Jeff Boyd
3K posts
Jeff Boyd
@jeffis48
Living in Madison, WI. Two boys, aged 24 and 25. The 24 year old is autistic and developmentally disabled. He is tough. Enjoy Badger football.
Madison, WI Katılım Ekim 2009
509 Takip Edilen199 Takipçiler
If this barbaric order is carried out, the US government is illegitimate and everyone associated with the decision should face a firing squad. I am praying that there are still a few flag officers who’ve retained their honor, and will do the right thing at the moment of truth
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@ggreenwald Sure wish you would address Iranian regime's morally reprehensible and disgusting actions and how they are to be addressed. I'm not sure what is best, but Trump's threat may very well be the "least bad" option.
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This is one of the sickest, most demented, most morally reprehensible and most disgusting things any American President has ever said.
But it's vital to remember that among his most influential war advisers are the fanatical Israel First loyalists Laura Loomer and Mark Levin.
Disclose.tv@disclosetv
JUST IN - Trump on Iran: "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again."
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@OcadiLorenz @KrisjanisKlava @RnaudBertrand Of course they don't. Doesn't mean they are right or that Presidents should make all their decisions based on public mood.
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@jeffis48 @KrisjanisKlava @RnaudBertrand Apparently, most Americans don't believe they'll benefit...
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For people who say it couldn't be predicted that the Iran war would be this consequential for the global economy, watch this 2012 video of former National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski 👇
He predicts what did in fact happen: "[Iran] can hurt us a lot... Can you imagine what the consequences would be for us if [...] Iraq was massively destabilized, if Bahrain was set on fire, if the North-Eastern oil fields in Saudi Arabia were attacked... The consequences, the costs would be cumulative... The global economy would be affected so we're playing with fire here."
All of this happened.
Which goes to show that the US government has been acutely aware for decades of how globally destructive a war on Iran would be for all of us (including on America itself and on its Gulf allies): when Trump says that “nobody” expected Iran to retaliate by targeting US allies in the region (reuters.com/world/middle-e…), it's a bold-faced lie.
So the real question is rather: if you know something will set the world on fire, and you do it anyway, and the consequences unfold exactly as predicted - at what point does the rest of the world stop looking at Washington as a fireman and start reckoning with the fact that they're dealing with an arsonist?
Source video: youtube.com/watch?v=VjbZ4V…
YouTube
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@KrisjanisKlava @RnaudBertrand That is a very shallow analysis in my judgment.
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@jeffis48 @RnaudBertrand But everyone, including them, takes a huge hit from rising prices - food, fuel etc. These are a particularly regressive tax, the poorer you are, the worse they hit. This is basically charging everyone an extra dollar, then giving every 10th back a dollar and calling it a win.
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@OcadiLorenz @KrisjanisKlava @RnaudBertrand Workers and suppliers in defense industry are one of the groups that will be clear winners in addition to the communities they live in. Taxpayers may theoretically take a hit but I'm still waiting for the Reagan tax cuts to impact them.
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@jeffis48 @KrisjanisKlava @RnaudBertrand Providers of military kit and services benefit as well. Wouldn't taxpayers who foot the bills also feel punched in the face if military spending increased to $1,5 trillions?
heritage.org/defense/report…
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@KrisjanisKlava @RnaudBertrand The hardworking people of North Dakota, Montana, Texas, New Mexico and anyplace else where fracking is taking place see immediate benefits. Everyone with retirement savings see benefits too, but that one is kind of hidden so they aren't aware of it. This isn't rocket science.
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@jeffis48 @RnaudBertrand Such as? Who's really better off?
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@KrisjanisKlava @RnaudBertrand There are far more winners than you believe. The fact that they do not "punch you in the face" the way higher gas prices do, does not make it false.
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@jeffis48 @RnaudBertrand Depends what you mean by "US".
Oil companies benefit, but consumers just pay more for everything, gas, food,. transport, you name it.
Whatever additional tax revenue the government gets, doesn't begin to offset the military spending for the war.
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@kvrtaric @KrispiLargo2 @RnaudBertrand Trump enjoys the hate. In this instance, it strikes me as a good strategy to show how much the US is needed.
That said, I do not think it will actually come to fruition. I see off-ramps that work. They bring risks, but chances are things work out fine.
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@KrispiLargo2 @jeffis48 @RnaudBertrand Being in USA, will take a few more weeks. Takes many months to stabilize but all worse off for it.
It will be much worse for every other country.
They will despise us.
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@RadioFreeTom It is a chance for the world to preserve it if it wants the US to remain involved. It would not take much. A few words, ships, and the US will be there.
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It took a almost a century for the United States to build a global system of trade, security, and cooperation, and these guys are going to throw it away because they screwed up and have to save face.
Aaron Rupar@atrupar
Hegseth indicates reopening the Strait of Hormuz is not a core US objective: "We've been willing to lead, President Trump has led the entire time, but it's not just us. You might want to start learning how to fight for yourself."
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smdh at people learning for the first time that the Japanese are really into Rockabilly, Cholo lowrider culture, and bitchin' hot rods
Megan Basham@megbasham
I do not understand people who complain about cultural appropriation at all. This is amazing!!! 😂❤️🇯🇵
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@MalcolmNance @stavridisj In Strait of Hormuz? Yes. Sorry, but that is the way it is. Iran made its decision.
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@jeffis48 @stavridisj For decades ... this has been the traditional IRGC mine layer.
Are you going to sink the hundreds that come out to fish every day just to find one or two?
Good luck.
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This is smart analysis and clever writing. Iran has 5,000+ sea mines. If they truly flush those into the Strait of Hormuz, we will have a long, arduous task clearing them. wapo.st/3PFB6s0
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@alikh2025 @anasalhajji @MarioNawfal Multiple goals and lots of unknowns. Can think of a few possibilities that are bad for the US and more that are bad for the world, but on balance, a solid risk-return decision.
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Big claim from @AnasAlhajji on @MarioNawfal — US strategy behind the Hormuz blockade is to drive global reliance on US oil & gas. But if that's true, why is Washington releasing strategic reserves and panicking over energy markets? Short-term pain for long-term gain —
Anas Alhajji@anasalhajji
The international fallout from the Hormuz crisis and its unintended consequences have me wondering: Is this another global experiment? And if it is, do we have to wait until all the results are collected? I am just asking a question. Why? Because of lack of concerns by the leaders of the superpowers regarding the lives of billions of people around the world.
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@vali_nasr Everyone is entitled to their opinion, but you do a disservice to Mr. Bajoghli and to those who would like to continue following you. Please re-read the final sentence in the article.
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Great piece by Narges Bajoghli: “Judging by the metrics of conventional conflict, Iran is not faring well against the United States and Israel. Its adversaries are destroying crucial targets in Iran, killing its commanders and degrading its military assets. But these are the wrong measures for assessing Iran’s position in the war. The right measure is not even an assessment of whether Iran is absorbing punishment well—which it is. The question that will matter when the fighting ends is whether Tehran is achieving its strategic objectives. And on that count, Iran is winning.” foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-lon…
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This is the problem.
What IRGC can offer, Trump and Netanyahu can't take.
What Trump is offering, the IRGC cant take.
Gulf countries can't allow Iran to control Hormuz.
They are going to be forced to fight for Hormuz.
This is going to be going on for some time to come - because we have not hit either Trump's pain threshold, nor the IRGC's.
I'm curious to see how Trump's deadline is seen - escalate to deescalate is a good strategy if the other side is rational.
I do think we might be in a wormhole for escalatory strikes - which will likely mean full escalation here.
More troops and assets being moved to the region show the path to escalation is going to happen.
Brian McCarthy@briangobosox
I’m confused by those who say Iran will not engage in negotiations because they have leverage. What else is leverage for? Right now, Trump will pay to get the strait reopened, hence the US putting sanctions relief right on the table. But there is a limit to what he can pay. If Iran tries to extract a pound of flesh in the form of an over loss us credibility, then Trump will find accepting the deep economic costs of of an extended closure of the straight, likely blockaded to Iranian oil as well, as his least bad option. Once that decision is made, Iran’s leverage dissipates, and they find themselves fighting the entire world, with no hope of ever exiting the status of a pariah regime. Alternatively, a deal with Trump, even an imperfect one from Iran‘s perspective, provides the regime with an imprimatur of international respectability, not to mention access to desperately needed hard currency.
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@Rowplo @PolymarketIntel 1) Massive profits where gas and oil are produced in the US. Take from WI and give to TX sort of thing.
2) Arab nations, for the most part, have never liked Iran. It does not get said out loud, but they are willing to give up a lot to see them laid low. EU and Asia are angry.
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@jeffis48 @PolymarketIntel ... So if the prices start massively rising in the EU/Asia, they will rise in the US as well in every part of the manufactoring. The price of fuel is 40% in logistics costs, that increase the costs from the importer, producers, retailer and finally the buyer
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Zaluzhnyi:
The Iran war has two classical strategies: rapid defeat or attrition.
If Iran switches to attrition, the attacking side faces massive problems. Cheap and highly effective technologies will destroy the economy of anyone who tests Ukraine’s experience in the Middle East.
Polymarket Intel@PolymarketIntel
Former Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhnyi: Only three countries are truly ready for this war, Iran, Russia, and Ukraine. The Ukraine war changed the paradigm of how warfare is waged and Iran is now testing the same lessons, The Telegraph.
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@Hopehope_G_hope Me too. Still, Iran sure has acted upon their dislike for US and Israel for a very long time. Better now than later IMO, but I do not know that it will not wind up having been a mistake. One just never knows for sure.
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@jeffis48 I hope there isn't world war 3
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This middle east war is also a way to try to suck in funds from rest of the world.. making the no where else is safe theory?
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