Multipolar Bear

219 posts

Multipolar Bear

Multipolar Bear

@fsb_asset

Friend to enemies of my enemies

BCN Katılım Mart 2022
387 Takip Edilen16 Takipçiler
Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@ProfHall1955 @JS_Mill_Acolyte I'm not advocating a return to a metallic regime by any means, I'm just saying that *historically* issued bonds were backed by taxes, and the same taxes were in turn used to argue for parliamentary representation. BoE serves as the canonical example.
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Steve Hall
Steve Hall@ProfHall1955·
Franklin's colonial scrip was backed by future taxes as the asset of last resort but Lincoln's greenbacks were established by law, a true fiat currency that didn't rely on taxes or commodity backing. The US returned to the Gold Standard in 1879. Result? As usual, severe recession....
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Steve Hall
Steve Hall@ProfHall1955·
As I've been saying for some time now, the 'bond markets' - i.e. primary dealers and market makers - choose our politicians, not us. This is the bedrock of the democratic deficit. They've had us in their grip since C17, and now loom over every developed nation.
Alex Wickham@alexwickham

BREAKING: Top investors warn Britain faces a Liz Truss-style bond market revolt if Labour ousts Keir Starmer Michael Pfister, FX strategist at Commerzbank: “The goal of a balanced budget is likely to falter should a less fiscally conservative candidate take over. And in recent years, we have repeatedly seen situations where the British government bond markets came under pressure and the pound followed suit. This time, the situation is unlikely to be any different.” Cathal Kennedy, senior UK economist at RBC Capital Markets: “I think this morning there is a 2022 feel toward this, with the Prime Minister carrying on as normal while all indications show he has lost his authority in the party.” Craig Inches, head of rates and cash at Royal London Asset Management Ltd: “The market is now pricing almost four rate hikes for the UK which it can’t withstand. Whoever replaces Starmer will not be able to borrow more money via gilts regardless of what they say.” Mohit Kumar, chief economist and strategist for Europe at Jefferies: “Any replacement would likely be left-leaning and be negative for the long end of the curve and the currency. We maintain our steepeners and short position in sterling.” Jordan Rochester and Evelyne Gomez at Mizuho: “We’ve been looking for 10 year UK gilts to sell off towards 5.15% by year end for quite some time, but this political drama accelerates the timeline, and we could see a move toward 5.20% until the political situation is settled and/or 5.35% in extreme stress.” Laura Cooper, global investment strategist and head of macro credit at Nuveen: “Gilts are increasingly behaving like a real-time referendum on fiscal and political credibility, aggravated by the recent move higher in oil prices.” Roger Lee, head of equity strategy at Cavendish: “Even if Starmer resigns the political uncertainty is unlikely to end as internal rivalry within the Labour Party ramps up. To stabilize the gilt market the government may have to commit to the fiscal rules and the only candidate seemingly prepared to do that is Wes Streeting.” James Athey, fund manager at Marlborough Investment Management Ltd: “The last thing that Gilts needed was weakness in the US treasury market. Now we’ve got potential for the ceasefire to collapse, the US doing some fiscal expansion all on top of the utter domestic shambles that is UK politics.”

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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@souljagoyteller Well yes, it literally did not happen. It was supposed to be a prelude for a big deportation of jews to Siberia. Stalin died and nothing of the sorts happened. Without that it was a smear campaign with some arrests. Not nice, but hardly a catastrophe.
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Sami Gold
Sami Gold@souljagoyteller·
Sami Gold tweet media
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Parker 🍻📘
Parker 🍻📘@centristmarxist·
People going to jail for posting an article at the behest of the Chinese foreign ministry saying there isn’t a genocide in Xinjiang. So there should be grounds for arresting 95% of people in every major media outlet for lying at the direction of Israel right?
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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@liuzhao_cn And Elon Musk is also glazed unironically. I guess both because or the dominant culture of striverism
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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@ProfHall1955 @JS_Mill_Acolyte But the taxes that became necessary to service the loans also became the main argument for representation. In this sense, parliamentary democracy is part of the same story, not separate. Would you agree?
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Steve Hall
Steve Hall@ProfHall1955·
That's an interesting story that begins in C11 Venice and saw inversion and consolidation in C17 Netherlands and UK. They became standard across other industrialising nations in C19, mainly to fund wars. It's a complicated story but the upshot is that the government borrowing that was a necessity in times of metallic limits, and also safer savings than unstable private banks, became technically unneccesary in the fiat system. For instance, during the Napoleonic Wars fiat was issued beyond metallic reserves and an income tax was introduced to control inflation. However, the close relationships between big capital, politicians and central banks established in the metallic era - funding politicians and organising secondary markets to influence yields - did not disappear after 1973. With the help of mass media, we are led to believe that we still need to borrow from big capital, and locked into a global system where bond and FX market traders can exercise disciplinary power over governments stuffed with supine politicians. In this situation, democracy is impossible.
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The Chow
The Chow@TheChowDyeLo·
@fsb_asset @excrypto3000 @CarlZha I’ve have enough time in Brasil to know. Yea southern part is serious but the racism is there even in São Paulo, rio or Bahia.
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Carl Zha
Carl Zha@CarlZha·
Celebrity Corgi skateboarder 屁桃可乐in Guangzhou, China
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Steve Hall
Steve Hall@ProfHall1955·
As if Harari's bollox on human rights isn't enough, here's veteran midwit Gad Saad discovering Hayek. Next week - Richard Madeley and Kaja Kallas team up for a treatise on Carl Jung's 'archetypes and the collective unconscious'.
Steve Hall tweet media
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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@stolperson This is sort of like a zionist who says they wrote the bible so they get to do a little genocide every now and then.
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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@stolperson Nobody would've come up with feminism if it wasn't for Europeans. The "others" lack the intellect necessary. Seems to be what this moron is suggesting. Also trans-atlantic slave trade was larger and more intense than trans-saharan slave trade.
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CryptoM8
CryptoM8@excrypto3000·
@fsb_asset @CarlZha I get that but sadly mixing races ethnic groups together massively, does not work and never did. Small groups can work, if under certain circumstances.
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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@excrypto3000 @CarlZha Yeah, there are and these problems are entirely unrelated to the massive black population in those countries and are shared by even 100% European global south states such as Argentina. In fact Brazil is faring far better, while Cuba si being destoryed by the US directly.
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CryptoM8
CryptoM8@excrypto3000·
@fsb_asset @CarlZha Look at the state those countries are in... There are sadly great problems.
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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@excrypto3000 @CarlZha Look at Brazil or Cuba and tell me if there's a problem with "blacks" there. There isn't because the society is inclusive.
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CryptoM8
CryptoM8@excrypto3000·
@fsb_asset @CarlZha No. Never ever worked. Only cause they are there in small numbers and are controlled and pose no threat, cultural and social.
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Multipolar Bear
Multipolar Bear@fsb_asset·
@policytensor @mtracey It's a moral panic, sure, but there's also a real story which is cronyism, state capture and so on. And yes, kids were abused and he would be behind bars if he was alive, but it's a symptom. If we can use the moral angle to sack the ruling class, we should. So they are pedos.
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