Kris Bedka
2.3K posts

Kris Bedka
@krisbedka
Research Scientist, @NASA_Langley, Weather/Climate Science, especially convection, mesoscale processes, and Doppler wind lidar. All views are my own






The video captures an impressive waterspout seen today from the deck of a container ship in the Bermuda Triangle.






Following up from my discussion yesterday, the biggest uncertainty is in the exact evolution of the TPV emerging out of Canada: - how quickly does the TPV become negatively tilted? - how far south/west does this occur? Broadly speaking, scenarios range from the following: Scenario 1: More progressive and weaker TPV digs into the SE US and only becomes negatively tilted offshore, with a minor-moderate snow event over the Carolinas & heavy snow well offshore Scenario 2: TPV is stronger and farther west, becoming negatively tilted over the SE US & forcing rapid cyclogenesis just off the Carolinas, with a major Carolinas/VA snowstorm and moderate snow farther up the coast as the decaying post-occlusion low tracks northeast Scenario 3: TPV is even stronger and farther west, with the latitude of negative tilt shifted a bit north, favoring a major coastal snowstorm up to Maine primarily south/east of I-95 but possibly including the big cities



what goes on here?





















