Jay Howard

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Jay Howard

Jay Howard

@jayphoward

Austin, TX Katılım Mart 2009
296 Takip Edilen347 Takipçiler
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
If you've recently relocated to the blue place (or are considering it) and want to expedite the process of building up your list of follows, I made a thing to help with that: github.com/jaypatrickhowa…
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
Never before have so many Americans been outside the labor force: The number of Americans who are not in the labor force rose by +832,000 in June, to 105.8 million, an all-time high. These are people who are neither employed nor actively looking for work. This is now 2.2 million above the 2020 pandemic peak, when the global economy was shut down. So far in 2026, 2.5 million Americans have exited the labor force. By comparison, 68.7 million Americans were not in the labor force at the beginning of this century. As a % of the population aged 16+, this figure is up to 38.5%, the highest since the 1970s, excluding the pandemic period. The US job market is weak under the surface.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@rossiadam I'm Gen X. My in-laws gave us half our down-payment.
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Adam Rossi
Adam Rossi@rossiadam·
I talked to a millennial this morning who said the overwhelming majority of his peers had parent help to buy first home. In my GenX cohort I don’t know anyone that had parents help. Not a dis on millennials. Laila and I bought our first (really rough) townhouse for $160 k.
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@gyc @alex I'm not sure I'd go that far, but something along those lines. Might also want to come up with criteria for foreign schools that grant doctoral degrees.
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Mads Hoe🔶
Mads Hoe🔶@gyc·
@jayphoward @alex Yeah can limit it to schools that are members of the Association of American Universities.
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@iam_biglad1 Absolutely false. Median is $8k. Spreading doomerism just to farm engagement.
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EDOSE✨
EDOSE✨@iam_biglad1·
HOT TAKE: Most Americans have less than $500 in the bank in 2026. Over half are living paycheck to paycheck, while the top 20% are thriving like never before. The statistical majority is broke.
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xander
xander@x9741074·
@JoeySalads It will not be successful. It will not even turn a profit. It needs 800M (which includes marketing), and it will not even reach 700M.
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Joey Salads
Joey Salads@JoeySalads·
The Odyssey will be a successful film for many reasons, but it will make significantly less money than it would have if it wasn't woke.
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Retric
Retric@retricrock·
@sunnkssdseraph Just wait until you get to your mid-50s, and you realize everything promised to you was complete BS. While also being shoved out of the workforce and still having to slave away so you can survive. It's wonderful! I'm actively working on gtfo of this country. It's a scam
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​𝐥𝐲𝐫𝐚
​𝐥𝐲𝐫𝐚@sunnkssdseraph·
Call it a millennial crisis if you want... But in my 30's, I realized I don't actually want the life I worked so hard for. I don't care about titles. I don't care about climbing anyone else's ladder. I care about time. I care about slow mornings. I care about peace.I care about bare feet at the beach with nowhere to be. I still want to make money... just not at the cost of my life.
​𝐥𝐲𝐫𝐚@sunnkssdseraph

Hit me with the harshest reality truth.

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Billy Binion
Billy Binion@billybinion·
This *perfectly* captures why exempting seniors from property taxes is such a ludicrous idea. Boomers are the wealthiest generation in America. They’re buying bigger homes than families working to support small kids. Why on *earth* should those younger taxpayers subsidize them?
Andrew Kaczynski@KFILE

Fascinating WSJ story showing that many Booomers are not only not downsizing their homes, they're instead upsizing and getting large ones. Empty-nest baby boomers own 28% of U.S. homes with three bedrooms compared with 16% for millennials with children. wsj.com/economy/housin…

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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@CreateNotesOnRE You can amass enough wealth with 401k investments and a little more in a Roth to have the majority of your income in retirement coming from those investments and no social security.
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Philip Klinck
Philip Klinck@CreateNotesOnRE·
A standard 401k is for people that want to have fun their whole lives and end up living on social security that doesn't keep up with inflation for the last 30 years. Those people want regular work hours. They want vacation time. They want sick days. They want no risk from medical issues. They want a lot of things. And their trade-off is any kind of real wealth. It's not a terrible trade-off. But it is a trade-off.
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@MrnllMtt Lesson: if what you say about LinkedIn's filters are accurate, then his experience applying to a bunch of jobs on LinkedIn may not be an accurate reflection of the current state of the job market.
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Matteo Marinelli
Matteo Marinelli@MrnllMtt·
Around a year ago, when both my company and I still had a LinkedIn presence, I posted a job opening to hire some interns. Once it was public, I applied out of curiosity. Auto-rejected. LinkedIn's systems decided I didn't have what it takes for the role. I, the founder and managing director of the company, apparently wasn't good enough to be an intern at the very company I created, managed, and grew.
Andrea Bosoni@theandreboso

It’s sad seeing founders like Michael struggle to land a job when they need one. Companies hire for specialists and people like him don’t fit in a box. But someone who’s spent 15 years building and shipping is exactly who you want when things get hard. Startups say they want owners then screen out everyone who’s actually owned something.

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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@CoreyWriting Also got an "A" grade from Cinemascore, which polls moviegoers as they exit the theater. So much for the "all the critics with positive reviews were paid" line of attack.
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@LauraRbnsn @realsashastone True, doesn't seem that the purpose was to titillate. But, also, the nudity wasn't uncomfortable and followed by someone being drowned in a bathtub.
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Laura Robinson
Laura Robinson@LauraRbnsn·
@jayphoward @realsashastone It depends intensely what you mean by "steamy." Depicting sex and bodies in sexual situations, yes. Intended to titillate? Not at all clear. It's just not the tone of the movie.
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Laura Robinson
Laura Robinson@LauraRbnsn·
@realsashastone Did people actually think there were going to be erotic scenes in a Christopher Nolan movie? He's the most asexual director working today. The only sex in his movies is nudity meant to make you incredibly uncomfortable before he drowns the offender in a bathtub.
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@eatpraydiehard eh, my kid's obsessive hobby looks like it's going to turn into a career that he finds massively rewarding. So, there's that.
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easy e
easy e@eatpraydiehard·
i came across this woman on tiktok and she’s actually great. her whole thing is to well socialize your kids. discourage them from strange obsessive hobbies or interests. don’t let them have weird friends. it’s a message we don’t hear enough of and is increasingly important
gays0n@g4ys0n

Oh alright

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Autumn Christian
Autumn Christian@teachrobotslove·
You mean men who have had tech jobs making half a million a year, worked at Bioware and made Sims games, spun up a 200 person company that did multi million dollar contracts, and have given you untold, numerous gifts of soft revelation that have changed the trajectory of your entire life? That kind of incompetent? Maybe we all have areas of our lives that we excel in and things we fall short at.
💻 Sherrod@sherrod_im

@teachrobotslove Please don’t have children with men who can’t do their own laundry and make their own appointments unless you’re ok having incompetent children too.

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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@cremieuxrecueil One potential push back: water use is local. The change in water usage when a data center moves into an area with no farms and few golf courses could be quite large relative to the previous status quo.
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Crémieux
Crémieux@cremieuxrecueil·
Data centers barely use any water, barely use any land, and they lower electric bills.
Crémieux tweet media
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@samfbiddle Stakes: information security, but also national security Finish line: none, must stay ahead indefinitely Winning: having access to more powerful/capable/efficient models than what China can access
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Sam Biddle
Sam Biddle@samfbiddle·
Virtually no one who cites a need to "beat China" in the "AI race" ever bothers to explain what any of that actually means: what the stakes are, where the finish line is, why we're racing in the first place, what "winning" looks like, etc. Largely vibes-based techno-nationalism.
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@cybelethebest Trying to steel-man the this view: their goal, I think, is for a wife to be smart, competent and exercise a high degree of autonomy (Proverbs 31), but with the understanding that her autonomy is circumscribed by her husband's wishes and can be expanded or restricted at will.
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Cybele
Cybele@cybelethebest·
Listening to a Christian podcast on the topic insubmissive wives, and the obvious comparison is made of wives to disobedient children, but with the clarification that wives are not actually children and that this is not meant to be patronizing (????). I have a hard time reconciling this view of wives with the wives also being tasked with ostensibly the single most important job either of them have, that of raising children. Unless the idea is that the husband makes all the meaningful decisions and the wives are effectively grunts who do the manual labor? Happy to hear from those of you who subscribe to a version of this worldview and marriage dynamic, I think I want to be swayed.
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Jay Howard
Jay Howard@jayphoward·
@aphysicist @cojobrien That's fine, because the undergrads are, for the most part, paying full freight and subsidizing the cost of educating natives.
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