Paul
621 posts


@tangotiger If you required 25% of the ball to be in zone for a strike, I *think* grey is what a new 24 inch tall k-zone would look like compared to current in blue. Where a ball is only a strike if any part of it passes through the grey. Idk what this means but fun math problem

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@DodgersDeadly @c0eseph @Quickstats_Mets @tangotiger That essentially just shrinks the zone from a rectangle to this weird oval thing. If you think umps are bad now…
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@c0eseph @Quickstats_Mets @tangotiger @forgottenclips I wouldn’t. I’m not arguing for a 50% standard. I’m arguing for 25% to eliminate the margin of error that’s inherent to the technology.
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@DodgersDeadly @tangotiger I was only taking issue with using a border. Here is what I got for 50.07% +/- up to .039%

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@tangotiger @forgottenclips That looks like a lot more than 50% of the ball is in the zone, which completely negates your position.
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@darth_wager @faststocknewss They can track purchases, page visits, etc from views on the ad. That’s his point. Social media companies don’t need to be directly selling data either. You run ad campaign targeting specific demographic and now know demo of each eyeball
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@faststocknewss This is not sustainable. Eyeballs do not equal purchase unless we are just selling folks data which influencers care so much about with traffic.
Skynet here we come.
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Kevin O’Leary says the highest-paying job right now isn’t engineering.
It’s social media customer acquisition.
“I used to pay those guys $48K a year. Now they’re $250K.”
The best ones become contractors making $500K+ because every week you can measure exactly how many customers they bring in.
People in their early 20s who know how to turn content into a 5-second ad on TikTok, LinkedIn, Instagram, and X are the most valuable hires in business right now.
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@forgottenclips @Doctor_Dray_ @HawkandTrident @TalkinBaseball_ No. Cal has power. Hes not a great hitter. Judge is a great hitter.
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@Doctor_Dray_ @WyaAeads @HawkandTrident @TalkinBaseball_ They are both great hitters and their 2026 stats mean nothing is the point
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@WyaAeads @HawkandTrident @TalkinBaseball_ Well Judge started 2 for 13 with 7 Ks. So the connection is they both started poorly and stats over 3 games are meaningless
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@forgottenclips @HawkandTrident @TalkinBaseball_ Whats judge have anything to do with cal starting the year 1/14 with 9 ks lmao
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@WyaAeads @HawkandTrident @TalkinBaseball_ He’s batting .176 actually. Bc there have been 5 games. And that happens. What is judge batting?
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@gfienberg17 @JH4DoughMedia Change the clubs. Will be lame to have pros play a different ball
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@JH4DoughMedia Wholeheartedly disagree. Its not difficult to admire it when it happens while simultaneously acknowledging the entire operation for a modern pro from clubface to ball is a farce.
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Complaining about the ball being hit to far yet openly applauding it 😂
For reference I’m against any roll back I think you can do other things but you can’t criticise it on one hand then applaud it on the other
PGA TOUR@PGATOUR
A 392 yard bomb 💥 Nicolai Højgaard hit it nearly 20 yards further than anyone else at the 16th @TCHouOpen. 📺 NBC
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@HawkandTrident @TalkinBaseball_ It felt borderline disrespectful they pitched to him
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@TalkinBaseball_ This proves cal should’ve won the mvp over judge last year.
Basic math
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@tangotiger @benarhatch @EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist Thanks. I have it on my kindle and will look. Appreciate the exchange
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@forgottenclips @benarhatch @EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist Right, so we studied this extensively in The Book. I'll concede being hot a against a pitcher would bump up your wOBA forecast by say 5 points, maybe 10 if the sample size was large enough. But that's it
In other words, nothing really actionable, unless you need a tiebreaker
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Hi. This is your yearly reminder that BvP is meaningless and should not in any way be a part of your process. Carry on!
Underdog MLB@UnderdogMLB
Pete Crow-Armstrong vs. Miles Mikolas: 7-9 5 HR 3.333 OPS
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@tangotiger @benarhatch @EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist I haven’t done the analysis so I guess that’s my question to you. But the statement they are meaningless and “shouldn’t be a part of your process” is what triggered my question
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@forgottenclips @benarhatch @EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist By better, do you mean he would have an OBP/SLG of .340/.450 with pitcher B and .440/.600 with pitcher A?
Or .345/.455 with pitcher A?
How much "better" are you suggesting? A squint-your-eyes better? Or a blinding-eclipse better?
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@tangotiger @benarhatch @EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist Pretend pitchers A and B are statistically identical. Are you saying if a batter is 14 for 20 with 6 home runs against pitcher A and has never faced pitcher B, there is no evidence to suggest he will do better in next 10 at bats against pitcher A than next 10 vs B?
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@forgottenclips @benarhatch @EthicalHoopz @DerekCarty @EricLindquist Meaningless as in non-actionable. Whatever statistical significance there is, you'd need a magnifying glass
If you can find some batter-pitcher matchup that you believe, in the future, the matchup will hold up, you'd be the first one to do so
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@VanjaPoker The roulette device for last minute bets that I still don’t understand how it was possible
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The Top 5 Players Casinos Feared the Most in History:
1. Edward Thorp:
Built a computer, proved blackjack could be beaten, published the manual. Casinos changed their rules overnight.
2/3. Ivey & Sun:
She spotted defects on card backs invisible to the naked eye. He was the famous face. Together: $20M. Casinos destroyed thousands of decks after.
4. Don Johnson:
Never counted a card. Just waited for 2008 to make casinos desperate, then negotiated the house edge into his favor before sitting down. $15M in 6 months.
5. Stu Ungar: Blacklisted from gin rummy. Banned from blackjack. Won 3 WSOP title
6. Archie Karas:
$50 to $40,000,000. Binion’s ran out of chips. Lost it all back.
7. MIT Blackjack Team:
students treated Vegas like an ATM for a decade. Casinos responded with facial recognition tech still used in every casino on earth today.
Who would you add?

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@hubermanlab I did listen, I did catch that. While my response was more tongue-in-cheek. His firm statement of "Rock Solid" for a very small percentage... just came off more as a "Hot Take", than a "take to the bank" finding he seemed to be claiming. 12 brothers, and it's 50/50..... hmm?
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@RibeyeRobert @JasonKrump @YahooSports Keep in mind these are public universities investing hundreds of millions into their athletics programs. They really didn’t have a choice after USC and UCLA left
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@RibeyeRobert @JasonKrump @YahooSports No it’s not. And when those were the remaining schools, the streaming rights deal from Apple TV was $23M per school per year. Well below what they are making now in big 10 before their shares have even phased in.
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