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@debl00b

I trade a lot on @Kalshi ($200mm+) ⬇️ Literally free $40 -- help Kalshi burn VC money

Katılım Ekim 2025
178 Takip Edilen2K Takipçiler
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deblob@debl00b·
Just got a @Kalshi /@KalshiEco affiliate link -- get $40 free dollars when you sign up here. If you sign up through this link, feel free to DM me too and I'll tell you all the trades I'm currently in! kalshi.link/opqh8ly7
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Valence
Valence@ValenceTrade·
Happy New Years everyone! Thank you to all our users who've helped our team learn about reliability / scale this month. We're excited to continue shipping features to you! To learn more about what we do, check us out at valence.trade Finally, our trading unit traded >250 million contracts this month, with ~17.5M today, up ~200% M/M!
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KalshiData
KalshiData@kalshidata·
2025 @Kalshi Data Recap: Record growth across all metrics. NOTIONAL VOLUME: ⁃ Total: $23.8B ⁃ Monthly ATH: $6.38B - December ⁃ Weekly ATH: $1.7B - 4th Week, Dec ⁃ Daily ATH: $381.7M - December 21 ⁃ YoY Growth: +1,108% ≈ 12.1x TRANSACTIONS: ⁃ Total: 97M ⁃ Monthly ATH: 27.67M - December ⁃ Weekly ATH: 7.6M - 4th Week, Dec ⁃ Daily ATH: 1.5M - December 21 ⁃ YoY Growth: +1,680% ≈ 17.8x OPEN INTEREST: ⁃ Total: $225M ⁃ Monthly ATH: $499.5M - February ⁃ Weekly ATH: $530M - 1st Week, Mar ⁃ Daily ATH: $533M - March 9 ⁃ YoY Growth: +169% ≈ 2.7x CONTRACTS TRADED: ⁃ Total: 23.8B ⁃ Monthly ATH: 6.38B - December ⁃ Weekly ATH: 1.7B - 4th Week, Dec ⁃ Daily ATH: 382M - December 21 ⁃ YoY Growth: +1,108% ≈ 12.1x Note: Open Interest figures represent average (mean) open interest over the period, not cumulative totals like volume, transactions, or contracts traded
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Salman
Salman@salmanso_·
It’s 12:00 on New Years. Not a single Kalshi engineer has left the office. Only new years resolution I have over heard has been to increase shareholder value in 2026 at a faster rate than 2025.
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Micah Goldblum
Micah Goldblum@micahgoldblum·
For a long time, Yann LeCun and others believed in gradient-based planning, but it didn’t work very well … until now. Here’s how we did it using incredibly simple techniques. But first, an introduction to gradient-based planning: 🧵1/11
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Aggie
Aggie@BlondiePredicts·
Tis the szn to price the future
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deblob@debl00b·
🧐
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deblob@debl00b·
That’s fair enough and I don’t have a better view than you. To me, it makes sense intuitively to spin up an independent entity who’s job is to “jumpstart liquidity” in markets that are hard to quote. I think the question is are you willing to sacrifice $X for Y% growth in the exchange. But like you said its also a black box
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Dustin Gouker
Dustin Gouker@DustinGouker·
I know I, @dan_bernstein_ and others have asked Kalshi to talk about Kalshi Trading and they have pretty much declined to do so (until Luana's tweet). They have had plenty of opportunities to talk about this and be more transparent before now.
deblob@debl00b

I really don’t get why people are complaining about an independent entity that receives no extra benefits that loses money to provide liquidity on markets that other market makers don’t want to provide liquidity on.

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deblob
deblob@debl00b·
This is kind of cool! Embrace the exponential
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deblob@debl00b·
@DustinGouker @fritterbob Oh interesting! I’d be curious how NCAAF and NFL are trending — also noticed that RH took a lot of high volume contracts off the front page in favor of government shutdown markets
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Dustin Gouker
Dustin Gouker@DustinGouker·
@fritterbob @debl00b Baseball was roughly 10% of volume for the 30 days ending with WS Game Game 7. Over October and start of November we also added NBA, college basketball and hockey.
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Dustin Gouker
Dustin Gouker@DustinGouker·
Kalshi volume was down for the fourth Saturday in a row: -Nov. 22: $252M (includes PrizePicks) -Nov. 15: $268M (includes PrizePicks) -Nov. 8: $270M -Nov. 1: $296M
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deblob
deblob@debl00b·
Small change that improved UI/UX! Notification update at @Kalshi putting the price first and then shares second. Personally would prefer if the event is in the header and the price/share amount in the body to make sure we can see all the info. (Emoji takes up so much space too)
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