The Freight God aka Bucknasty

Quoting so I can pin it. This is beautiful.

The last time an El Niño this strong hit, it killed 50 million people. That was 3 to 4% of the entire world population. Scale that to today and you're looking at 250 million equivalent. The 1877 Super El Niño triggered simultaneous droughts across India, China, Brazil, and East Africa. Crops failed on four continents at the same time. The famine lasted three years. Researchers have called it "arguably the worst environmental disaster to ever befall humanity." NOAA's latest update gives a two-in-three chance this one reaches strong or very strong by fall. European models are even more aggressive. Sea surface temperatures need to exceed 2°C above normal to qualify as "super." The trajectory is pointing directly at that threshold. Here's what makes 2026 structurally different from every previous Super El Niño: there are two independent supply shocks converging on the same crop cycle. The Iran war has shut down roughly a third of the world's seaborne fertilizer trade through the Strait of Hormuz. US fertilizer supply was at 75% of normal in mid-March, right when the Corn Belt needed it most. Fertilizer prices hit their highest level since 2022. That input shortage is already baked into the 2026 growing season. The El Niño yield shock operates on a 6 to 12 month lag. India is forecasting below-normal monsoons for the first time in three years. Indonesia and Malaysia carry 90% of global palm oil, and El Niño production declines in those countries take 6 to 24 months to peak. Every strong El Niño in the past 55 years has reduced global cocoa production. So the fertilizer shortage weakens the crops El Niño is about to stress, and the El Niño yield collapse hits in 2027 on fields that were already under-fertilized in 2026. Two shocks with nearly identical lag structures, converging on the same harvest window. The difference between 1877 and 2026: we can see this one coming six months out. The commodity futures curve is barely pricing either shock. Whether that's rational discounting or willful denial depends entirely on what the Pacific Ocean does between now and October.

It’s almost 90 degrees. Warm enough for my summertime sadness.

South Korean scientists managed to 3D print a windpipe from a patient’s own cells Her body didn’t reject the implant so she doesn’t have to take immune-suppressing drugs for life. This marks a significant milestone in organ replacement

@parakeetnebula Ok for you birdie, I won’t do it

@joebuck125 Noooooo don’t say that

Why do you insist on burning all the bridges to your happiness like a maniac covered in baby oil swinging your jerrycan of napalm like it's a fucking baton at the End of the World Parade, when everyone else actually just wants you to be happy?

@parakeetnebula Oh. This actually stopped me dead in my tracks. I’ve never considered that and I’d genuinely never want to inflict that on anyone other than myself. I’ll be thinking about this for awhile now.

@vividvoid To me, “you can’t love others until you love yourself” feels like a platitude and is less actionable than “the cruelty you show yourself is the cruelty you will show others. You will probably definitely hurt other people precisely the way you hurt yourself.”

It's not that you can't love others until you learn to love yourself. People have been doing that since the dawn of time. It's that loving yourself opens up dimensions and capabilities for love that are unfathomable until you've done it. In this way it's a lot like parenting

Reddit gets so much hate on here but like. I don’t have to pay anything to be my longwinded self whose attention span isn’t shot, such that I can appreciate the other folks putting real effort into trying to connect with each other. Guess I gotta haunt both places.

@Kekius_Sage This sensation never really goes away from here on out, in my experience. But. I think that’s ok. There’s tons of room for conveying what you’re able to, to folks that feel worthy. Much room to reinvent and iterate as necessary. Losing my dad clarified this feeling early for me

Old friends don't know who I am now and new friends don't know who I used to be. It's strange because nobody knows the full picture of me anymore. I carry both version alone, the person I was and the person I'm becoming with no one who has seen the whole journey from start to where I'm standing now.

@lapislagoons I’ve always been extremely slow to formalize. Age has made it worse insofar as I continue to choose very poorly and it’s excruciating every time anything ends, so I take even longer now and still choose poorly. Fully on board with the problem being me though atp.

when I was in my early twenties every relationship I got into was sudden and immediate, that’s changed as I’ve gotten older, I’m unsure of if it’s changed simply because I’ve been hurt and become more guarded or if it’s part of getting wiser and more intentional too

Not being on here for a month really didn’t alter a single thing about my life. Getting back on here to find that I can’t even see my OWN likes, has made me repeatedly annoyed over the last couple days.

@tweets2tea That’s a bummer then

@kharis_micheal I think I unfortunately needed to hear this today. Sigh.

normalize cutting women off the very first time they show you they’re not interested in you.

@_wej01 @prollyhighaf Adorable. And mildly jealous.

What’s it like being together for nearly 30 years? My husband was acting all sneaky on his phone. I stepped into the room and asked, “what are you doing?!” He said, “I’m looking at porn.” I said, “Liar! You’re ordering more pool supplies!” And he was.

Also road home with youngest sis who yapped and monologued for an hour straight. Much better than a podcast I’ll admit.

Spent the morning at a funeral. Was a really good eulogy. Pastor had amazing timing. Thunder rumbled the church at one point and he didn’t miss a beat incorporating it right into his message. Bad eulogies ruin the vibes but he did great.

@teachrobotslove Anecdotally, when I got old enough to stop code switching, it seemed liked connections came much more naturally all of a sudden. I think there’s all sorts of fascinating unspoken dynamics at play there.

I can't quite articulate this yet, but it seems to me that many of the vibrant, most interesting people are the ones that often don't code-switch based on who they're interacting with. They don't filter and squeeze their personalities through whatever funnel they believe is required of them. There is not one separate, fragmented version of them that exists for their children, and one for their co-workers, and one for the stranger they met at the bar. They simply are who they are.

Japanese actor Hiroyuki Sanada spoke about the contradictions of human nature: “Some people dream of having a swimming pool at home, while those who have one hardly ever use it. Those who have lost a loved one feel a profound sense of loss, while others often complain about their living relatives. Those without a partner long for one, while those who have one often don't appreciate it. The hungry would give anything for a meal, while the satiated complain about the taste of their food. Those without a car dream of owning one, while those who have a car are always looking for a better one.” The key to happiness is gratitude: truly seeing and appreciating what we already have, and understanding that somewhere, someone would give anything for what we take for granted.

@Kekius_Sage Yes.

Can trauma be inherited across generations?

@mudscryer If you figure it out I’d love to know so I can attempt it with any future potential partners.

How do I get over my addiction to chasing avoidant men

Amen