Jeremy Arnold

@dwpoker @BarstoolNate No need for randoms! Poker has a thriving content ecosystem. More like final-stage auditions. (ps sincerely enjoyed you in the booth this summer king)

@jdotarnold @BarstoolNate Good in theory. Just not how the world works. No brand is letting a random stream their product.

@BarstoolNate My guy they aren’t leaving a setup to stream a random postlim event. They never have and it makes zero financial sense.

@BarstoolNate @dwpoker Ideal option: let promising YTers stream it. No pay but they keep the rev. And if they crush it you’ve found new talent for free. No real cost or brand dilution. Everyone wins.

@dwpoker I understand the logistics it's just funny how it worked out this way, just the perfect end to the summer to not have Hellmuth on a stream

@dickiehat @JohnnyGiunta_ Yeah the Johnson element was huge. I still remember listening to the call from the car and being psyched to get home for the replay. Hopefully lots of kids today forged a similar sports core memory experience—with more to come!

@jdotarnold @JohnnyGiunta_ Donovan Bailey is pretty hard to shake considering the lore surrounding it and shaking off the sting of Ben Johnson. But this moment is super super nuts especially in its dramatic fashion so I would be happy with it in 4

Where does that moment rank for Canadian sports in general? I know we have tons of hockey moments but doing this on the world stage infront of millions upon millions of people is bananas. Round of 16. I have chills.

@CharlesReding67 @JohnnyGiunta_ Imo the og marathon of hope was a sporting event: one athlete competed against time and death, lost, and in losing showed us where grit can take you.

@jdotarnold @JohnnyGiunta_ The "Four Nations Faceoff" is not in the top 10 and may not even be in the top 10 hockey events. Terry Fox's marathon isn't a sport either

@naismithhoops @JohnnyGiunta_ Carter walked off a championship. Kawhi walked off a conference final. Then we played a hobbled warriors team. But still agree it was electric / unifying / huge. I could see lots having it top 3!

@jdotarnold @JohnnyGiunta_ Put some respect on the 2019 Champions "Raptors run"

@himpodimpo @JohnnyGiunta_ Could see it! Kawhi’s dagger itself was peak.

@jdotarnold @JohnnyGiunta_ raptors would be a bit higher, imo. the whole week was just peak toronto back-to-back celebrations. incredible times.

@JustEsBaraheni I’m sorry this happened to you but this live thread is incredible content

Iran has a 92% chance of making it to the knockout stage and it would take some incredible circumstances for them not to qualify. Unfortunately they are the unluckiest World Cup team I’ve ever seen 😭

@mnolangray While I agree with the main point, fwiw this was the penultimate episode from S2 not the finale. That’s next week. GoT typically does the set pieces in the 8/9 spot and then closes with a reckoning episode.

If it had been the finale of Season 2, as it rather obviously should have been, there wouldn't have been two years of intensely critical chatter about this show.

@HGTomato Here you are. There’s a tldr section up top, followed by an evidence review per topic. x.com/jdotarnold/sta…

I haven’t been following this Thiel Dialog thing. I wish there was a quick explainer or podcast on it. Anyway, this post & the replies may be worth reading if you’ve followed that rabbit hole. If you’ve come across a not hours long podcast explainer, please let me know. Thanks.

As far as how WIRED duped normies: - invoked Thiel (even tho he stopped going ages ago) - misrepresented two planned sessions (on WWIII and cults) to push cabal vibes - dropped household names to insinuate every attendee was a billionaire, A-lister or senior gov (bloggers were invited, and lots of listed names never even went) - played on normie lack of context about how many of these conferences exist - pretended it was secret vs just Chatham House private (they had merch lol)

What are the elements that make the Dialog story so (at least supposedly) scandalous?

@DavidSvendsen Few attendees are billionaires, the retreats aren’t for planning or policy, and Dialog constantly invites journalists. It’s much closer to just another TED conference than some cabal.

Yeah, this doesn't help assuage suspicion of the group. There's every reason to believe that nothing good comes out of private policy and idea meetings among billionaires and power elites - except for those in attendance. Knowing that the club exists can help put the puzzle pieces together when their plans inevitably make society worse.

@nbaschez Curious if this is mostly within the US or abroad?

@jdotarnold Wow I have had so many more issues at Airbnbs than hotels!

This is why I hope Airbnb moves towards an O&O model Not as sexy on the balance sheet but far superior UX

@francisfantan @celinedionysus_ Happened to me today after a long time abroad. Like obvs I could have just ordered a classic, but was curious about new items. If the menu is precisely for the people who don't know what's on it, v. weird design!

@celinedionysus_ i can't lie last time i went into a tim hortons i hadn't been in one in years and i genuinely struggled with the menu changing too fast. getting my maple card revoked ig

as a native canadian it really irks me to see people going into tim hortons and looking at the menu. it's a quick way to out yourself as a transplant. real canadians just know what items tims has and you can't look at the menu anyway because it changes every 20 seconds

@LilyArtemisTO This viz concept is great! Do you have a full national map in one image? I feel like loads of people would get good use from it.

Until you look at Winnipeg because 56.5% of Manitobans live in Winnipeg proper

@errolcart Was on list! Food break came first haha. Feel free to drop any qs or comments that you think others may share and I’ll get to them.

@jdotarnold Caught it before you could tag me (assuming you would've remembered XD). Giving it a read now!

@th33m3rald3dg3 One of them yep! There’s a whole set of them, they don’t agree with each other, and anyone who says otherwise isn’t showing their work for a reason.

@jdotarnold The Khamenei market is telling precedent for when time after deadline must pass to truly confirm if an event happened.

Minor bombshell re: Polymarket / MicroStrategy drama. Will post full article a bit later, but quick teaser that afaik is original and v. additive to debate. I was digging into the reality of whether PM really had strong "precedents" re: reporting data that falls outside an event window being inadmissible. Basically the answer across multiple case reviews seemed no. Or at least v. inconsistent. But then in looking at the most quoted example I found something that afaik no one else has pointed out. Team No argues that PM's clarification on a similarly ambiguous Sep '25 MS market is binding on the current disputed one. Weirdly, and contra to popular opinion, PM actually got a lot better after that clarification at explicitly tying new MS markets to announcement dates (vs. just "buy/sell by x date" where announcements may follow later). This was good! Ambiguity gone! It also made the '25 clarification itself more a historical footnote. So why was this May '26 market an exception? Because its rules were written in Dec '24! The May '26 market is a child in an older parent event page originally created 1.5 years ago, and its key resolution terms are verbatim copy from that older parent! While the May '26 market was only created a month ago, presumably the UI lets you clone existing in-family markets and then it's up to admins to edit them. Someone may have just forgotten to update that part! I spot-checked 10 similar MS markets that PM created after Sep '25 and 0 had this ambiguity. It appears this was just a truly unfortunate legacy exception. As a point for Team Yes: if all the other MS markets post Sep '25 are consistent in using "announce" vs. buy/sell, why would one not take buy/sell wording at face value? How is one supposed to intuit that the wording is just a legacy holdover and that it can't be interpreted in distinction to other current contracts?