johbct
491 posts
A lot of people forget how awful AtlasIntel’s final NJ Gov poll was
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@TheStalwart @JessicaTarlov Just look at the very specific, cherry picked items used to get this number. More pretzel contortions to invent fake numbers. Keep digging, soon your integrity will be completely gone if it hasn’t already
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man
*US APRIL PRODUCER PRICES RISE 6.0% Y/Y; EST. +4.8%
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Q: To what extent are Americans' financial situations motivating you to make a deal with Iran?
TRUMP: "Not even a little bit. The only thing that matters when I'm talking about Iran, they can't have a nuclear weapon. I don't think about Americans' financial situation. I don't think about anybody. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear weapon."
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@PpollingNumbers Trump will get gas prices down and 2026 will be a "red wave". The Democrats were banking on "rigging" the election, but thanks to the US and Virigina Supreme Courts, they were stopped dead in their tracks.
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New - Senate poll - Michigan
🔴 Rogers 45%
🔵 El-Sayed 40%
🔴 Rogers 43%
🔵 Mcmorrow 41%
🔴 Rogers 44%
🔵 Stevens 42%
Glengariff #C - LV - 5/1
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@NKY_Leftist @xDoc315x Pretty obvious, lemme help you understand you silly low iq goose. You appear to lean left, left ideology literally thinks men can be women, give birth to kids, and or women can be men. They literally think this shit. You said R are idiots buuuuuut lol
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Crazy how even with D+8 polling we have to worry because every single branch of government at every level is skewed heavily towards idiot rural Republicans.
Political Polls@PpollingNumbers
New - Generic Ballot poll 🔵 Democrats 52% (+8) 🔴 Republicans 44% 🟤 Trump approval - Disapprove +15 Financial times #B - RV - 5/5
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Look at Utah. I live in that minuscule, blue district. If that isn’t gerrymandering, I don’t know what is. That little thing was created to give the Democrats a seat by packing all the blue voters into one district. Crazy.
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@ChiForPritzker @_fat_ugly_rat_ Dupage has trended left like most suburbs.
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@BeshearStan You think that gangly twink is winning a senate seat in TX?
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Once he wins his seat Talarico needs to BE GLUED TO IT. We can’t have another Beto 19/20 situation on our hands
Kalshi Politics@KalshiPolitics
BREAKING: James Talarico has a 2.7% chance of being the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee
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@NapoleonBonabot You are acting like they won't do it if NY doesn't do it
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“Let’s convince Texas, Indiana, North Carolina, and Florida redistrict again”
Micah Erfan@micah_erfan
Get it done, @KathyHochul.
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@jaginger @DigglyBopper @VApoliticalmeme Va 2nd will go blue Even with D+10. VA 2 is 5-6 pts redder than the state and even if Kiggans out performs a couple points D+10 is still too much for her. D+8 and it is toss up territory. But D+8 is probably neutral nationwide, which is unlikely.
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@DigglyBopper @VApoliticalmeme You think 2026 will be D +15? With those numbers above seems like even at d plus 10 we hold all the red seats
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Reality of the situation is that VA Dems are still favorite to flip at least three seats this November: VA01; VA02; VA05.
New York Post@nypost
Virginia Supreme Court overrules Democratic gerrymander, declaring new House maps 'null and void' trib.al/68gjkIm
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BREAKING: Republicans’ chance to win the House rises to 26%, its highest point since November 2025
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@trumps_kitten @KalshiPolitics Where is it? I’ll bet on it if dems are below 50c with the house. If it’s a lie, your mom will cheat with your uncle.😏
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@KalshiPolitics Other betting markets are showing that Republicans will continue to hold the House and the Senate
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@AltFootballFam @willofthyway @ChazNuttycombe My order is based on difficulty WI then MI then PA then GA. First two I think probably higher than 50%, especially WI. Last two less than 50%, GA very unlikely, will probably need D+15 environment. The GA state senate is so gerrymanderred.
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@willofthyway @johbct @ChazNuttycombe My vague estimate a Dem can win it.
In 2022, which PA GOP was weighed down by Mastriano big time (and could argue Oz), SD-24 was won by 4, SD-6 by 8, SD-16 was won by 8.3.
Trump mid-term, better GOP Gov candidate should counter balance, but I was too confident in initial reply.
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Would agree, the US House is probably gonna be a ~Toss-Up this year despite the nat'l environment likely being bluer than 2018. VA-1, NC-1, OH-9, PA-8 are the likely tipping points and they're all Trump +6 or more.
Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini
Boy oh boy. The redistricting war is shaping up to be a major win for Republicans. That means the U.S. House is very much on the table in 2026. Our forecast will update soon to reflect the new landscape, we'll be hard at work today.
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It’s 5-6. Vindman is going down as a consequence of all this.
Buyer’s remorse?
Matt Royer@royermattw
8-3 it is then. Back to work.
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Oh and MD they'd also need to gerrymander that in time to be able to be competitive.
Most Americans are gonna live in a gerrymandered district by the 2029 election.
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@SarahPalinUSA Agree. I'm dying a free man and not living an enslaved one
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This is what a Democrat gerrymandered Wisconsin Assembly looks like.
Perhaps the 2022 map wasn’t fair either, but little fingers coming out of La Crosse and Madison is a tell tale sign of a gerrymander.
wauk 🇺🇸@rep_favorite
Vibes on the WI Assembly
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Same goes for Georgia
If Dems capture a trifecta, they can flip the 9-5 🔴 map——-> 9-5 🔵 map
David@davidslosttt
If Josh Shapiro and the PA Democrats gain a TRIFECTA after the midterms, they can WIPE OUT the PA GOP and draw a 13D-4R PHILLYMANDER What's crazy is that this map would be legal even WITH Section 2 of the VRA!!!
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