Farah Jan - فرح جان

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Farah Jan - فرح جان

Farah Jan - فرح جان

@fjan1

Senior Lecturer @Penn Int'l Relations | Expert in S. Asian & Middle Eastern geopolitics & AI security | PhD in Pol. Sci. | Passionate about poetry & AI ethics

Philadelphia Katılım Mart 2011
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Farah Jan - فرح جان retweetledi
Trita Parsi
Trita Parsi@tparsi·
An Iranian woman films her neighborhood being bombed by Israel. As she seeks cover, Israel strikes again, in what appears to be a double-tap strike. The woman films her own death. Some Iranians in the diaspora dance and celebrate this, believing these are democracy bombs...
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@arash_tehran @MazMHussain Arash your analogy assumes passive basing. The question is whether the base is operationally integrated - munitions, refueling, intelligence. If India were running strikes on Pakistan through that Omani base, Oman isn't neutral anymore.
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Arash Azizi آرش عزیزی
No Murtaza, this isn’t indeed how overseas military bases work. Hosting bases of other countries don’t make the country party to all conflicts in those countries. It’s like if Pakistan attacked Oman because it hosts an Indian base. Or indeed if it attacked Sri Lanka or Nepal. Or if India attacked Saudis because they host the Pakistani military. Clearly this isn’t how states treat each other usually
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Murtaza Hussain
Murtaza Hussain@MazMHussain·
It is unfortunate what is happening. But if you are hosting military bases of a country that engages in an attack on its neighbor you either have an option to condemn the attack and expel the bases or you inevitably become party to the conflict. There is nothing to be surprised about and only the Omani government has been honest enough to acknowledge this. The GCC states and Iran are destined by geography to need to have a relationship whereas the U.S. presence is clearly what triggered this war while providing no protection once it ensued.
Clash Report@clashreport

Saudi Arabia's Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud slams Iran: They continue to attack their neighbors, their brothers, while calling for Islamic solidarity. How can they expect solidarity and support while attacking Islamic countries, harming their interests, and targeting their civilians? How can they call for diplomatic solutions while attacking nations that have no connection to the ongoing conflict? If Iran believes that the Gulf states are incapable of resilience or response, then its calculations are wrong. Political responses are available, and non-political responses are also on the table. Iran must review its intentions. If it is sincere in extending a hand of friendship and brotherhood, it must first uphold the principles of Islam, which do not allow a true Muslim to attack their neighbors—especially Muslim neighbors, civilians, and the interests of Muslim nations. It appears that Iran has not taken these considerations into account, and all of this comes at a price.

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Vali Nasr
Vali Nasr@vali_nasr·
Larijani’s replacement will be appointed by IRGC. With every assassination U.S. and Israel engineering greater radicalization of Iran’s leadership. It will makes for a bleak future for Iran, Iranians, the region and ultimately makes it far more difficult for U.S. to disentangle itself from endless conflict in the region.
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Robert A. Pape
Robert A. Pape@ProfessorPape·
Iran is more powerful now than before the war — it controls the price of world oil and more likely to fracture the US coalition than US is to grow it. Stunning gains in 17 days
Robert A. Pape tweet media
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Democracy Now!
Democracy Now!@democracynow·
Despite claims that U.S. and Israeli attacks are aimed solely at the government, "this is all being read inside of Iran as a war on the Iranian people and on the Iranian nation," says Johns Hopkins professor Narges Bajoghli. democracynow.org/2026/3/12/narg…
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Vali Nasr
Vali Nasr@vali_nasr·
Just as the war is poised to escalate this leak could be adding fuel to fire. According to @nytimes "Mr. Trump is talking regularly to Arab leaders, particularly Mohammed bin Salman, the Saudi crown prince. According to several officials, the advice Mr. Trump is getting from the prince is to keep hitting the Iranians hard — essentially repeating the advice that King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, who died in 2015, repeatedly gave to Washington: “Cut off the head of the snake." nytimes.com/2026/03/15/us/…
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Raza Ahmad Rumi
Raza Ahmad Rumi@Razarumi·
Former Qatari PM calls on GCC states to form a NATO-style military alliance led by Saudi Arabia, strengthen joint defense industries, and overcome internal disputes. He argues Gulf states should not bear the costs of a war they did not start; and going forward deepen strategic ties with Turkey and Pakistan.
حمد بن جاسم بن جبر@hamadjjalthani

هذه الحرب في منطقتنا كغيرها من الحروب ستنتهي، ولكنْ هناك دروس وعبر يجب على دول مجلس التعاون أن تستخلصها وأهمها التكاتف والتحالف ووحدة الكلمة والموقف. فقد بات لا مناص أمام دول المجلس من إقامة حلف عسكري أمني فاعل وحقيقي وواقع على الأرض، كما هو حلف شمال الأطلسي، يكون فيه للسعودية الدور الأهم باعتبارها الدولة الأكبر. ونظرا لأهمية الموضوع يجب البدء بدراسته والإعداد له الآن من دون الانتظار لانتهاء الحرب. ومن أجل ذلك يجب على دول المجلس أن تتجاوز، بعزم ومن دون تأخير أو تردد، كل ما بينها من خلافات حفظا لمصالحنا المشتركة، وحفاظا على المجلس قويا متماسكا، وضمانا لاستقلال شعوبه ودوله، وتغليبا للمصلحة الخليجية العامة على المصلحة القُطْرِيَة. وعلينا ألا ننتظر كذلك انتهاء القتال، بل يجب أن تبدأ دول المجلس على الفور في إنشاء وتطوير قاعدة صناعات عسكرية وإليكترونية متقدمة ومنسقة ومخططة فيما بينها، حتى تستطيع أن تدفع عن شعوبها العدوان، وأن تستبق وتردع أي هجمات تستهدفها قبل وقوعها. ودولنا تمتلك الجغرافيا والموارد والأموال اللازمة لذلك. ولعلنا نأخذ العبرة من إيران التي استطاعت، رغم الحصار، أن تطور لنفسها قاعدة صناعة صاروخية متقدمة، قصفت للأسف بها دولنا واعتدت عليها من دون وجه حق. وبما أن دول المجلس لم تبدأ هذه الحرب، ولم تردها أصلا، وكانت تسعى من اجل حل بين الولايات المتحدة وإيران، فيجب الا تتحمل دولنا ما سوف يترتب على الحرب من تبعات اقتصادية وسياسية. ويجب أن تتحمل إسرائيل، باعتبارها من أشعل شرارة الحرب المسؤولية أمامنا وأمام العالم والولايات المتحدة. فهذه الحرب بدأتها إسرائيل لتجعل نفسها صاحبة اليد العليا في المنطقة عسكريا واقتصاديا وسياسيا، كما تعلن كل يوم. ولذلك علينا في دول المجلس أن نقف صفا واحدا، سواء تجاه إسرائيل أو تجاه إيران. فإيران ستظل جارة لنا على الدوام مع أننا نختلف معها، ونرفض ما قامت وتقوم به تجاهنا، ونعتبرها نتيجة لذلك، عدوا لنا اليوم، وهو ما يتعين على دولنا أن تناقشه وتتفق عليه لنحدد الأسلوب الأفضل للحوار مع إيران وما نقبله ولا نقبله من سياساتها. حتى لا تكون دولنا كبش فداء كلما نشب قتال او سوء فهم بين إسرائيل وأميركا وإيران. وكذلك إسرائيل ليست بعيدة عنا، وقد نحتاج لتفاهم معها، ولكن ليس حسب سياساتها المعلنة، بل وفقا لمبادئ حسن الجوار بما يخدم الحقوق الفلسطينية وفي الأراضي العربية المحتلة والمصالح المشتركة. كل ذلك يستدعي صفاء النوايا بين دول المجلس وأن يكون الفيصل هو القانون والعقل والمصلحة المشتركة وليس المصالح الذاتية والآنية تحت أي ظرف أو لأي سبب. وأنا لا أشك في نوايا قادة دول المجلس، لكن المطلوب الآن هو أن نكون على قدر ما تفرضه علينا هذه الأوضاع من مسؤوليات تاريخية. ومما يثير الاستغراب، أننا لم نسمع من دول عربية عدة موقفا قويا تجاه ما تتعرض له دول المجلس، حين آثرت تلك الدول أن تغض الطرف وأن تلتزم الحياد، لأن ما يهمها هو مصالحها. وهذا بحد ذاته يستدعي من دولنا في المجلس تفكيرا عميقا يجعلنا نُقِيم على الفور ذلك الحلف الخليجي العسكري والأمني والجغرافي الذي يرتبط مع تركيا وباكستان بعلاقات تحالف متينة لاتغنينا عن سواعد أبنائنا

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Vali Nasr
Vali Nasr@vali_nasr·
I write in @FT that Iran is playing the long game. In war, geography matters as much as technology. Iran commands the entire northern shore of the Gulf, looming large over energy fields on its southern shore and all that passes through its waters. Its Houthi allies are perched at the entrance to the Red Sea and along the passage to the Suez Canal; Iran is thus perfectly positioned to squeeze the global economy from both sides of the Arabian Peninsula. Those in command of Iran today are veterans of asymmetric wars in Iraq and Syria. They are now applying the same strategy to fighting the US on the battlefield of the global economy. Drones, short-range missiles and mines setting tankers and ports on fire can have the same effect IEDs had in Iraq, only with greater impact — disrupting global supply chains and sending oil prices higher. Iran could sustain its counteroffensive more easily and for far longer. Furthermore, a ceasefire alone will not lift the shadow of risk that Iran has imposed over the Gulf, which is now experiencing its nightmare scenario. That is why Iranian leaders are saying they will not accept a ceasefire until Washington fully grasps the global economic cost of waging this war. Businesses, investors and tourists may not return to the Gulf states if they assume that war could resume again. Unless the US is prepared to invade Iran to remove the Islamic republic’s leaders and then stay there to ensure stability and security, confidence in the Gulf will only return if the US and Iran arrive at a durable ceasefire. Iran says it will only accept a ceasefire with international guarantees for its sovereignty, which would probably mean a direct role for Russia and China. It may also demand compensation for war damages and a verifiable ceasefire in Lebanon. The US would then have to agree to some form of the nuclear deal it left on the table in Geneva in February and commit to lifting sanctions. Iran’s leaders entered this war with the goal of ensuring it will be the last one. Either it breaks them or radically changes the country’s circumstances. They are betting on surviving long enough and squeezing the global economy hard enough to realise that goal. Read full article ft.com/content/93b7b6…
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شرق‌زده sharghzadeh
شرق‌زده sharghzadeh@sharghzadeh·
A mainstream commentator finally said what we all know
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War on the Rocks
War on the Rocks@WarOnTheRocks·
The debate in Washington was not simply about whether to fight. It was about when the fight would begin and who would start it. ow.ly/URIc30sUe7R
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Negar Mortazavi نگار مرتضوی
Well put @vali_nasr. This is part of a survival strategy in Western societies with deep-rooted racism and Islamophobia, and the pressure to be the “good” immigrant by hyper-assimilating to the point of denying your own identity.
Raza Ahmad Rumi@Razarumi

Some segments of the Iranian diaspora cheering Iran’s destruction reflect a deeper identity politics. As Vali Nasr notes, they seek distance from the “Global South” and aspire to a Western—often white—political identity. Support for Israel or even MAGA politics is “integration.”

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Zeteo
Zeteo@zeteo_news·
“If we come in with ground troops…you're going to have masses of American soldiers coming home in body bags.” @DropSiteNews Founder @jeremyscahill joined a panel on Iran moderated by @mehdirhasan to discuss the very real possibility of US ground troops in Iran.
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The lesson of 1914 isn’t that alliances cause wars. It’s that unconditional alliances create wars neither partner intended and neither can control.
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Commit unconditionally and you eliminate fear of abandonment. But you also eliminate your ally’s incentive for restraint. That’s the alliance security dilemma Glenn H. Snyder described decades ago.
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Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
Turkish photographer Uğur Gallenkuş portrays two different worlds within a single image.
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Trita Parsi
Trita Parsi@tparsi·
Speaking to several people involved on all sides, I believe I have gotten to the bottom of the story about Pezeshkian's video message - and how Trump blew up a golden opportunity to de-escalate the war. Here's what happened: Regional efforts at de-escalation in the war had convinced Iran to gradually adjust its regional retaliation conduct. In a first step, the Iranian President, as head of the interim leadership council, announced that attacks on neighboring countries would cease as long as their territories wouldn't be used to attack Iran. This is why Pezeshkian issued that video statement (although he went further in his statement, but that's another matter). Regional states were then expected to respond in kind. This would, understandably, take a few hours, as they were monitoring whether Iran's attacks were being reduced. But before they could reciprocate the reconciliatory tone and take regional de-escalation to the next level, Trump issued his Truth Social post that declared victory, insulted and humiliated Iran, and even issued further threats of “complete destruction and certain death“.  To make matters worse, the US also crossed another red line shortly thereafter by attacking the water desalination plant at Qeshm Island. (This is incidentally a war crime according to Article 54 of the First Additional Protocol to the Geneva Conventions) Trump's actions deliberately or inadvertently sabotaged the sensitive de-escalation talks in the region, which is why there was also an uptick by prominent GCC accounts blaming Trump for the war. Had Trump not done this, chances are that, at a minimum, the regional widening of this war would have been halted and reversed. With last night’s attacks by Israel on Iran‘s oil infrastructure, we can only assume how Iran may retaliate. We’ve entered a new phase of this high-intensity war.
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Vali Nasr
Vali Nasr@vali_nasr·
Israel's campaign to destroy south Beirut and force its population to leave is the most clear and dangerous escalation of the ongoing war with Iran. Its implications will be grave and log term.
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