Joe Rivest
1.1K posts

Joe Rivest
@jrivest
Husband. Father of 7, now 12 including bonus in-law kids! Follower of Jesus. BYU fan. Common sense conservative.


This AP U.S. government textbook isn’t just politically biased toward the left—something that has become far too common—it’s also objectively wrong on multiple levels. It makes a person wonder how often this happens, misinforming entire generations.


















Getting DMs asking me to get back to military and naval posts since, yeah, we have a war going on and a significant percentage of the world's oil tankers are being help hostage by Iran. I'll start here. The article I just posted, which explains why the left is so angry, rests on the foundation of Nonviolent Communication, the framework developed by psychologist Marshall Rosenberg. Sounds soft. It isn't. If you've had NVC based marriage counseling you might be rolling your eyes right now but it's likely you got a watered down version. Rosenberg's did not sidestep hard truths, he kicked them and watched how the mines explode. NVC is the most rigorous conflict resolution framework that exists. Want to negotiate reopening the Strait of Hormuz? NVC is where you start. All wars start with NVC failures and end with NVC solutions. But only a fool thinks Iran will agree to an empathetic solution and you can't force feed NVC. We need military solutions too. Great. Start with NVC anyway. Here's why. The Strait has no easy answer. Mines, UAVs, USVs, UUVs, missiles, social engineering, shore-based artillery. This is a study in chaos and complexity. What's the best framework for managing tactical decisions amid chaos and complexity? John Boyd's OODA loop. Do you know which branch (apart from aviation) is the worst at understanding and implementing OODA? The Navy. Why? Because the Navy is the most insular of our services. And insularity is the Achilles heel of OODA. Boyd's acolytes have written about this extensively. But I will tell you exactly where in the loop our Navy fails most often. Orientation. Boyd defined orientation as "an interactive process of many-sided implicit cross-referencing projections, empathies, correlations, and rejections." Read that again. Empathy is not a footnote. It is one of four core cognitive operations Boyd placed at the center of the entire OODA framework. Orientation is the schwerpunkt of the loop. Boyd said so explicitly. Everything else, observation, decision, action, flows through it. Orientation is about modeling how the enemy perceives the battlespace, how neutral actors perceive risk, how allies perceive your intentions. How does the IRGC mine warfare commander interpret our carrier group's movements? How does a Indian tanker captain calculate the risk of a Hormuz transit? What about the Greek owner? How does a Lloyd's underwriter distinguish between a swept lane and a safe lane? Each of those perceptions drives decisions that shape the battlespace. Orientation is the ability to model all of them simultaneously and faster than your adversary can model yours. And what is NVC? It is a structured method for taking real-world factual observations and understanding how they are bent by the perception and unmet needs of others. It trains you to separate what happened from the story someone tells about why it happened. It is, in precise Boydian terms, a method for sharpening orientation. This is not a metaphor. NVC and Boyd's orientation phase are operating on the same cognitive problem: how do you accurately model the intent and perception of actors whose frame of reference is radically different from your own, under conditions of uncertainty and stress? The Navy's insularity poisons orientation because insular institutions model the world through their own cultural assumptions. They project their own intent onto the enemy. They assume the adversary thinks the way they think, values what they value, fears what they fear. That's not orientation. That's narcissism with a battle flag. If you want to master OODA and achieve tactical success in the Strait of Hormuz, you need to understand NVC. Not because it's soft. Because it's the sharpest tool available for the cognitive operation Boyd identified as the most important phase of the decision cycle. Then you need to follow that with an NVC negotiated settlement. Or you can take the shortcut. Put a Marine in charge. The best Marines can run orientation loops through NVC frameworks (among others) in their sleep. It's why Boyd's work took root in the Marine Corps decades before the Army and Navy started paying attention. But don't trust me, I am guilty of my own biases. Go ask a former EOD trained in Naval mines turned aviator trained in OODA. Go ask @RobManess



How is Solicitor General a whole full time job when SCOTUS takes 80 cases annually and they almost all have really excellent DOJ lawyers already? And the SG has a couple dozen lawyers assisting him. Really??











