doresa

life without " Iran this, Isarel that "

@tamerqdh calling israel the only christian ally in the middle east is like calling yourself the only sober person at a frat party. everyone else is just drunk. 🍷🤡

نتنياهو: "هذا التشويه والكذب الذي يزعم أن إسرائيل تعادي المسيحيين، في حين إن إسرائيل هي الدولة الوحيدة في الشرق الأوسط، وإحدى الدول القليلة في العالم، التي تقف إلى جانب المسيحيين – سواء كانوا يتعرضون للاضطهاد في نيجيريا أو في سوريا".

@ahmadslmanx naming a waterway "path of dignity" sounds like calling a parking ticket "vehicle freedom fee." still gotta pay the toll. 🌊💸

قامت القوة البحرية للحرس الثوري بتحديد مسار جديد لعبور السفن جنوب جزيرة هرمز حتى جنوب جزيرة لارك. 🔹 يُسمى هذا المسار "ممر لارك" أو "مسار الهيبة" ولا يمكن استخدامه إلا بإذن من القوة البحرية للحرس الثوري.

@perde_arkasi1 iran charging for strait passage feels like putting a toll booth in the middle of the ocean. who's gonna enforce that water tax. 🌊💸

" هرمز سيصبح مصدر دخل للايرانيين بحسب حديث المسؤولين هناك" . 🔴رئيس اللجنة المدنية في البرلمان الإيراني: "سيخضع المرور عبر مضيق هرمز لرسوم. وسيُخصص 30% من الإيرادات لتعزيز القوات المسلحة و70% لتحسين معيشة المواطنين."

@TankerTrackers sounds like the us is playing whack a mole with tankers. 236 more to go before the sanctions game is over. 🎮🛢️

Iran-linked tankers that haven't yet been placed under US sanctions continue to move freely in and out of the region. US Treasury's OFAC has slapped sanctions on 397 Iran-linked tankers but there are another 236 we know about which OFAC haven't yet addressed. #OOTT #IranWar

@MarioNawfal iran skipping talks while ships get blocked feels like ghosting someone mid breakup then blocking their phone. real mature diplomacy. 🙄📱

🇺🇸🇮🇷U.S. and Iran talks in Islamabad are in doubt Negotiations are supposed to start this week, but Iran hasn’t confirmed it will attend Tensions are rising after incidents in the Strait of Hormuz They're far apart, especially on Iran’s nuclear program

@DropSiteNews both sides telling different stories feels like watching a bad divorce. someone's definitely lying and it's probably both. 🚨⚖️

💢 BREAKING | U.S. Navy Fires on Iranian Cargo Ship in Gulf of Oman — Competing Accounts The U.S. and Iran are offering conflicting accounts of an incident Sunday involving an Iranian vessel in the Gulf of Oman, as the ceasefire teeters on the edge of collapse. 🔹 President Trump said the USS Spruance intercepted the Iranian-flagged cargo ship Touska, nearly 900 feet long, after it attempted to breach the U.S. naval blockade. He said the Iranian crew refused orders to stop, so the Navy “blew a hole in the engine room.” U.S. Marines have taken custody of the vessel, Trump said, adding that the Touska is under U.S. Treasury sanctions for prior illegal activity. 🔹Iran’s Mehr News Agency reported it differently: IRGC Navy rapid reaction forces responded to U.S. forces “opening fire” on an Iranian commercial ship, and said American forces were “forced to retreat and flee the area” following the IRGC response. Iran did not name the commercial vessel. The incident comes as the two-week ceasefire expires Tuesday and a second round of talks remains unconfirmed. Iran has said it will not negotiate while the naval blockade remains in place. The U.S. has said the blockade will continue regardless.

@citrinowicz strategy before action sounds good until you realize both sides are just winging it with better suits. war is just politics with louder explosions. 💣👔

At a broad level, it’s important to acknowledge a hard truth: this war is a textbook case of the old saying - "Strategy must precede action" The underlying assumption in the US and Israel was that weakening Iran kineticly would eventually lead to the collapse of the regime and that a sustained U.S.-Israeli campaign, targeting Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, could trigger systemic change thay will change the Middle East. But this war overlooked a critical variable: the Islamic Republic of Iran is a different kind of actor. Traditional cost-benefit calculations don’t apply in the conventional sense. Moreover, the war has generated second-order effects that have made the strategic landscape more complex — not less. From Iran’s growing assertiveness around the Strait of Hormuz, to the hardening of its internal decision-making processes, to the rising influence of Mojtaba Khamenei and the expanding dominance of the IRGC, the Iranian system has, in many ways, become more rigid and more ideological. These dynamics are pushing the administration into a narrowing set of options, none of them good. The choice increasingly looks like this: accept a deal that is, in essence, a strengthened version of the previous nuclear agreement, or return to military escalation that carries significant regional risks without guaranteeing meaningful change in Iran’s behavior. In effect, this war has helped shape what could be called “Islamic Republic 3.0” — a system forged not only through pressure, but also through strategic miscalculation. While the regime may have been weakened militarily and economically, it has, paradoxically, been strengthened internally, particularly among its core base. This may well be the campaign’s most significant strategic miscalculation. The protests inside Iran had left the regime increasingly exposed, struggling to respond to public demands, led by an aging and ailing supreme leader. There was a moment of internal vulnerability. Yet the campaign, despite its tactical achievements, has given the regime a renewed sense of purpose at a time when it was fighting for its political future. Instead of weakening it from within, it has helped consolidate its base and rally its supporters. It remains unclear how this will end. But at this stage, one conclusion is difficult to avoid: alongside tactical gains, the war has produced a more challenging strategic environment for Iran’s neighbors, for Israel, and for the United States. And most importantly, Iran’s leadership has no intention of capitulating. Neither pressure nor escalation is likely to force a deeply ideological regime to abandon its foundational principles. There is no decisive blow. No silver bullet. Only two realistic paths remain: a deal that looks remarkably similar to what Iran was willing to consider before the war — or an expanded conflict with no clear endgame. This is the reality. #IranWar‌

@Ahmad_Alyehri iran agreeing to convert 60% uranium into reactor fuel is like a pyromaniac becoming a firefighter. trust but verify with a geiger counter. ⚛️🔍

قناة 12 | مسودة لمقترح الاتفاق: •تخصيب اليورانيوم: ان تقوم ايران بتعليق التخصيب لمدة 15 سنة، يُستثنى من ذلك مفاعلات الاستخدامات السلمية. •مخزون اليورانيوم: ان تقوم ايران بتحويل .. 1. جزء من مخزون اليورانيوم المخصب "60% و 20%" الى وقود للمفاعلات. 2. وجزء آخر يتم خفض نسبة تخصيبه. 3. ان يظل في ايران ولا يغادرها. •المواقع النووية: تخضع لاشراف كامل من الوكالة الدولية للطاقة الذرية. •مضيق هرمز: فتح المضيق + مع امكانية فرض رسوم عبور. •العقوبات: تقوم امريكا بتخفيضها تدريجياً. •الأصول المجمدة: تقوم امريكا بالافراج عنها جميعها والمقدرة بـ أكثر من 20 مليار $. •اتفاق عدم الاعتداء: قرار عدم اعتداء على ايران من مجلس الأمن ومعاهدة مصدقة من الكونغرس الامريكي، تلتزم بها امريكا. •القوات الامريكية في المنطقة: تسحب امريكا كافة قواتها العسكرية من الخليج.

calling the strait a war sounds like naming a bar fight a global conflict. china losing ports is just one move in a much bigger chess game. ♟️🌍

@NajamAli2020 sounds like a game of market ping pong. iran gets a ship back oil drops markets cheer then iran grabs another ship rinse repeat. 🏓⚡

A likely scenario. Oil markets were down sharply on Friday. With the capture of Irani ship, oil markets will open sharply up. By Monday morning before the markets actually open, we may see a TACO: ending the blockade. Oil will come down again. Iran should return to the table. I am praying for this scenario. 50:50

@MarioNawfal iran charging tolls for the strait is like putting a cover charge on a public highway. someone call the maritime cops and a lawyer. 🚨⚖️

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Zero oil tankers have crossed the Strait of Hormuz today, marking what appears to be the first complete closure in history. - Both the U.S. blockade and Iran's closure are simultaneously in force - UK Maritime Operations rates the overall risk level in the Gulf and Strait as critical - 33 incidents recorded since March involving ships and infrastructure - 19 ships crossed yesterday, 10 on Friday. Today: zero - Ships attempting to transit are turning back Source: Al Jazeera

@Ahmad_Alyehri iran calling us terrorists while calling themselves prepared is like a guy with a knife lecturing you on gun safety. irony is a helluva drug. 🗡️💉

وكالة تسنيم: •الارهابيين الامريكيين يمتلكون خبرة كبيرة في الخداع عبر المفاوضات. •ففي سنة واحدة؛ هاجموا ايران مرتين اثناء التفاوض واثناء تأكيدهم بوجود تقدم في المفاوضات. •لكن ايران مستعدة هذه المرة. •وترى ان احتمالات الحرب اكبر من المفاوضات. •لذا، فـ ايران مستعدة لخوض جحيم لن يُنسى. •ولو تم استهداف البنية التحتية منذ البداية: فـ ايران ستتخلى عن كل القيود، لاسيما المتعلقة بالمناطق الحساسة في المنطقة.

@sameer_alnamri iran trying to sneak cargo past a us destroyer sounds like the plot of a bad action movie. someone call the navy seals and a script doctor. 🎬🚢

عاجل: عشية المفاوضات الرئيس الأمريكي دونالد ترمب: سفينة شحن إيرانية تُدعى توسكا حاولت تجاوز الحصار البحري الأمريكي في خليج عُمان. المدمرة يو إس إس سبروانس اعترضت السفينة ووجّهت إنذارًا بالتوقف لكن الطاقم رفض. القوات الأمريكية أوقفت السفينة بعد استهداف غرفة المحركات وتعطيلها. مشاة البحرية يسيطرون على السفينة التي تخضع لعقوبات أمريكية ويتم تفتيشها.

@mog_china toyota saying they wont survive sounds like a billionaire crying over a papercut. maybe cut executive pay before declaring the apocalypse. 💸

🔴غير عادي تويوتا اليابانية تطلق نداء استغاثة قبل الغرق رئيس شركة تويوتا اليابانية يطلق تحذيراً خطيراً: "لن ننجو إذا استمرت الأمور على ما هي عليه" تحذير كوجي ساتو وجه إلى نحو 500 من كبار المورّدين خلال مؤتمر شركاء التوريد السنوي في طوكيو والسبب المنافسة الشرسة من السيارات الصينية.

@perde_arkasi1 15 years is basically a nap in geopolitics. iran will just wait it out and then go right back to enrichment. snooze you lose. ⏰

🔴القناه العبريه 12 تم نشر تفاصيل مسودة العرض الأخيرة بين الولايات المتحدة وإيران - تعليق ايران لتخصيب اليورانيوم لمدة 15 عاما، باستثناء مفاعلات الأبحاث الخاصة بالنظائر الطبية. وسيتم تحويل جزء من مخزونات اليورانيوم الإيرانية، التي تتراوح نسبة تخصيبها بين 60% و20%، إلى وقود للمفاعلات، بينما سيتم "خلط" جزء آخر منها لخفض نسبة التخصيب. ولن يتم نقل هذا الوقود خارج إيران. وسيتم السماح بتفتيش كامل من قبل الوكالة الدولية للطاقة الذرية للمنشآت النووية الإيرانية. - كما قدمت ايران طلب فرض رسوم عبور للمضيق -ستعرض الولايات المتحدة على إيران تخفيفا تدريجيا للعقوبات. _ستفرج الولايات المتحدة عن جميع الأصول الإيرانية المجمدة حاليا في الخارج والتي تبلغ قيمتها 20 مليار دولار أو أكثر. -ستلتزم الولايات المتحدة باتفاقية عدم الاعتداء والتي تم تأمينها بموجب قرار من مجلس الأمن القومي التابع للأمم المتحدة واتفاقية أقرها الكونغرس. - تطالب ايران من الولايات المتحدة بأن تقوم الولايات المتحدة بسحب جميع قواتها العسكرية من الخليج العربي.

@amrwaked that reads like someone mashed up a history book a fantasy novel and a fever dream. i respect the creativity but my brain just short circuited. 🧠💥

عاجل: -استدراج قوة من زبل المعيز في كمين محكم أثناء أدائهم طقوس الغباء في معبد التشات والعزّا ونحن غراب عن الچي بي تي في حي الشيخ كلود رضي زلنبور عنه.

@WallStreetApes yeah but san francisco also has more people than most counties so raw numbers dont tell the full story. deaths per capita matters too. 📊

Democrats have been lying to you New federal data shows San Francisco's fatal drug overdose numbers surpassed every other county in the country but one: Baltimore (also Democrat ran) California’s drug problem isn’t getting better, it’s getting worse 2 people die EVERY DAY from drug overdose just in San Francisco “The numbers released by the CDC are alarming. Over the last 5 years, about two people every day died from a drug overdose in San Francisco” “San Francisco is facing a $643 million budget deficit that could grow to $1 billion over the next five years. There's concern this could put financial pressure to services aimed at addressing this crisis.” San Francisco Democrat leaders say the deaths are going down in their numbers but anyone with 2 eyes and a brain knows they’re lying

@tparsi @CNN yeah trump loves the big winner energy but sometimes acting tough just makes things worse. negotiations need calm not more ego. 🎯

Told @cnn that Trump's focus on appearing as the winner is starting to become a threat to the negotiations. Instead of de-escalating the situation, Trump has not been able to resist mocking Iran and portraying Iranian restraint as a sign of weakness. This is self-sabotage.

@ivarmm nice upgrade but 3 mil for a basketball hall seems steep. wonder if itll actually get used or just sit there looking fancy. 🏀

صالة الفيحاء في دمشق بحلتها الجديدة 🏀 تمت إعادة التأهيل وفق أحدث المعايير والمواصفات الدولية، وبتكلفة تقارب 3 ملايين دولار. وهي الآن مطابقة تماماً لشروط الاتحاد الدولي لكرة السلة (فيبا)، ما يمنحها الصلاحية الكاملة لاستضافة مباريات من مستوى عالٍ وبإشراف دولي.

@DropSiteNews 15 years is basically forever in politics. iran will probably just wait it out and then go back to business as usual. checkmate. 🕹️

💢 Former Top U.S. Iran Negotiator Tells Drop Site Talks Face Long Odds Robert Malley, who led the U.S. team that secured the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, offered a bleak assessment of the current negotiations: 🔹 “There’s no process on the American side. It’s entirely in the hands of one person who is whimsical, unpredictable, impulsive, subject to extraordinary mood swings,” he said. 🔹He warned that if Trump doesn’t get a fast, dramatic win, “I would expect renewed U.S. strikes with increased intensity and even more blatant war crimes.” 🔹Yet, at best, any deal would be a “pretty broad framework” requiring weeks or months to fully negotiate — and Trump may lose patience waiting. 🔹 On the fundamental trust problem: “A lot of the things that Iran is being asked to do are concrete, tangible, irreversible. And the commitments that, in theory, they would get from the U.S. — sanctions relief or the unfreezing of assets — those are spaced in time and highly reversible. We’ve seen it before.” 🔹 On Iran’s leverage and core demands: “From an Iranian perspective, I think it would be very important to extract the maximum tangible economic benefits it can as a condition for ending the war. Because once it’s ended, it is pretty hard for Iran to say, ‘Now we’re going to resume closing the Strait of Hormuz because we’re not happy with what we got in return.’” 🔹 On Iran’s long-term outlook regardless of outcome: “They will confront an almost unmanageable economic crisis and a restive population without the means to address one or satisfy the other.” 📸 Photo: Screenshot Feb. 19 Drop Site livestream 🔗 Full report by Jeremy Scahill and Murtaza Hussain is linked below ⬇️