Nybörjarens guide till samhällskollapsen

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Nybörjarens guide till samhällskollapsen

Nybörjarens guide till samhällskollapsen

@kollapsologi

Societal Collapse for Dummies (in Swedish) Det är ingen tillfällighet att allt verkar gå utför just nu. Psykolog och civ.ek. Citatet ovan fr Lars Lerin LaoZi

Sweden Katılım Mart 2018
293 Takip Edilen300 Takipçiler
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Nybörjarens guide till samhällskollapsen
Det här kontot och bloggen handlar om att vårt grundproblem är brist på råvaror och energi. Alla krig och allt möjligt samhällskaos följer av detta. Oändlig tillväxt på begränsad planet -> kollaps Detta är utmärkt sammanfattat i följande video: youtu.be/gTt6u3rgfoo?si…
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Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson@chrismartenson·
The world is in the midst of the largest energy shock in human history, and the US is busy pouring gasoline on the fire. @TuckerCarlson nailed it grilling Kevin O'Leary on that insane 9GW Utah data center. Where's the gas coming from? Spoiler: the math doesn't add up. O’Leary claimed "stranded natural gas" and spare pipeline capacity. The reality? It’s all spin. That one project alone would swallow the entire spare capacity of the Ruby pipeline and more. These giant data centers are set to devour our natural gas while LNG exports double. Reserves don't last forever. My new Scouting Report breaks it all down with the hard data: 00:00 The Energy Shock 02:16 Data Centers & NatGas Demand 13:26 LNG Exports a Double-Edged Sword 20:36 The Math on Reserves 25:35 A Call for Realism Full video and discussion: tinyurl.com/yuunr5z6 The disconnect from physical reality is astonishing.
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Prof. Steve Keen
Prof. Steve Keen@ProfSteveKeen·
Extremely important overview of what the Strait of Hormuz closure means for the world economy—just in terms of energy alone. As fertiliser, sulphuric acid and helium on top and this crisis could make The Great Depression look like a picnic.
Mark@Mark4XX

ART BERMAN ON THE BIGGEST BLUNDER IN HISTORY: GEOLOGIST WARNS OF JULY CRUNCH Nate Hagens welcomes petroleum geologist Art Berman back for another truly fascinating conversation. With over 40 years of oil and gas industry experience and deep expertise on US shale plays, Art delivers a sobering deep dive into the data surrounding the Strait of Hormuz closure. What he reveals about impending shortages, system risks, and the true scale of this conflict will change how you see the months ahead. THE SCALE OF THE CRISIS ➡️ Roughly 21 million barrels per day of oil and refined products normally flow through Hormuz — exactly what the United States consumes daily. ➡️ As of now pretty close to zero is getting through, with only Iranian oil moving at all. ➡️ That leaves about 11 to 12 million barrels offline — roughly 11% of global supply suddenly gone. WORSE THAN THE 1970s SHOCKS ➡️ The rate of loss is up to 100 times greater than the 1979 Iranian Revolution shock when normalized for daily impact. ➡️ Leads and lags mean the US has not felt the full pinch yet but places like East Asia and Africa already have. ➡️ Strategic reserves are being drawn down at the maximum physical rate of about 2 million barrels per day. WHY JULY LOOKS BRUTAL ➡️ Even if peace breaks out tomorrow, hundreds of tankers parked inside Hormuz will take 2 to 3 months to reach destinations. ➡️ Production shut-ins, mines in the strait, insurance issues, and repositioning delays all add months more. ➡️ By July gasoline and especially diesel prices will reach levels where many people simply cannot afford to fill their tanks. THE DIESEL HEART ATTACK ➡️ Diesel powers ships, trains, trucks, farms, mining — basically the entire global economy. ➡️ Spot prices in places like Singapore have already hit the equivalent of $210 per barrel. ➡️ Higher diesel costs cascade into everything you buy, from groceries to delivered goods. THE US OIL ILLUSION ➡️ America is a net energy exporter on paper but remains a significant net importer of crude oil. ➡️ We export light shale oil ideal for gasoline but must import heavy oil to make enough diesel and jet fuel. ➡️ Our complex refineries are specifically designed around this mix — there is no quick fix. THE REFINERY SQUEEZE ➡️ Physical oil is trading at $140–$160 per barrel while futures sit much lower. ➡️ Refineries need strong margins to operate profitably at these prices. ➡️ If margins collapse, throughput will be cut, making shortages even worse regardless of crude availability. PEAK MATERIALS REALITY ➡️ Steel, cement and fertilizer production have already been declining for years. ➡️ Plastics are flattening. ➡️ These four pillars support modern civilization — their peak means we were already slowing before Hormuz. THE RENEWABLES LIMIT ➡️ Solar panels, wind turbines and EVs still require massive steel, plastics and concrete. ➡️ Critical minerals are overwhelmingly controlled by China. ➡️ We are simply trading Persian Gulf dependence for Chinese dependence. THE BOTTOM LINE Art Berman and Nate Hagens lay out why this conflict represents the biggest military, geopolitical, and economic blunder in modern history — driven by energy blindness and a failure to grasp system implications. Even in the best case we are screwed through the rest of the year no matter what happens next. HT: YouTube Nate Hagens @aeberman12 @NJHagens #TheGreatSimplification #ArtBerman #HormuzCrisis #OilShortage #DieselCrunch #EnergyBlunder #GreatSimplification

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Nostra, House of Gold
Nostra, House of Gold@Nostre_damus·
6% PPI I'm an expert, this is bad
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Alon Mizrahi
Alon Mizrahi@alon_mizrahi·
I see that virtually everybody is still mostly wrong about why Israel is bringing up the made up allegations of mass rape on October 7, and, after 2.5 years, it's a little frustrating. So listen carefully: This is not historical revisionism. This is not about the Gaza Holocaust. This is not general obsessive victimhood. This is not about malagining Palestinians/Arabs. This is prefabricated justification for planned mass atrocities. Israel is preparing mass murder on a huge new scale. That's why Israel is talking about October 7 again
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Chris Martenson
Chris Martenson@chrismartenson·
The clock is ticking, and time is on Iran's side. Trump has to do something between June and September or else we're facing global depression. Oil inventories are falling at record pace, and this chart says it all: ➡️Operational stress level reached by June ➡️Operational floor level reached by September Full report: peakprosperity.pulse.ly/llgum0airg
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Ahmed Al Omran
Ahmed Al Omran@ahmed·
Unintended consequences of war in the Gulf: Japan’s most famous potato chips brand will change packaging to black and white due to shortage of petroleum-based colourants
Ahmed Al Omran tweet media
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Nostra, House of Gold
Nostra, House of Gold@Nostre_damus·
every day that the Strait remains closed, the oil market is losing 14MM barrels this is not good
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Prof. Steve Keen
Prof. Steve Keen@ProfSteveKeen·
With fertilizer, this planet feeds 8.5 billion people. Without it, we can feed around 2 billion. We have just disrupted 30% of global fertilizer supply through the Strait of Hormuz. And people are still talking about this as if it is an oil story. It is not an oil story. It is a food story. And the numbers do not care about politics. Watch the full breakdown: youtube.com/watch?v=l0oHnw… #FoodSecurity #Fertilizer #StraitOfHormuz #GlobalFoodCrisis #SteveKeen #Economics
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🏴‍☠️
🏴‍☠️@calvinfroedge·
Hormuz closed, fertilizer prices spiking, and the worst US drought during planting season *in recorded history* but I'm sure it will all be fine Borrowing some money to buy Korean memory stocks
FarmPolicy@FarmPolicy

The United States experienced its worst spring #drought on record last month, with more than 60% of land in the lower 48 states experiencing moderate drought or worse. The drought has sparked alarm among #farmers across the country. time.com/article/2026/0…

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Trita Parsi
Trita Parsi@tparsi·
Not sure why these networks invite me to do all these interviews on Trump and Iran, they should bring this guy on, he nails it in less than 45 sec :)
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jeremy scahill
jeremy scahill@jeremyscahill·
First he was possibly dead, then severely wounded, then not in a position of authority, then Iran in disarray, now he’s playing a critical role. The blockade is working. Now we have Project Freedom. Now we don’t. JD is on his way to Islamabad. No, it’s Steve & Jared. Now no one.
CNN@CNN

US intelligence assesses that Iran’s new supreme leader is playing a critical role in shaping war strategy alongside senior Iranian officials, according to multiple sources. cnn.it/4neshly

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Will Schryver
Will Schryver@imetatronink·
@adamtaggart Your myopic naïveté is quaint in a uniquely American Exceptionalist sort of way. But "acceptable" or not is irrelevant. This is a war. A war the US and Israel initiated. A war in which Iran has achieved irreversible and decisive strategic victory via asymmetric means.
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Adam Taggart
Adam Taggart@adamtaggart·
I'm sure I'm going to regret wading back into the fray, but here goes... I'm hearing a lot of people say, "The US attacked Iran unprovoked, so of course Iran has the right to seize the Strait of Hormuz. Iran is just defending itself." First off, "the shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz...are governed by international maritime law and the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS)" britannica.com/question/Who-o… Second and more important, since when has it ever been acceptable to attack or hold hostage neutral parties, in war or otherwise? Spoiler alert: NEVER Your enemies are fair game in war. But NOT neutral parties. Again, NEVER. If I'm wrong here, please some one show me historical precedent. But Iran's attempted taking hostage of the Strait and the ships of neutral nations held captive there, threatening them with deadly violence should they attempt to transit, flies in the face of this. Honest question: why do so many people see this as acceptable?
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