Entropy 100

My polymarket journey ended badly due to inconsistent ruling on ceasefire market. Previously there were multiple pseudo ceasefires on almost every easter, but it didn't stop polyamarket team from resolving to Yes this time. RIP no holders and me 🙏 #UIA1KP0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/portfolio?r=Sm…

@penguin_pmkt Car is a scammer. Everything he writes should be treated as a scam attempt

as a ceasefire Y holder, car is pumping his shares for an exit because he copytraded and was wrong

@EpsilonPM Scout is a scammer way worse than aenews. This scumbag literally baits naive users on discords to make wrong disputes into his proposals. Very well suited for uma dirt organization

UMA Rocks Update 🚨 In response to the recent criticism, UMA Rocks has decided to remove aenews as an advisor/voter. (It is possible aenews stepped down, you can see their exact wording below.) Instead, they are replacing him on the voting committee with TWO ACTIVE TRADERS. This was never about aenews in particular, nor any individual. It is about the fact that traders should NOT be involved in the resolution of markets in such a way where they can meaningfully swing the outcome. It is also quite clear that UMA Rocks does indeed have this kind of influence, intentional or not. (See my latest two posts) This is so obviously problematic that it need not be argued. This is equivalent to the Polymarket team being allowed to trade on markets they are clarifying. It would be egregiously unfair and damaging to the integrity of the market to say the least. Hopefully @bosaurum and the @Polymarket team will continue to clarify markets in the future & ensure a fair playing field for all traders.

@MuddyRC Probably they will introduce fees on geopolitics too. They seem to become too greedy

If you're concerned about the newly introduced Polymarket fees, remember that geopolitics is excluded from the new fee structure Some of the best opportunities on Polymarket are in this category

@Nik_Poly poornik strategies

11% profit in 24 hours? There is a lot of chaos around the following market. Lots of arguments for both sides (whether valid or not). Most important thing is that UMA.rocks has voted P2. Once again, I doubt they will lose this vote. They hold close to 10% of the voting power. Many voters will follow UMA.rocks their vote. DYOR, anything can happen, I hold some shares.

@sternenko Просто як відомо people are retarded. З такими дебілами народних мас треба працювати в стилі Трампа. А адекватні люди розуміють що до чого, але від цього економічно легше не стає

Побачив, що медіа зробили новину з моєї учорашньої заяви про падіння донатів та скорочення витрат на допомогу війську на 15% Внесу трохи ясності. Основна причина — російські терористичні атаки на українську енергетику та бізнес. Людям було вкрай важко цієї зими, і це відобразилося на донатах. Бізнес теж не дуже охочий допомагати, йому нині дуже тяжко. Ще одна причина — постійні атаки на волонтерів та фонди, які не дають ефекту «тут і зараз», але відіграють значення у середньостроковій перспективі. Частково ці атаки здійснюють росіяни через свої мережі. Частково ними займаються окремі народні депутати — можна згадати представника ЄС Гончаренка, котрий розгорнув цілу кампанію проти мене та Сергія Притули. Частково в цьому добровільно беруть участь і наші громадяни. Подивіться на ці скріншоти. Це пишуть здебільшого реальні люди. Вони брешуть, поливають брудом і були б щасливі, якби українські воїни не отримували жодної допомоги. Їм байдуже, що мене мало не вбила росія за мою роботу, що я віддав з власних зароблених коштів понад 10 млн на військо, що спалив собі нервову систему, працюючи 24/7 ці 4 роки, дозволивши собі лише раз відпочити кілька днів. Їх втішила б тільки моя смерть. Це наслідок розпалювання ворожнечі конкретними політичними силами, які плювати хотіли на Україну та військових. У них «передвиборчий процес» триває усі роки повномасштабного вторгнення. Але повторю — основна причина падіння донатів від фізосіб це збіднішання людей через тяжку економічну ситуацію. Прикро, що разом із росіянами і деякі українці зичать українській армії не отримувати вкрай необхідну допомогу. Але ми все одно будемо робити, що мусимо. Даватимемо війську більше дронів. Будемо знаходити та масштабувати нові типи FPV, щоб український солдат отримав перевагу. Бо адекватних людей все одно дуже багато. На них усе і тримається. Допомагайте війську!

@Nik_Poly Do you mean uma discord or do uma rocks have their own channel?

@entropy_100 They post it in their discord

Iran strikes Israel on march 6th? NO❌ Nice bond at 99.5, maybe you can even get some fills on 99.3. ⏰Hold time: 24 hours for 99.9, 34 hours for 100% Reason: no eligible strike happened. UMA.rocks (10% of voting power, voted NO)

@Eltonma Bro you need to get in much better shape. Go and do some sports. Lift weights and go to a fighting club for cardio. Your poly balance will not suffice when you stand before the massage goddess. Best wishes

Ok update on the massage therapist situation. She came today and wants to break it off. But since I paid for a whole year and is not yet over her, she says she will give me some compensation. She will come the next 7 days to be with me. And after that we break up she will be in a relationship with me, seeing me 1-3 times per month, for at least the next 3 months. But I need to promise her that I will pay her no money at all. So that I can get over her more easily.

@0xd1namit This is the first mentioned option - 1.2.1

@entropy_100 what about just placing limit buys on both sides

Polymarket "Jesus return" rewards incident breakdown Someone accidentally added 70k usc rewards to the event. This caused the price to move anomally In this thread I'm going to describe possible plays in this situation

3) Whales place millions in resting orders a bit far from middle point, so you can calculate your share of rewards if you do all the math. The share is pretty low At the moment the best strategy to me is just to buy No and wait till rewards end and Yes holders race for exit

2) Dont forget - once farming is done the price will most probably drop. That is why carrying many Yes shares carries singnificant risks

@thegreektrader Regular betting sites are scams worse than slot casinos. They literally ban you if they ever SUSPECT you making profit in any way. All betting sites should go to oblivion once prediction markets go mainstream and take over. So better not to touch them at all and let them die

I arbitrage between Polymarket and traditional sportsbooks for almost risk-free returns. I max bet on Akylas to win the Greek National Final for Eurovision at 3.75 odds, now he is at 1.20. I also hedged by buying the second favorite on Polymarket at 7.14.