
deepvaluebettor
5.6K posts

deepvaluebettor
@deepvaluebettor
man in ✨ fínãnce ✨🥴 love to hate nyc 🐀🥀 building @sportfoliokings @bettorgpt









There’s hope in hard questions.



Kalshi just nuked an entire category overnight. At least 5 startups were building "Bloomberg Terminals for prediction markets." Then Kalshi shipped Kalshi Pro. 🧵

Odell Beckham Jr. reveals the real math on a $100,000,000 NFL contract: • On paper → $100,000,000 • Actually guaranteed → $60,000,000 • After taxes → $12,000,000/yr • Car, house for mom, living → $4,000,000/yr • What’s left → $8,000,000/yr • Five years. Then it’s over. Forever “Can you make that last forever?”


There’s hope in hard questions.


My second conversation with @jeremygiffon. His first episode became one of the most popular we've ever done. Since then he's become a friend I talk to every day, so this is a taste of one of those conversations. We discuss: - The billion dollar PDF - Why billionaires have become subservient to the "poaster" class - The philosophers who secretly shaped Silicon Valley - Lessons from the last 18 months in private markets - East v. West coast finance - Buffett + beating the market - and much more Enjoy! 0:00 Intro 5:50 The Billion Dollar PDF 11:31 Algorithms and Power Laws 20:28 Peak Guy 31:19 Opting Out of the Timeline 36:14 AI and White-Collar Jobs 43:31 The Next Era of Finance 53:56 The New Economics of Software 1:03:22 Underwriting Emerging Managers 1:18:17 Silicon Valley’s Hidden Philosophy


The Robinhood Chain is the cleanest case study of what happened to ETH's economics over time. Since inception, @RobinhoodApp Chain has grossed ~$816K in revenue. @Arbitrum, the middleware provider, takes 10%: ~$80K. Arbitrum then pays Ethereum for settlement: $1,538. The margin profile roughly: Robinhood: 89% Arbitrum: 10% Ethereum: 0.15% If your thesis is "ETH is money," Robinhood building here is ultra bullish. More activity, more ETH collateral, more lindyness. If your thesis is "ETH is a revenue generating asset," this is the ultra-bear case. And here's the uncomfortable truth: Robinhood was never going to build on Solana, Sui or any monolithic L1. They want the stack customization. They want to be landlords, not renters. Ethereum won this deal on merit. It's just not pricing it right. A healthy split to me looks more like: Robinhood: 75% Arbitrum: 10% Ethereum: 15% Ethereum sells the most valuable settlement layer in crypto at marginal cost. Things need to change. @ethlabs_org



There’s hope in hard questions.

The Robinhood Chain is the cleanest case study of what happened to ETH's economics over time. Since inception, @RobinhoodApp Chain has grossed ~$816K in revenue. @Arbitrum, the middleware provider, takes 10%: ~$80K. Arbitrum then pays Ethereum for settlement: $1,538. The margin profile roughly: Robinhood: 89% Arbitrum: 10% Ethereum: 0.15% If your thesis is "ETH is money," Robinhood building here is ultra bullish. More activity, more ETH collateral, more lindyness. If your thesis is "ETH is a revenue generating asset," this is the ultra-bear case. And here's the uncomfortable truth: Robinhood was never going to build on Solana, Sui or any monolithic L1. They want the stack customization. They want to be landlords, not renters. Ethereum won this deal on merit. It's just not pricing it right. A healthy split to me looks more like: Robinhood: 75% Arbitrum: 10% Ethereum: 15% Ethereum sells the most valuable settlement layer in crypto at marginal cost. Things need to change. @ethlabs_org

There’s hope in hard questions.


There’s hope in hard questions.


Mayor Mamdani Drives a Go Kart at Luna Park in Coney Island 🎥: Gregory P. Mango for NY Post


Michael Burry bashed sites like Kalshi, saying that they're simply gambling sites enabled by a loophole in the rules. bit.ly/4f0cnJ9

