Devin
4.6K posts

Devin
@devin_j_obrien
Frac CFO & acctg services and software for startups & SMBs doing $10m-$50m in revenue, M&A advisory | Executed 60+ M&A transactions | Founder @ Kordis
NYC Katılım Nisan 2016
801 Takip Edilen7.2K Takipçiler
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@elonmusk Growth in real GDP is a lot easier when you just make the numbers up (China)
economist.com/graphic-detail…

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The 2nd best thing about NVIDIA’s earnings releases (1st being carrying the market on its back) is finance accounts with tons of followers show you how little they understand accounting….
Financelot@FinanceLancelot
$NVDA accounts receivable jumping 50% in 2 quarters is a sign of channel stuffing. Nortel & CISCO did this in 2000 with their circular financing scam. It inflates sales figures by forcing more product into the distribution channel than it's capable of selling. AR = haven't paid
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@cfo_mm @bottombucketaf “Draft - for discussion purposely only” aka if I fat fingered a formula and this is all wrong oh well!
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@bottombucketaf They never mark them final. It’s insane.
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@DDuggan21 He literally said the cowboys should clock it after a quick pass on 3rd and 10 with no timeouts… going to be hard to attempt a field goal with a turnover on downs
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@_willcompton Richie incognito after kicking down the door of the Nebraska frat house
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@patrickdichter I was saying on a call yesterday that entrepreneurs have a completely different view of the accounting function in their next venture once they have experienced buy side due diligence where the QofE impacted one or all of deal timing, purchase price, and blood pressure!
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“Can you clean up our last 2 years of financials and do our taxes so we can sell our business? We’re trying to sell but the broker and banker said our accounting is too messy.” Yes.
We have 3 of these projects currently. I’m sure they’ve lost lots of time, lost good buyers, and might sell for less now. Good accounting pays for itself.
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@unusual_whales Now this NBC poll makes so much more sense. Tariffs and the $2 trillion saved from DOGE that’s now less than not even going to eclipse $100bn.
Selling beachfront property in Alaska

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@devin_j_obrien @drewfallon12 Ur ears must be allergic to greatness.
Chamath solved China’s rare earth ransom.
FB virality
Covid/spac investing
Morality
Happy Marriage
Gaslighting
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@EntangledHorses @drewfallon12 with the mansplaining from
1. early FB employee turned SPAC shitco pump and dumper who touted being able to call the administration and they listen
2. early FB employee now VC who's in the administration
Definitely even playing field in economics and not biased at all!
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@devin_j_obrien @drewfallon12 Mansplaining to a guy that was in the highest public sector position in the field of securities.
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Not trying to cherry pick, just my view. To your point, there's a million factors that impact markets and only us as humans try to rationalize it into 1 or 2 reasons.
I couldn't care less if it was Larry Summers or some other economist's points.
My opinion / view is when you're looking at the people having the conversation and their backgrounds, you have an early FB and Paypal employee, 1 turned into a SPAC retail pusher and 1 a VC who are either in the administration or spoke how they can call and influence the administration are clearly more bias and less sophisticated re: markets than someone who spent their entire life in economics.
That's nothing but my opinion and prefer Howard Marks investor memo's over Larry Summers or anybody else.
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Real cute how you cherry pick … if I recall there was also another moment more recently 2021-2022? When stocks and USTs went down… utilities were acting as bonds .. key point not the first time we haven’t seen the usual flight to safety… also the current timeframe is very acute .. why not mention or at least caveat it a bit and say some of the excess leverage and basis trades that are also impacting the movement … seem like a Larry summers paid bot
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The facts are that when there’s been high volatility in the US equities markets, US treasuries (TLT as an example during covid in 2020) traded at almost a 50% higher price than today.
Investors pivoted to US treasuries as a “risk free” asset during volatile equity markets.
Treasury yields have spiked during this uncertain / volatile equity environment with bond prices tanking.
Clearly US treasuries don’t have the same “risk free” asset allocation view as determined by the market, with treasury and equities moving down together. Similar to what you see in emerging markets.
That was my point
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@devin_j_obrien @MarginalContrib “I felt” feelings don’t care about facts 🤡
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@MarginalContrib He can be. But when I listened to the actual points made, I felt none of them came close to Larry’s point on the US trading like an emerging market.
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@devin_j_obrien @drewfallon12 So Larry summers can’t be wrong?
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@devin_j_obrien @drewfallon12 Lmao same
I thought Larry made good analogy on differences in the market between US and emerging markets or developing countries.
The Pod is loosing it’s trust mainly I think because of Chamath and David
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