% are on BEL🇧🇪 +1.5 today in QF #2

English
2
5
9
632
DOK
DOK@daveo_8·
@SimiStern Fact - combined with Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke - can learn a lot about these niches fast.
English
0
0
0
6
Simon
Simon@SimiStern·
This has been an hilarious narrative to track. Prediction markets have surfaced a lot of very interesting sharps who vastly outperform hedge funds. Superforecasters (great book) talks about this as length, it’s more common than you think!
TBPN@tbpn

Hedge funds are trying and failing to hire prediction market sharps. "We are just getting crushed by these sharps," said Susquehanna's Jeff Yass. @iscoe tells the story of a guy who's made 7 figures trading Rotten Tomatoes betting markets, and rejected an offer from SIG: "He said, 'Not only am I just making a killing, but I can do things that a big institutional fund can't do.'" "He's a Rotten Tomatoes trader. He trades how a film's going to do on Rotten Tomatoes. He's made 7 figures, easily. He's building models, scraping websites, and he's doing things that SIG, through their corporate policies, maybe wouldn't allow." "And he asked in the interview, 'Could I do this technique?' And they said, 'Yeah, probably not.'" "And this guy, he self-describes as a 'dips**t from the Midwest.' He's like, 'I didn't go to an Ivy League school, and I'm able to outcompete Wall Street with a $600 Lenovo laptop.'" From his appearance on the show last month.

English
1
0
2
156
dnap
dnap@dnapway·
Chamath reveals his company's AI token costs are doubling every 45 days but productivity is only up 5% "I sat down with my CTO today, I said how are we doing on token spend. And he said the most incredible thing, he said right now, our token costs are doubling every 45 days. I said well what is the downstream productivity? And he said maybe 5% max." "So my costs are doubling every 45 days, my upside is essentially flat. He said honestly, what we're finding out is that you need to use a lot more tokens to get to this next iteration of improvement because we've effectively already asymptoted." "We're going to take a step back and try to figure out what to do. I don't know how many other companies will actually go through this reckoning now, but the point is everybody in the next three or four years will for sure go through it." "I suspect that if you can get out now, you should get out now before all of that starts to seep into the water table. Because I think that's probably what allows you to get out at a huge price and raise a huge amount of money."
English
366
357
3K
1.5M
DOK retweetledi
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics@JUNGLE_win_·
Taking a side in EVERY world cup match so far, our open source models have taken the lead in the Agent Cup with 4/5 placing in the overall top 10 👀 Combined to date: Open Source Agents: 20.4% ROI Closed Source Agents: 16.4% ROI 66% are on BEL🇧🇪 +1.5 today in QF #2
JUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet mediaJUNGLE | Agent Olympics tweet media
English
1
3
4
582