
Aydin
930 posts

Aydin
@formerlypeter
💻 Deep Web Scraper: https://t.co/MXXW38CjYQ 💼 My Vending Business: SOLD https://t.co/NRLhXVTVKb 🌐 Homepage: https://t.co/fqJNfTg8WM
Katılım Mayıs 2025
65 Takip Edilen220 Takipçiler
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A clear investing philosophy cuts through the noise. If you’re serious about investing, you need one.
• PART 0: Different Camps of Value Investing
• PART 1: A Silly Example: Grocery Shopping
• PART 2: Act like a Business Owner
• PART 3: Evolving Definitions of “Cheap” and Accounting Trickery
— 3a: Enterprise Value
— 3b: Free Cash Flow
— 3c: Buffett’s Strict Owner’s Earnings
• PART 4: MISC Learnings
• PART 5: Management
x.com/formerlypeter/…
Aydin@formerlypeter
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Home builders are funny. A pretty sound economic business but since they’re so commoditized and also scrutinized especially since 2008, they end up being a leveraged play on macro.
$DFH up 10% to start the morning along with heavy moves in other builders, although in general still heavily down since beginning of the year.
If Trump’s pick Kevin Warsh arrives in May and turns more dovish than hawkish, might be a rocket ship here.
Of course, the reverse is also always possible, and homebuilders can suffer very badly in a disadvantageous macro.
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Aydin retweetledi


$CNC also with the rocket 🚀 👀
$31 was probably the last amazing price you were going to get on that last week
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: UnitedHealth stock, $UNH, surges over +11% after US Medicare and Medicaid Services finalizes plans and payment policies, seeing a +2.5% annual increase for private insurers. This was well ahead of the expected +1.0% increase.
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@Saboo_Shubham_ This is genuinely the most retarded thing I've seen today
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@SFarringtonBKC Some people expect the same copy paste strat to work forever 🤷♂️
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If he pulls this off, he is the undeniable GOAT (if he's not already)
Semiconductor Fab has got to be the most difficult engineering process in the world
There's a reason TSMC is unrivaled
Elon Musk@elonmusk
My idea of a good time is working with amazing engineers to create incredible technology 🤩 The Tesla chip research fab will have all the machines needed to do logic, memory, packing & masks in one building for a lightning fast development cycle. Heaven 💫
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I taught Claude to talk like a caveman to use 75% less tokens.
normal claude: ~180 tokens for a web search task
caveman claude: ~45 tokens for the same task
"I executed the web search tool" = 8 tokens
caveman version: "Tool work" = 2 tokens
every single grunt swap saves 6-10 tokens. across a FULL task that's 50-100 tokens saved
why does it work? caveman claude doesn't explain itself. it does its task first. gives the result. then stops.
no "I'd be happy to help you with that." no "Let me search the web for you" no more unnecessary filler words
"result. done. me stop."
50-75% burn reduction
with usage limits getting tighter every week this might be the most practical hack out there right now

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My current 'deepvaluemaxxing' stack:
- Wake up at 4:30am and read 10-Ks of trash
- 3 hours looking at SEC filings before the market opens
- Lift 6x/week so I can hold through 40% drawdowns
- Eat single ingredient foods (like my portfolio)
- Only buy crap stocks that everyone pukes at
- Beer
- Pray
8:30pm bedtime so I'm rested enough to explain to my wife why I bought another obscure Midwest holding company
Wouldn't change a thing.
(Portfolio is up and she still doesn't get it.)
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$VSNT Media remains one of my favorite investments right now.
Free cash flow (minus SBC and CapEx) of $1.8B, at a $5.2B market cap, a $4.6B EV, with a 4% annual dividend and a $1B buyback program.
That’s a PE of less than 3 with proper capital allocation to boot.
You don’t find mid-caps this good, this cheap, this often.
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Assume you’re talking about $BARK. That company is a masterclass in burning money. Book value literally disintegrating Quarter after quarter. And also too dumb to accept a 100% upside buyout.
I assume the hope is some activist comes in and rights ship…?
Feels too risky. They could easily burn another third of equity value this year before any catalysts.
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Aydin retweetledi

🚨Managed Healthcare Update
If you are in managed healthcare names like $UNH
$MOH $ELV $HUM understand that final medicare rates will be announced soon.
Managed health care names tend to swing wildly on the announcement. They were hit in January by Trump's rhetoric and lower than normal proposed rates. However...
The final number is often better. I believe there is an asymmetric opportunity to play for upside in these names.
The pop may be short-lived as the stocks see more distribution.
As an option seller, probably not a good time to sell calls unless you are selling far OTM. If selling puts you def want to go further OTM.
Table pulled from Grok, not fact checked!

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