jchoop.hl

CT when Bitcoin goes down 5% and is still above 100k

@Ben_Davison1 No bro. We are short 20 million barrels per day, last time a checked (few weeks ago). The 1970s oil crisis was like 4 million a day short. And how much bigger is global population now?

The “fuel crisis” is mostly hype Oil has been SIGNIFICANTLY more expensive in the last couple of decades than it has in the last couple of weeks The difference this time is that social media is being used to mobilise panic among people In 2008 its was 86% MORE expensive

@peter_tulip Lol. Half the mortgage holding population is going to default on their mortgage in the next decade and nobody can do a thing about it.

Fixed-rate mortgages would provide: -- More stable and predictable household disposable incomes; -- Fewer defaults and a more stable financial system; -- Raising interest rates would be less fraught. APRA should remove the unnecessary obstacles it puts in the way of fixed rates.

@jlarkytweets 1) what

I see this sentiment a lot toward Kamala Harris She got smoked in the Democrat primary in 2020 so clearly she’s not charismatic But how would she have been way worse than Trump 2.0 ? We’re a year in and: - Gas prices way up - War in Iran Trump promised not to start - Concerning links between Trump and Epstein, with Trump and Bondi actively blocking (illegally I might add) the Epstein files release - Govt spending is actually way way up overall despite “DOGE” which ended up being a catastrophic failure. Our national debt has risen multiple trillion already - Long TSA lines, more airplane crashes, too many air traffic controllers fired or quit due to DOGE - Chaotic ICE deportations took one of Trump’s best issues (immigration) and sent him way underwater in polling - Trump has pressured states not to have any AI regulations, this is already hurting rural communities where massive data centers are installed with minimal oversight - Constant insider trading based on Trump’s actions - Tariffs on every country in the world which raised prices and hurt our relationships with allies (possibly some of the reason they all refuse to help us in Iran) - Journalist at a liberal news network was somehow *invited* into a war group chat and privy to info that, if he leaked, could have killed mass amounts of servicemen - Countries actively bribe Trump (Qatar jet, his son’s crypto venture, Kushner’s UAE business ventures) and he seems to relish it - Mass pardon spree where many white collar felons get off within weeks while the lower/middle class people they scammed are still suffering from the damage - US Stock market performing worse than the global average for developed nations - Value of the US dollar down significantly, too - Installing unqualified people in nearly every cabinet position (based on looks and name value rather than qualifications) - Trump is also 20 years older than Kamala and many are starting to worry we have a Biden problem again where the President’s cognitive ability is declining (watch a 2016 Trump speech, it’s way different) I’m sure that I’m missing some crucial mistakes the Trump admin has made, these were all top-of-the-head as someone who is fairly plugged in politically Not saying Kamala would have been a great President, but the people still insisting she would have been much worse… that I want to understand better I laid out my side, would genuinely appreciate hearing some push back in the comments

@AvidCommentator You should've just said "the Albanese government will support the housing market this year. Does anyone realistically disagree with that"

Serious question: If the current crisis in the Middle East persists long term, the Albanese government will move to support the housing market this year. Does anyone realistically disagree with that?

@Neety55 I suspect over the coming years you will see an increase in sexual assaults/sex crimes that will be negatively correlated with women's willingness to vote labour. Pretty grim

Ffs Women, 28% Labor....why???????????

@MurrayHillGuy1 Dumb take. Who is the worse person here: the drug addict that can't stop using whatever their drug of choice is, or the people that profit from selling it to them

4 million women are on OnlyFans. “Society is doomed” But no one talks about the 240 million men paying for it…they are the issue! Everyone’s judging the supply… the real question should be the simp beta men in the demand!

@swrighteconomy Fuel demand is inelastic. People don't buy more fuel when it's cheaper

So, Angus Taylor says halve fuel tax for 3 months, which will increase demand. Just going back to my point here: smh.com.au/politics/feder…

@kathrynw5 Men don't have the same biological clock women do. Women also age worse in aggregate which is terrible for them given that men date women primarily for beauty where as women date men primarily for security. Can hate it all you like but it's just biology

We talk a lot in society about women putting off marriage to "girl boss," not enough time talking about men putting off marriage to boy boss

@MarkoMatvikov @Austriker3 People do not understand the cause and effect relationship of what they think they want and how each thing impacts the economy

@Austriker3 One would hope people vote for the outcomes they want.

It's ironic that Labor supporters don't hold their party to account on the metric they claim care most about - wealth disparity. Here's a comparison of 2012-20 (post mining boom) and 2022-26 (post covid) growth in the wealth gap. This isn't a defence of the Liberals because I want to see the wealth gap reduce. But Labor has made it much worse.

@MarkoMatvikov Inflation causes this

@JustDeauIt @coinbase Sell $COIN, buy $HYPE. Suggesting the opposite is full retard

So much talk about Hyperliquid of late. But the thing that stands out to me when I look at the Perps market is that @coinbase did more Perps volume than Hyperliquid over the last 30 days. Which begs the question: Does Hyperliquid actually have regulatory arbitrage here? Coinbase generates roughly 87% of its revenue from U.S. customers. So, a relatively small set of its users internationally is generating more volume than Hyperliquid in a bear market. That's notable to me and counter to the prevailing CT narratives. --- P.S. in the last bear market I spent the most time studying "high throughput chains." This is what led to our SOL allocation at the lows. In this bear market, I'm spending the most time on the Perps market. We're releasing a deep dive for readers tomorrow. If you'd like to have the latest research hit your inbox when it's published, you can sign up below 👇

@AshPolitik This is literally what oversupply of workforce due to immigration does. Lowering available workers obviously forces employers to offer higher ones. Very basic stuff

Hanson won't support battlers getting higher wages. Her mate Gina has paid her to bring about her dream of workers earning 2 dollars a day.

I cannot believe people are buying fuel over the past month and still banging on about how bad fossil fuels are. There will be food shortages soon, hopefully you're able to challenge your own worldview then and ask "why do I believe what I believe" and *what is the causal relationship between these things and how the economy works"

I wonder has it ever crossed @AlboMP ‘s mind that he had the opportunity to be a great PM, if he had ditched AUKUS, stopped fossil fuel approvals and subsidies, cracked down on the cancer of gambling, addressed community housing, called out genocide, instead he’s as bad as any.

@DavidPocock Lmao. Good luck with that goal. At least half the immigrants in the last few years don't view men and women as equal, and believe they have theological permission to beat their wives to keep them in line

After huge amounts of advocacy & nationwide marches, the Govt felt the outrage from communities across the country at the rates of family and domestic violence in Australia. So they made a bold commitment to to end it in a generation. You surely cannot commit to that and then not fund the services and programs that give us any hope of getting there? Women's legal here in the ACT are facing a catastrophic $1m cut to their funding. We need to do better and fund the services that are already stretched and not able to keep up with demand. smh.com.au/politics/feder…

@GreenTyler27 If you can't afford a stake in society it's pretty rational to want to burn it all down. Plus they are brainwashed that communism is the answer by absolutely every instructor they have throughout their 12-16 year schooling/uni

Young people actively sabotaging their chance at homeownership in Australia is something I struggle to understand.

@JohnRuddick2 Just say jihadists. Calling them radical is a red herring. There is nothing radical about them, they are Qur'an literalists. Passage after passage of the Qur'an is about always attacking, subjugating and lying to non Muslims.

🚨 There are puzzling questions around how one of the Bondi terrorists was able to get a firearm licence. In 2015, Sajid Akram applied for a firearms licence. Just a month later that licence was recommended for approval. As part of routine procedure Sajid Akram was asked to supply photo ID ... but for whatever reason he never got around to it and the application lapsed. In 2019, Sajid's son Naveed was living at home and because of his connection with radical jihadis he was on ASIO's radar. It has been confirmed that ASIO told NSW Police of their concerns re Naveed. The following year (2020) Sajid applied for a firearms licence from the NSW registry. In 2015 it took the registry a month to approve ... but in 2020 there was no response for three years. That's good ... he was living with his son who was on ASIO's radar ... but then why was that firearms licence approved in 2023? Another red flag was that Sajid bought six firearms and three of them were identical. That's odd ... those with multiple firearms have very little reason to buy duplicate weapons. Was this missed by the authorities? Today I got the ball rolling on a 'request for documents' that if approved will hopefully shed light on exactly why Sajid Akram's firearms licence was approved.

@easymmmkay Oh good the mask police are back with a new social stigma

Nothing screams wanker like a Ram. Nothing screams FUCKING WANKER like a Ram who hoards petrol.

@DavidLeyonhjelm Yeah fuck the children, we should tax everyone to pay for the healthcare of the group that owns all the assets and still gets a pension while everyone else is taxed to oblivion! Mwahahaha

Intergenerational equity = code for redistributing wealth from older people who earned it, to younger people who didn't.

@MarkoMatvikov Claimed 22k in expenses ruled to be in breach of guidelines. Is forced to repay 8k + 2k fine. Must be nice

Michelle Rowland has to take the expenses scandal trophy (despite strong competition). Anika Wells (among others) was found to be technically compliant with the outrageous guidelines. Those outrageous guidelines were changed in response to community outrage. But Michelle Rowland’s expenses were found to be outside of those outrageous guidelines. She’ll remain Attorney-General - a position seen as the guardian of the rule of law.

@EPPGroup Mass imports men from third world countries with a much higher rate of sex crimes. Crys about protecting the children

SOCIALISTS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR LEAVING CHILDREN UNPROTECTED The EPP Group condemns today’s move by Socialists, together with Renew, ECR and Greens, to table new amendments that have derailed the extension of EU rules against online child sexual abuse – just days before the current law expires on 3 April. This plays directly into the hands of online sex predators. From the outset, it was clear: any changes beyond the EPP Group’s single technical amendment – already backed by Member States – would kill the deal by forcing the file back into lengthy negotiations, leaving no time to avoid a protection gap. By taking this path, these groups have blocked the only workable solution to maintain detection and reporting of child sexual abuse online. “Despite EPP efforts, S&D failed to lead the process, preventing an agreement with EU Member States. This is completely irresponsible,” said Javier Zarzalejos MEP, EPP Group negotiator on the file. “Protecting children is not optional,” said Lena Düpont MEP, EPP Group spokeswoman on Legal and Home Affairs. “Stop hiding behind excuses and take responsibility. This leaves children exposed and offenders unchallenged.” What is illegal offline must also be illegal online. Reports of child sexual abuse have surged from 1 million in 2010 to over 20 million in 2024, while online grooming has increased twelvefold in just three years. Extending the current rules was not a final fix, but a necessary bridge. Forcing new negotiations now risks a legal vacuum, leaves children exposed, and weakens law enforcement across Europe. @zarzalejosj @LenaDuepontMdEP 📰epp.group/hnx8nb88