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bra d e n

@fallguysbean32

Nationally ranked nose blower. Bengals, Betting, Cat Daddy.

Katılım Şubat 2012
497 Takip Edilen771 Takipçiler
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
Made my mom's phone autocorrect "good" to "that's fire dog" and she got mad like wtf she should be thanking me for elevating her text game
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Goodberry
Goodberry@JoeGoodberry·
Best head coach win percentages Against The Spread (min 20 games) 1) Dan Campbell (61.5%) 2) Mike MacDonald (56.3%) 3) Matt LeFleur (55.2%) 4) Zac Taylor (54.8%) 5) Sean Payton (54.7%) 6) Sean McVay (54.5%) 7) Mike Vrabel (54.0%) 8) Nick Sirianni (53.7%) 9) Andy Reid (53.2%) 10) Dave Canales (52.9%)
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Rob Perez
Rob Perez@WorldWideWob·
Harden is one of many who are guilty of doing this regularly, but this time no whistle all but ended the game.
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
@UnderdogNBA it was one play and they got a good look with kleber setting the screen
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Underdog NBA
Underdog NBA@UnderdogNBA·
Rui Hachimura in 2026 playoffs: 33-58 3PT (56.9%) Not on the floor for Lakers' possession needing a 3. Thunder win and sweep.
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Underdog NBA
Underdog NBA@UnderdogNBA·
ANTHONY EDWARDS Ant scores 12 straight Wolves points to end the 1st quarter.
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
how do you not call travel on ant there lmao
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
@adamlevitan I generally agree but think it’s important to note that regular kalshi users can’t bet the under/no side of props or sgp’s, which is bullshit imo
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Adam Levitan
Adam Levitan@adamlevitan·
Some people taking this as me saying prediction markets are bad for bettors. Want to be clear that is not my take at all. I'd actually say they are good for a bunch of reasons: 1. Unlikely to get limited or banned 2. Can find better prices than there are on books 3. All markets are 2-way, yes or no. The 1-way markets on books are often criminal amounts of juice. 4. Can get far more fair "cash outs" as the markets are always open until they settle I'm sure there are more positives (and negatives) to the PM model. Want to do a show on all this soon, with people far more knowledgeable than me on it.
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
@JoeGoodberry impressed by your work as always, really makes me lose respect for FOs in general lol. interested to watch thieneman’s career unfold
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Goodberry
Goodberry@JoeGoodberry·
@fallguysbean32 From this 1st round - Jonathan Cooper was graded super low for us
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
@baseballlsdfs i know this content doesn’t always do numbers but these jokes absolutely crush with me, never lay off the grifters
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@UnderdogWNBA There are 44 games in the season so all of them are national tv that’s nuts
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Underdog WNBA
Underdog WNBA@UnderdogWNBA·
The Fever have all 44 of their regular season games on national TV this year. Most nationally televised games: Fever - 44 Wings - 36 Liberty - 35 Aces - 33 Sparks - 31
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Kid Riles
Kid Riles@kid_riles·
Take a good look folks. These are the Minnesota boundary waters. Every Republican senator voted to allow a Chilean billionaire to mine it. The minerals will go to China. This truly enrages me. It should you as well. Fuck, and I mean fuck… The @GOP 🖕
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
@FiddlesPicks awards markets are a completely different thing. maybe you’re right and all these openers are exactly .5u for you lol
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
"learn ball" is a euphemism for not knowing what your talking about - not basketball related lol. kalshi and polymarket did not put up any lines for hours upon hours after DK/FD/CZ etc did for play in and playoffs. I am also giving out plays so need to grade fairly. I cant assume others have P2s, cant assume people can bet big into draftkings or FD openers, cant assume the liquidity available for a lot of people tailing me is enough on an exchange early in cycle when there is a few hundred bucks to maybe 5k available in total (thats the range 95% of the time i am playing into early sportsbook lines). On my last stream (monday morning) I said early on in the show I am going to give a kalshi market thats not open at a lot of books and the price where it was on FD/CZ was not that good and worth betting. Then at the end of the stream i said ok lets look at the kalshi market. It was SGA Western Conference Finals MVP. I had got it for 51cents the night before the stream prob 6-8 hours prior and didnt recheck, there was a lot of liquidity at 52-55 cents, I took all at 51c Sunday night (2k to win 3,955k). I pulled up the market and it had moved to 56 cents and with buyers fees would have been worse than the sportsbooks now and said ahhh nvm. was live on the stream. here is my order in the market. trust me i cannot bet even 1k on draftkings openers with how consistently I get CLV. Closer to 200-400 regularly, and takes working with people.
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bra d e n
bra d e n@fallguysbean32·
@FiddlesPicks that doesn’t have much at all to do with knowing ball but there’s no way you can feasibly only get a half unit on all your sides plays lol. no access to exchanges in your state i assume?
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Michael Fiddle
Michael Fiddle@FiddlesPicks·
@fallguysbean32 learn ball. unit is a measure of bankroll exposure generally between 1-2%. i bet a lot of openers where you cant get as much down, so compared to my bankroll, it very much is.
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