nikitos

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nikitos

@fixnik28

Web3 surfer / Active contributor @Polymarket researcher Advanced AGI on @SentientAGI My DS - fixnik28 (Nik)

Katılım Mart 2014
1.1K Takip Edilen1.5K Takipçiler
nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
Highest grossing movie in 2026? @Polymarket The $1.2M volume on the 2026 box office race is where the real alpha is hiding. Spider-Man: Brand New Day leading at 38% with a sharp +13% spike isn't just retail hype, it's a structural shift in market sentiment that most are missing. While the order book fades Avengers (17%), the smart money is tracking the Holland/Zendaya narrative with surgical precision. With a confirmed July 2026 release, this movie is shaping up to be the ultimate summer meta for the entire industry. I’m backing the web slinger here the momentum is too clean and the chart looks ready for more. Is Spidey a lock for the top spot, or is the market underestimating the competition? Where is your prediction?
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@narendramodi this visit to yad vashem is such a powerful gesture and seeing both leaders stand in silence really underscores the depth of the india-israel partnership right now
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Narendra Modi
Narendra Modi@narendramodi·
Laid a wreath at Yad Vashem, the World Holocaust Remembrance Center. Grateful to PM Netanyahu for accompanying me during this visit. Also visited the Hall of Names, a solemn space that preserves the memory of those who suffered and perished during the Holocaust. The Holocaust stands as one of humanity’s darkest chapters. It is an eternal reminder of the need to uphold humanity, dignity and peace. @netanyahu @yadvashem
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@elonmusk elon calling out high treason in the uk parliament is a massive escalation even for his standards
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@0Ridddle zach is known for being precise but a delay would absolutely wreck those heavy ninety five percent predictions
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Ridddle
Ridddle@0Ridddle·
What if ZachXBT doesn't release his investigation tomorrow? As you know he announced the drop for February 26th, and the market has completely priced it in. Look at the chart: • February 26th 95,8% • February 25th 2.0% • February 27th 1.9% • February 28th 0.7% • March 1th 0.4% • No release by March 1th 0.3% Everyone is betting heavily on a punctual release. But in crypto, massive investigations often get delayed at the last minute for final fact-checking, new wallet discoveries, or legal reasons. Think about it. As always, DYOR & NFA.
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Marko
Marko@Marko_Poly·
A Vietnamese politician on Polymarket In Vietnam’s election, there are only two candidates left, and he’s betting for Le Minh Hung and against Tran Luu Quang He also literally created his Polymarket account three days ago and placed a bet that Le Minh Hung will become Vietnam’s new prime minister Other than this market, he has no other predictions. He funded his deposit wallet from Coinbase, and there haven’t been any other transactions - which feels kinda sus. I think he’s worth watching. If you wanna try copying his trade, use @polybotcopy
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@Mnilax @Polymarket @Xbox English the community skepticism makes sense given her background but that polymarket jump suggests the whales are betting on corporate efficiency over gamer cred
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Mnimiy
Mnimiy@Mnilax·
A new era for Microsoft or an imminent collapse? Asha Sharma has officially replaced Phil Spencer as CEO of Xbox. She has already assured the audience that the company will not chase "soulless AI garbage," but will instead focus on high-quality releases. Despite these statements, gamers have not welcomed Sharma warmly: > she is being accused of fake tweets > users pointing out that her Xbox account was created just a month ago > the very same AI is writing her posts on Twitter. but anyway, Polymarket chances for MSFT stock to stay above $390 by the end of February have doubled. what are your thoughts on these changes? and do you generally prefer Xbox or PS5? xd
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Lutchyn
Lutchyn@Lutchyn13·
I’m betting against logic — because that’s how upsets are born. First prediction for tonight’s Champions League clash — Real Madrid vs Benfica. The teams meet for the third time this season — and the last. Previous games left behind plenty of conflicts, drama, and highlight moments that are still being discussed online. Benfica will be without Mourinho on the touchline tonight, but he definitely has a plan for this game. I think they can surprise and keep their chances alive until the final whistle. Personally, I want to see more controversy, entertaining football, goals, and maybe even an upset — that’s exactly what I’m betting on. My Polymarket pick — Benfica to win. Second prediction — Juventus vs Galatasaray. After a disappointing first match, the Turin side needs to do something incredible tonight — but it’s definitely possible. Even though their situation looks worse than Inter’s did yesterday when they were sensationally knocked out. Galatasaray will do everything to avoid losing by more than two goals, and if possible, to get a positive result and go through. Personally, I expect dominance from the Old Lady, goals, and drama until the final whistle. My Polymarket pick — Juventus to win by two goals or more.
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shmidt
shmidt@shmidtqq·
This guy turned $5,000 into $300,000 with a 100% win rate 🤯 And no, this isn’t clickbait, it’s the real deal. An unknown trader just pulled off a 60x return on his capital, all in a single day of trading. Absolutely insane. He’s trading Ethereum / Bitcoin ETF flows markets. One of the most unusual trading approaches I’ve ever seen. On top of that, he recently placed bets that the OPINION token wouldn’t launch between March 10-31. Another incredibly unconventional move. This is hands down one of the most controversial profiles I’ve ever come across. Fascinating to watch. >> $5,000 → $300,000 >> 10 predictions >> 100% win rate >> 1 day of trading I put it on copytrade and I advise you to do it through @ratio_dot_you using code: 67XWCSHA (for more benefits) Profile: @0xCBED92A9dc14802a2957De4a7d81d3c6a038BbB9-1771998936959?tab=positions" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xCBED92A9dc1
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@0xDPool covering those elon ranges instead of guessing a single number is such a smart move for narrowing down risk
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DPool
DPool@0xDPool·
How to Make 20-110% in a Week on Elon Musk’s Activity By using a range coverage strategy instead of betting on a single number > There’s no need to predict the outcome Because you simply have to wait for the range to be narrowed Throughout the week, ranges are being closed that have lost their relevance: > 240-259 - 7% > 260-279 - 11% > 280-299 - 15% > 300-319 - 13% > 320-539 - 13% The idea behind the strategy is not to predict anything
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@CryptoLorenzo2k over half a million since january is wild and those five minute markets are the perfect place for a fast bot
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Lorenzo2K
Lorenzo2K@CryptoLorenzo2k·
Polymarket copy trading is for everyone I found a bot trading 5-minute markets non-stop on Polymarket Its PnL is around $550,128 since January, with 8,176 predictions If you want to track wallets like this, I use Polygun the most convenient Telegram bot I’ve used Guide on how to copy it: 1. Start the Telegram bot @Polygun_ 2. Use my promo code to get a commission discount lorenzo13kk 3. Top up your wallet in your profile 4. Click Copy Trade 5. Click Add Copy Trade 6. Enter the wallet address you want to copy 7. Give it a name for convenience Wallet address of that trader: 0x0ea574f3204c5c9c0cdead90392ea0990f4d17e4 Always DYOR every trader, guys
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Tengen@0xTengen_

polymarket just dropped a 3.15% taker fee on 5 min crypto markets 10 days later, a brand new trader made $124k account "vague-sourdough" registered in feb 2026 he already banked $124,835 with an insane win rate on btc and sol "up or down" markets his strategy? everyone thought the new taxes would destroy latency arbitrage bots, they were wrong probably the bot didn't change its core logic, it just updated its math, instead of spamming small gaps, the script only snipes absolute certainties where the latency spread is wider than the 3.15% platform fee it eats the tax as a business expense and still clears a profit his profile to track: @vague-sourdough?via=tengen" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@vague-sourdou… drop a follow if you want to see more unique wallets high fees don't kill the bots, they just filter out the slow ones

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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@DextersSolab farming those sports props with ninety percent probability is a masterclass in boring but effective compounding
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Dexter's Lab
Dexter's Lab@DextersSolab·
Tracking this whale with Ratio now. He's probably the most dominant trader I've ever seen: > Joined mid-2025 with $98k > Now sits above $11M in total profit > Over $1.8M made in the last 30 days That’s not luck. His edge isn’t lottery tickets or political chaos. He farms sports like NFL, NBA and Super Bowl props. While everyone hunts 20x narratives, he buys outcomes already priced at 70-90% probability and sizes aggressively. He simply stacks boring edges and he does it really well: > Buying at $0.95-0.99 > Letting them resolve at $1 > Repeating thousands of times Small 1-3% edges + massive volume + compounding = exponential curve. Look at his stats: > Single-day $1.8M during Super Bowl > Biggest win ~$1.1M on one position The real lesson: He doesn’t try to predict everything. He dominates one arena, sizes with conviction, reinvests relentlessly, and lets math do the heavy lifting. Boring. Systematic. Ruthless. Added him to my watch list.
Dexter's Lab@DextersSolab

Found a new mobile app for Polymarket traders. The ecosystem is growing daily guys. Just as I warned you months ago. One more proof that prediction markets are reaching the next level. More and more builders pop up and reach App Store level. This one did. You'll find a leaderboard, whale tracker, both trading and mirroring features inside. You can also add friends here and track each other. Link: [ratio.you/r/YF9FM9N6] Let's connect!

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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@llledever that win rate on solana and ripple is actually impressive sounds like a solid specialist account to track
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VoidReader
VoidReader@VoidReader_·
Found a wallet that made 955 predictions on Solana and Ripple His winnings are up to +$398,855 His win rate is 66.2% Do you think he is a bot or a human copycat? His total PNL is currently $241,797 I specifically looked for a wallet that trades these coins, since most people trade Bitcoin and ETH, these coins should not be underestimated His wallet: 0xdb32d3d83ec2638be539f768e31a3cc89250b646
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@fuchexcrypto madrid at home is always a different beast and seeing vinicius wrap it up like that was clinical
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fuche@fuchexcrypto·
⚽️Real Madrid vs Benfica tonight – absolute banger incoming? 🔥 UCL playoff second leg at the Bernabéu. Real snagged a gritty 1-0 in Lisbon – now they just need to close it out. But 1-0 ties are sketchy; one slip and it's chaos. Mbappé sidelined (injury/rotation), so Viní has to go nuclear. Benfica's only shot? High press from kickoff, disrupt Madrid's build-up early – or they'll get possession-ed to death and picked apart on counters. Camavinga/Valverde must dominate midfield, or Di María & co. will feast on the wings. Polymarket (real money crowd wisdom) is loading up on Madrid: Real win: 56-57¢ (~57% chance) Draw: 23¢ Benfica win: 21¢ Over $2.2M volume already – degens betting big on Hala Madrid closing the tie. My take: 2-1 or 3-1 Real, controlled but clinical. If Benfica sneaks an early one? Pure fireworks. Grab your drink, tune in.
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clover.png
clover.png@just_clov4r·
The most profitable girl trader keeps printing money In this month alone, she's made $500,000 $240,000 in a week. And an impressive $88,000 today Right now, SwissMiss ranks 23rd all-time by PnL on @Polymarket She currently has $3,200,000 in open positions Her biggest single win is a bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates vs the Cincinnati Reds, bringing her $537,128 in profit She's getting closer and closer to the top 10
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clover.png@just_clov4r

A girl who made over $3,000,000 on Polymarket In this month alone, SwissMiss has earned over $700,000 and she's not stopping Right now, she is almost the largest holder of the outcome that the United States will not strike Iran The only one ahead of her is the well-known Anoin123, who has lost more than $960,000 just this week She is the most profitable girl trader on Polymarket At the moment, she ranks 24th all-time by PnL on the platform She mostly bets on political markets Do you think she's an insider or is it just luck? Copytrade here: polycule.trade/join/upadnu

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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@bored2boar ten k in a week is huge honestly playing on those emotional spikes is such a solid way to trade poly
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Oracle Boar
Oracle Boar@bored2boar·
🚨: Challenge update I've been copy trading this guy for a week. Result? +$10,750 on aliens market thanks to a single spike. This guy keeps trading the most trending markets (that's how i found him). He's using limit orders to buy cheap, then places sell limit orders to close everything after a 3-5x move. He's not chasing longshots, but playing on human emotions. One headline turns 2% odds into 10% in minutes. His wallet address: 0x073a1caba3c22e9e361ceae83aaa5405706f91e7 Competition between copy traders is increasing so make sure you're using the a fast bot. Here's the one I use: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… I spent months to pick the fastest one by comparing the stats. Leaving a setup video guide quoted below just in case.
Oracle Boar@bored2boar

COPY TRADING GUIDE FOR POLYMARKET (full video + exact settings included) I spent months testing different tools, setups and configs. Lost everything at the start. Then made it back and started earning once the setup was right. This cost me a lot of time, you need ~3 minutes: 1) Open this bot: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… I tried different tools, but this one has more advanced features and the fastest execution. 2. Click Copy trade -> Add Task -> W1 3. Paste wallet address and name it Use particular names like "AI trader", "sports 85% win rate whale" etc. 4. After entering the amount choose the exact setup: • Fixed (same trading amount every time) • Exact (each trade is the same as main trader's) • Portfolio based (proportional to your balance) You have to use the one that fits trader's beaviour. How to choose? • Use Fixed for traders with < 5 trades per day • Exact when trader’s portfolio size is similar to mine • Portfolio for traders who open many small positions 5. Change Slippage to 5%, the default 10% is too much 6. Set Min Trigger to $100 to avoid mirroring small transactions 7. Set Min Liquidity to $20,000 to avoid volatile markets 8. Turn on Copy Sells to not just buy, but sell automatically as well 9. Set Stop Loss to 70%, this feature will manage your risk 10. Click Back -> Start Congrats, now your bot runs automatically. This setup has worked best for me over the last 3 months. Hope this will help you too.

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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@AlenaChramtsova @Chance_ reacting to moves in seconds from a phone is exactly what we needed for these fast markets
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Alena Chramtsova
Alena Chramtsova@AlenaChramtsova·
The @Chance_ mobile app launches in March, and it's genuinely changing the game for prediction markets Everything in one clean feed: instant orientation, catching moves, and reacting in seconds without the friction Looks like 2026 is the year the phone finally takes over this space x.com/Chance_/status…
Chance@Chance_

We’re reimagining Prediction Markets for mobile. Simple, smooth, and made for instant action. Mobile App lunching in March.

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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@Predicti0r the CEX theory makes so much sense honestly those internal listing leaks fit the clues perfectly
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
Which crypto company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading? Everyone is trying to guess the company. The real edge is first filtering the business model. My base case: ZachXBT's insider-trading expose is more likely to target a CEX than an on-chain protocol and within CEXs, MEXC / Upbit deserve serious attention. Why I lean CEX (core thesis) : - Over a prolonged period of time - One of crypto's most profitable businesses - Multiple employees - Abuse of internal data That combination fits CEXs better than most on-chain projects. Why: CEXs have repeated access to non-public, monetizable information That info can move markets again and again It is often not visible on-chain before it matters They have enough staff for a multi-employee pattern to be plausible What kind of internal data makes CEXs strong candidates? - Listing / delisting timing - Internal approvals / launch schedules - Sensitive market-operational information - Potential customer/order-flow insights - Internal comms that can be exploited repeatedly That is exactly the type of structure you'd need for a long-running insider-trading scheme. Candidate 1 - MEXC Why MEXC fits the teaser well: CEX structure strongly matches the "internal data - repeated monetization" pattern High listing velocity / altcoin focus makes it easier to imagine repeatable insider edge "Multiple employees over time" is organizationally plausible If you're modeling a case around internal listing intelligence, MEXC is one of the most natural names to test first Strong fit by mechanism (how insider trading could happen), even if the pre-report proof is still speculative. Candidate 2 - Upbit Why Upbit is a very live CEX candidate: Fits "one of crypto's most profitable businesses" extremely well Large enough organization for multiple employees to be plausible Strong listing impact environment = internal timing/info can be highly monetizable If the alleged abuse is tied to listing-related internal info, Upbit is structurally a very credible candidate High-upside candidate with strong business-model fit, potentially underpriced if the market is underweighting Korean CEX exposure. Summary: Why CEX is my highest-probability category: Because Zach's clues point to a business with large profits, multiple employees, and repeatable access to non-public market-moving data and that is exactly where centralized exchanges have the strongest structural edge. My CEX focus list: MEXC + Upbit (with MEXC as the obvious structural candidate, and Upbit as the potentially underpriced one).
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@journoverax tracking those elon posts in real time is the only way to stay ahead honestly that tracker looks solid
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verax
verax@journoverax·
99% of traders trade Elon Musk markets wrong With this post tracker, you'll definitely boost your wr More analytics features on: [app.prob.trade/?ref=prob-trad…]
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nikitos
nikitos@fixnik28·
@0xkSolcatcher this escalation is heavy but the way poly reacting to it makes me think we might see some real shifts soon
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Solcatcher
Solcatcher@0xkSolcatcher·
🇺🇸 🇨🇺 A boat flying the US flag rolled into Cuban waters and started blasting.According to Cuba's Ministry of the Interior, Cuban border guards clapped back and dropped four guys on the boat. We're waiting for more news and flipping this market.
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nikitos@fixnik28·
@bySytam setting up an agent to monitor poly twenty four seven is such a level up manual refreshing is honestly over
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Sytam
Sytam@bySytam·
How to Build Your Own AI Agent in OpenClaw and Connect It to Telegram in 15 Minutes OpenClaw lets you build something different an autonomous AI agent that wakes up, checks data, makes decisions, and only then reports back to you. This is how you install one and turn it into a real assistant. People who treat AI like a better Google get faster answers. People who build agents get leverage. OpenClaw is a framework for running persistent AI agents. It can: > Connect to Telegram or other messengers > Monitor wallets and APIs > Execute skills from CloudHub > Decide when to notify you You host it yourself, so you control the logic, access, and behavior. A basic VPS (for example, €5/month) is enough to start. Installation (Simple Version): > Open the official OpenClo website - openclaw.ai > Copy the install command. > Paste it into your terminal (Mac/Linux) or your VPS server. During setup: > “Update Gateway Service Config?” → Yes > “Restart Gateway Service Now?” → Yes > Choose OpenAI as provider and insert your API key. After installation, you’ll enter the OpenClaw interface where you configure your agent. You can: Option 1 Write your own agent logic Define exactly what it does: > Check your schedule > Monitor APIs > Track wallets > Send daily reports Option 2 Install a ready skill from ClawHub: > Paste the ClawHub link into OpenClaw > The agent installs the skill and sets up dependencies. You are not chatting with AI. You are assigning responsibilities. Connecting Telegram: > Create a Telegram bot via BotFather. > Get the Bot Token. > Send a message to your bot. > Send your ChatID. > Add TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN and TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID to your environment. Now your agent pushes notifications directly to you. Security (Important): Many self-hosted agents get exposed because of incorrect network settings. Check your network binding: It must be: > 127.0.0.1 Not: > 0.0.0.0 The second option exposes your service publicly unless properly secured. You can build a Polymarket monitoring agent that: > Tracks new accounts > Analyzes bet size and categories > Sends alerts when large positions appear > Uses API data to filter signals Instead of manually refreshing dashboards, your agent watches the data 24/7. AI agents makes smart people smarter and passive users dependent. If you use AI agent as a search engine replacement, you save time. If you build agents, you create systems that work without you. OpenClaw is not about getting better answers. It’s about delegating execution.
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Sytam@bySytam

People are making $10k–$60k trading bot weather on Polymarket. I show how it actually works I spent the last days digging into how these weather trading bots actually work. It’s structured arbitrage between public forecasts and Polymarket Here’s the core idea: > The bot tracks official NOAA forecast updates (temperature, snowfall, etc.). > Then it compares the probability implied by the forecast to the price of specific buckets on Polymarket (for example: “NYC 12–14 inches” or “London above 18°C”). > If the forecast probability is higher than what the market implies → buy. > If it’s overpriced → sell. We’ve already seen accounts doing serious numbers with this approach: > One wallet turned ~$5k trading weather since Jan 2026 - @HondaCivic?via=vlad-matys" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@HondaCivic?vi… > Another cleared $239 into $2,355 NYC weather - @automatedAItradingbot?tab=activity?via=vlad-matys" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@automatedAItr… Using tools like Clawbot (Mac/Windows), you can: > scan undervalued prediction markets > compare them to live forecast data > filter mispriced buckets > send alerts to Telegram when a trade appears Useful links: simmer.markets > clawhub.ai/adlai88/simmer… > simmer.markets/dashboard?tab=… Instead of manually refreshing markets, the bot scans everything and only alerts in your TG Bot I’m just sharing what I’ve been testing and learning through vibe coding + crypto. The edge isn’t “weather”. It’s exploiting inefficiencies when markets price emotions instead of data. Set it up right. Manage risk. Take the spread when it appears. Huge thanks to @0xMovez for the detailed setup guide everything worked perfectly on my side. If you’re planning to try it, go check his guide and drop a like to support the work he’s doing.

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