Jdars

2.2K posts

Jdars

Jdars

@jdars75

Katılım Temmuz 2017
182 Takip Edilen13 Takipçiler
Alireza Nader علیرضا نادر
Terrible idea. The Trump admin and Netanyahu government cannot be trusted to arm people in Iran. Their intention is not the liberation of Iran but to create more bloodshed and chaos. There is no military solution to the war Trump/Netanyahu started.
Open Source Intel@Osint613

President Trump on arming the Iranian people: “The Iranian people have to have guns and I think they’re getting some guns. As soon as they have guns, they’ll fight like as good as anybody there is.”

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Jdars@jdars75·
@BabakTaghvaee1 I thought all the AA and advanced system were destroyed in western Iran
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Babak Taghvaee - The Crisis Watch
Babak Taghvaee - The Crisis Watch@BabakTaghvaee1·
BREAKING: The Israeli Air Force has just tested the readiness of Iran’s air defense network over Tehran, triggering widespread anti-aircraft activity across the capital late Thursday night. From 23:10 onward, residents across southern, central, eastern, and western Tehran, including Nazi Abad, Javadiyeh, Moniriyeh, Shahr-e Rey, Sattar Khan, and Sadeghiyeh, reported continuous air defense fire, multiple explosions, and sustained engagements. Initial blasts were heard around 22:12–23:10, followed by heavy and repeated anti-aircraft firing, with further waves reported around 23:24–23:26. By 23:40, dozens of additional reports confirmed ongoing air defense activity across central and eastern Tehran, with sounds described as continuous, thunder-like barrages echoing across the city, along with ambulance and fire response units moving in multiple districts. This appears to have been a coordinated probing operation to assess the responsiveness and coverage of Iran’s air defense systems in the capital.
Babak Taghvaee - The Crisis Watch tweet mediaBabak Taghvaee - The Crisis Watch tweet media
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Jdars@jdars75·
@ilangoldenberg We used to call this kind of jew a Kapo not so long ago
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Ilan Goldenberg
Ilan Goldenberg@ilangoldenberg·
J Street’s approach isn’t the “same old peace process.” It’s using real leverage, conditioning aid to Israel, sanctioning violent extremist settlers, and regional diplomacy to push change. The path forward isn’t about exclusively punishing Israel, but empowering Israeli and Palestinian peacemakers and improving Palestinian lives.  My latest on how to engage in these hard conversations inside the Democratic Party. @TVietor08 open.substack.com/pub/jstreetdot…
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Jdars@jdars75·
@citrinowicz Danny, we appreciate all your analysis on Iran but you do not offer any solution except on jow Iran is strong, resilient and will not capitulate. What is the best move in your opinion?
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Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
Iran is unlikely to capitulate. Instead, it will adapt, operationally, economically, and strategically. Tehran has demonstrated a high tolerance for pressure and a capacity to recalibrate under sustained constraints. At the same time, global economic pressures are likely to intensify. Iran is unlikely to ensure freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without meaningful sanctions relief. Continued friction in this critical chokepoint would contribute to rising energy prices and broader economic instability. When it comes to Iran we should remember: There is no silver bullet. There are no easy victories. I hope someone in the room told President Trump the following: "Mr. President, a blockade will not lead to Iranian capitulation. They will not give up their missiles, their nuclear program, their support for proxies, or their control over Hormuz even if the blockade will continue. Period." #IranWar
Gregory Brew@gbrew24

Trump is going to stick with the blockade. Which is, in effect, a decision to not make a decision. Trump will wait to see if the blockade works. Iran faces economic pressure--albeit the kind the country's leadership have a lot of experience with. Hormuz stay shut. wsj.com/world/middle-e…

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Nadeem
Nadeem@Aleppinian87·
@EinatWilf Your hubris will be your downfall. Within 1 week of the Gaza genocide Israel was requiring constant airlifts of munitions from America. Israel cannot survive without US protection from sanctions at the UN and from criminal prosecutions at the ICC
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Jdars@jdars75·
@renaudgirard T intquiete pas les US n’attendaient rien de la 7 eme compagnie.
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Renaud Girard
Renaud Girard@renaudgirard·
Certains ont prétendu qu’Israël et les États-Unis faisaient un « sale boulot » qui profitait à tous les Occidentaux. En tant qu’Occidental, on ne voit pas très bien le profit qu’on en retire. lefigaro.fr/vox/monde/rena…
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Jdars@jdars75·
@P4Pandora666 @TheHitMan1776 @MarioNawfal Lol people thinking Trump is not calling the shots. Everything is being coordinated wnd Trump only decides what to do and when. Don’t be naive
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
I’m pissed! Trump gave Iran a pause on strikes against their energy infrastructure until April 6. So what did Israel do?

They bombed all three of Iran’s largest steel plants simultaneously, which are crucial to their economy And if that wasn’t enough, they also struck Iran’s Khondab heavy-water reactor facility as well as uranium production and uranium-conversion sites All on the same day Why did Israel do this? And was it in coordination with the U.S.? If it’s in coordination, it means Trump lied to Iran. If not, than Israel is lying. If you take into account the report today that JD Vance yelled at Netanyahu over the phone this week, upset at being dragged into the war by misleading intelligence, then I think you have your answer Israel seems to be trying to sabotage these negotiations, and it serves their interests to do so.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

UPDATE: I’m really struggling to call what happens next On one hand, Trump needs an off-ramp to limit the global economic damage and growing domestic political pressure Iran would also like this war to end before more cities are leveled and more leaders are killed On the other hand, Iran is doing surprisingly well controlling the Strait, striking the Gulf and Israel, and selling oil for more than twice the price than before the war, making a killing And on the American side, troops are heading to the region for what increasingly looks like a ground operation to control Hormuz Negotiations are the most promising development since February 28th. But Iran's warnings to Gulf nations against supporting any ground operation, combined with maximalist demands from both sides, make a deal unlikely in the short term

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Richard Medhurst
Richard Medhurst@richimedhurst·
Hezbollah have gone from just a resistance group to the strongest guerilla fighting force on the planet. They have surpassed even their military performance of 2006. I don't think any serious or objective analyst would argue with this claim -- least of all Israel.
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Jdars@jdars75·
@pati_marins64 Lol and some people believe this BS when it has been proven otherwise
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Robert Inlakesh
Robert Inlakesh@falasteen47·
BREAKING: Hezbollah Inflicts A Tank Massacre On The Israeli Invading Army Up to 21 Israeli tanks targeted, in addition to hits on 2 D-9 bulldozers & 2 Humvees. Hezbollah has carried out 72 operations against Israeli targets today, the highest in its history. 6 tanks confirmed totally destroyed. This is a major blow for Israel to suffer & it hasn’t even made it past the border villages yet. Bear in mind Israel refuses to admit its soldier death toll on the Lebanon front. However, judging by the reports, the total casualties from today have to be in the hundreds.
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Ragıp Soylu
Ragıp Soylu@ragipsoylu·
Araghchi being on an assassination list is crazy. The guy is literally a diplomat. But looks like no one cares about these issues anymore
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Jdars@jdars75·
@AlirezaNader With what boat and what planes 🤣🤣🤣🤣
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Alireza Nader علیرضا نادر
Yikes 😳
Tehran Times@TehranTimes79

#BREAKING Iran is ready to seize Bahrain and UAE coastlines if US launches a ground invasion, Iranian security analyst said. If the US 'makes any mistake,' Iran's forces are ready to take the Emirati and Bahraini coasts and 'fundamentally alter the regional landscape'

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Jdars@jdars75·
@mb_ghalibaf You are only alive because trump negociates with you. Otherwise Israelis would have put you in a box like your little friends. Say Thank you Trump
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محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf
We are closely monitoring all US movements in the region, especially troop deployments. What the generals have broke, the soldiers can't fix; instead, they will fall victim to Netanyahu's delusions. Do not test our resolve to defend our land.
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Ethan Levins 🇺🇸
Ethan Levins 🇺🇸@EthanLevins2·
Hezbollah should open a foreign legion for everyone in the world to join and defend against IDF Terrorism Israel already allows foreigners to join the IDF, I see this as fair.
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BenSabti
BenSabti@BeniSabti·
Seems that more seniors have to die in #Iran, then we can open the straits of Hormuz.
BenSabti tweet mediaBenSabti tweet mediaBenSabti tweet media
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Jdars@jdars75·
@ezroller101101 @ThetiMapping That s the question we are all wondering ? The bunker buster bombs are not penetrating the mountain ?
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Theti Mapping
Theti Mapping@ThetiMapping·
👇Many people are wondering how Iran continues to fire a steady amount of ballistic missiles both at Israel and the GCC on a daily basis, even managing to increase the rate of fire recently. I've mapped out the most popular Iranian missile bases used for such launches. - Green icon = most frequently used launch sites - Yellow = intermittent launches, a few recorded incidents over the past 1-2 weeks - Red = launches on rare occasions This map shows how the center of gravity for Iranian launches on Israel quickly shifted away from major silos the western part of the country (Tabriz, Urmia, Kermanshah & Dezful) towards the center. The most frequent launches come from the Koohestan (Yazd) missile base, located at least 1730km away from Israel. Yesterday the US dropped bunker busters on this facility, targeting above-ground structures and tunnel entrances. Over the coming days we'll see whether this actually has an effect on the launches. Other popular firing posts towards Israel include Shiraz, Isfahan, and Tehran. There are at least 3 separate launching points near each of those cities. I would wager the number in the Tehran metro area is even larger, and I have some theories as to where additional BMs are stored, but I can't verify it with satellite imagery. In all likelihood I've missed a handful of bases, but at least I compiled all the publicly known ones (30 that are at least somewhat active as of the past fortnight). The blue lines represent potential trajectories from the most popular launch spots. It can be seen that there a few bases located at exceptionally long ranges, such as Shahmirzad & Shahrud. The damage to these sites is insignificant, and their importance will increase when Iran decides to preserve its remaining stockpiles and TELs in the central part of the country. There are even rare instances where a single launch comes out of the western missile bases. This is possible if most of the preparation is done underground and the TEL shoots and scoots, returning to hardened tunnels covered by dozens or even 100+ meters of granite. But such a manuever is risky due to strong Israeli recon UAV presence in western Iran and frequent aircraft sorties along the Iraq border. So far Israel's been more effective in suppressing missile fire from western Iran than CENTCOM has been along the southern coast. Even bases that are basically tangent to the Persian Gulf remain relatively active. Over the past 3 days the US has tried to remedy this by focus much of their firepower on underground weapons depots at tactical airbases, anti-ship missile storage, and ballistic missile sites. Most notably, there were heavy strikes on the Borazjan missile base in Bushehr Province.
Theti Mapping tweet media
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Jdars@jdars75·
@Cynicbastard1 @citrinowicz He does not. He just knows how to say that no one knows better than him but offers 0 solution.
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Cynicbastard
Cynicbastard@Cynicbastard1·
@citrinowicz נשמע שמדינת ישראל זקוקה לייעוץ אסטרטגי של מומחים רציניים. בהיותך מומחה בקיא ברזי המשטר האיראני, כיצד אתה מייעץ לממשלת ישראל לפעול בסיטואציה הנוכחית?
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Danny (Dennis) Citrinowicz ,داني سيترينوفيتش
הפער בין היכולות האופרטיביות המרשימות של המודיעין הישראלי באיראן לבין ההבנה האסטרטגית של המשטר האיראני — מומחש שוב. חדירה מודיעינית עמוקה ופעולות מדויקות לא בהכרח מתורגמות להבנה של עמידות משטרית. איראן איננה רק יעד מבצעי — היא מערכת מורכבת, עם מוסדות חזקים, אליטות מחויבות ויכולת מוכחת לספוג מהלומות ולהמשיך לתפקד. גם כשארגון מודיעין נשען בעיקר על מצוינות אופרטיבי הוא עדיין עלול לבלבל בין הישג טקטי משמעותי לשינוי מציאות. ההנחה שמספר פעולות מוצלחות יפילו את המשטר מוטעית והיא עלולה לגרור את ישראל למערכה מתמשכת של שחיקה, ובתרחיש חמור יותר — להביא להקצנה נוספת של איראן כולל התקדמות לכיון נשק גרעיני. אם זו הייתה המטרה — אז גם שורת הצלחות מבצעיות לא תהפוך את המהלך הנוכחי להצלחה אסטרטגית.
sefiova-ספי עובדיה@sefiova

דיווחנו הערב ב״עובדה״: ראש המוסד דדי ברנע העריך ערב המבצע כי השגת שינוי משטרי באיראן זו מטרה אפשרית. העמדה המקצועית שהניח בפני השרים היא שאם יושגו המטרות הצבאיות של המבצע קרי פגיעה קשה באישים בהנהגה, במוסדות השלטון ובכוח הדיכוי המשטרי, המוסד והCIA יידעו בתורם להביא תוצאה של החלפת המשטר כשהוא מתכוון להוצאת העם האירני לרחוב ולמציאת אלטרנטיבה שלטונית.

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Jdars@jdars75·
@mb_ghalibaf Soon you will be in a box like your friends. Enjoy the last tweets
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محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf
اف-۳۵ نه فقط یک جنگنده بلکه مجسمه‌ای از شکست‌ناپذیری و تفرعن ارتش آمریکا بود. نمادی الهیاتی که ادعا می‌شد هیچ چشمی آن را نمی‌بیند و مافوق هر قدرتی است؛ اما یدالله فوق أیدیهم. این نماد برای اولین بار در جهان مورد اصابت قرار گرفت، ولکنّ الله رمىٰ. و این لحظهٔ فروپاشی یک نظم بود.
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Jdars@jdars75·
@araghchi You are 🤡. If you could you would be firing much more but you can’t….
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Seyed Abbas Araghchi
Seyed Abbas Araghchi@araghchi·
Our response to Israel's attack on our infrastructure employed FRACTION of our power. The ONLY reason for restraint was respect for requested de-escalation. ZERO restraint if our infrastructures are struck again. Any end to this war must address damage to our civilian sites.
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Jdars@jdars75·
@mb_ghalibaf Soon you will be in a box like your friends and this is 100%
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محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf
According to statements by Israeli and American military officials, 320% of Iran's missile launchers have been destroyed so far. However, Iran continues to launch missiles at a high rate Now,the enemy aims to destroy up to 500% of them! A unique achievement for the US military!
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