Lance

@DaveHcontrarian @Julie36796166 @john_kurgan @FoodHou67882697 @NamiHedazi @Real_SinghSahib @westmusk @Casey12248 @5n0wl3op4rd Thanks 👍. Because I always am very curious to know more.. About most everything. From people who have better knowledge. And because its sad to see something so essential being so easily manipulated/ distorted 👍

@lance61410305 @Julie36796166 @john_kurgan @FoodHou67882697 @NamiHedazi @Real_SinghSahib @westmusk @Casey12248 @5n0wl3op4rd Why is that important to you Lance? Not much could have done to prevent Iran from using its only leverage. It will be opened up but requires some patience that some of you appear to lack.

Here's my latest interview,recorded 4/2/26 w/Elijah K Johnson of Liberty and Finance.We discussed the war,my current stock & bond mkt outlooks.Also the big upside ahead for metals & miners. youtube.com/watch?v=5iOFl2…

@Julie36796166 @DaveHcontrarian @john_kurgan @FoodHou67882697 @NamiHedazi @Real_SinghSahib @westmusk @Casey12248 @5n0wl3op4rd Could anything have been done earlier on in te planning or ealy stages of the war to to avoid this long homuz trouble? Or it’s somehow the plan that ooil had to be disturbed? If anyone can help me understand

@DaveHcontrarian @john_kurgan @FoodHou67882697 @NamiHedazi @Real_SinghSahib @westmusk @Casey12248 @5n0wl3op4rd The negotiations failed. What will happen to the stock market? Was it already priced in? Thanks

did the americans underestimate Iran?

@DaveHcontrarian @isellpremium_ @Currentwave33 what are the chances of Huithis closing the Mandeb strait? Its difficult to find reliqble information sources

@isellpremium_ @Currentwave33 Watch & learn.

@DaveHcontrarian David, is it possible we are seeing the bust play out before our eyes? 👀 This war could be a black swan that you couldn’t predict. What level to the downside invalidates your parabolic thesis?

@MrGlobal2025 @MalcolmNance Can they even do that I mean Americans should have a lot more power no?

No stopping oil prices if Bab El Mandeb closes.

@DaveHcontrarian @theskipperapp @theandymillette Thank you for your guidance.. Vix at carry trade levels.. Anything like that now also?

@theskipperapp @theandymillette It certainly sold down further than i expected. I just said that. Short-term set-ups don't always work out. Unlike a forecast, they are just the best guess at that time. This market consolidation could end at anytime.

Here is my latest interview, recorded 3/18/26 with @theandymillette.Lots of discussion about geopolitics,Iran,oil,the metals,the stock market,a potential top later this year & the global bust. youtube.com/watch?v=_y2qE6…

@menoftribe @KobeissiLetter Nato is a defence alliance.. Many ways to look at this

@menoftribe @KobeissiLetter LOL And now the Us wants Nato? After pissing off everyone in Europe for 2 years.. Snd starting a war without consulting partners?

BREAKING: Iran responds to President Trump's threat to "obliterate" Iranian power plants if the Strait of Hormuz is not opened "within 48 hours." Iran's response: 1. Iran will "completely close" the Strait of Hormuz 2. Iran will hit “vital” infrastructure in the Middle East 3. This includes energy, IT, and water desalination facilities 4. Iran’s senior military commander says the country’s military strategy has shifted from defensive to offensive 5. Iranian officials say the country has enough reserves of essential goods to last for up to one year Trump's deadline has 33 hours remaining.

@DaveHcontrarian @Prsnen1 @Abbas62413663 @theandymillette Hi does anyone here see a possible solution to the oilcrisis other than troops on the ground and total destruction of Iran? Doesnt look like they will ever give inn? I am looking to learn about possible realistic outcomes from here

@Prsnen1 @Abbas62413663 @theandymillette My forecast is based on my expectations for oil, not yours.

@BleackyAirdrops @astronomer_zero i agree and everyone think the same

@astronomer_zero We might expect 71.5k $BTC But I think tomorrow stock market will dump and so do $BTC

$BTC longs Still believing in 71.5k. Going to add more. Not yet, but if weekend lows get taken out. Alright bitcoin did not follow our plan of Yesterday. instead of holding 70.7k, it fell through and price retraced to entry and beyond. We were looking good, trade was up 1400 points, but now its 1000 points below entry. Bit of an unfortunate chain of events, with weekend announcement taking the trade down, also creating valid weekend lows. That puts the trade in a tricky spot at the moment because I still believe 71.5k is coming, but post FOMC reversal downside momentum is carrying on now just a bit longer. My actions Given the separation of two execution scenarios; the first one being my typical strategy - set it risk free into 71k, after we were up 1400 points (A), and the second one being the execution I went for myself exceptionally (holding without TP at 71k) since my size on this long was very small (B). So if you set it risk free (A), and followed my typical approach, then you would be flat now. In this case, I would not enter anything new, wait for the weekend lows to be taken out before entering again targeting 71.5k. If price just runs from here to 71.5k, then that's a nice short towards weekend lows and our long awaited 65k area where I deem the FOMC reversal over by now. If you are still in the trade like me (B), I think for this trade, it's okay to add more for once especially if you went small like me, turning this trade into a proper sized one given we have clarity. Not going to add here though personally, but getting an as good entry as possible, which is below the weekend lows. Not setting limits either as Monday is coming so ideally we see a down trending Monday for a bit, giving a chance to enter a bit below weekend lows. If price runs from here to 71.5k, then it still pays on the open trade, albeit for a smaller pay. But then weekend lows are still untouched which gives more confidence in our short idea from 71.5k+, the area we have been waiting for to short for a while, to work out, offering us a second trade. That sums up why I believe it's a good idea to hold on. Using strategic positioning to manage the trade. Not an orthodox strategy, but the fact we had an event on the weekend allows ourselves to do that because this amount of weekend liquidity is very typical to be run both ways, i.e. clear out weekend lows, and run 71.5k target. Holding a trade in between is opportune to take it towards a win, or even two wins.

@Micro2Macr0 Well untill now they succed in this so until thats changed I am not impressed with Us

I guess they're back to throwing rocks. 😂

@Micro2Macr0 Hormuz has already been closed for too long so its either 1) Trump adm didnt prepare good enough for this scenario or 2) This was the plan all along Take your guess..

Europe: "Trump has no plans." US Plans 🇺🇸 • The elimination of Russian allies • The control of the world crude oil market to get leverage over China - The prevention of Iranian nuclear weapons • Revenge for the murder of thousands of Iranian civilians • Eternal peace in Middle East • The prevention of WW3 • MOST importantly, free the people of #IRAN European Plans: Trump is going to 🌮. He's so Dumb 😆

@Micro2Macr0 Americans started a war without consultung international partners but it affects everyone. I dont think Trump gives a shit aboyt Iran civilians.

@AndreasSteno Agree 100%

Less than 12 months ago, we were told to show independence and resist U.S. intervention in Iraq. 
Now, we’re being lectured that we need to participate in Iran by the very same people. Which is it? This is the most amateurish administration in modern history.

@unusual_whales yeah with who?

BREAKING: The Trump administration plans to announce as soon as this week that it has formed a coalition with a number of countries to escort ships through Strait of Hormuz, per Bloomberg.

@KobeissiLetter He better fix the problem he created fast

BREAKING: President Trump says the US “will help a lot” in getting oil through the Strait of Hormuz. Trump also says the US is coordinating with various countries on getting oil flows restored.

@KobeissiLetter Someone tell me what is the Us intention for real?

BREAKING: US oil companies are set to make an additional $60+ billion this year if oil prices sustain current levels. US oil companies are: 1. Expected to be the "biggest beneficiaries" of the Iran war 2. Set to generate an extra $5 billion in free cash flow this month alone 3. Expected to see large gains in the shale business which has little ties to Middle East Big oil is seeing some of its most profitable conditions ever.

@AndreasSteno What leverage does Us have? Looks embarrassing for Us right now

I honestly think Trump wanted to taco already early this week. It’s just difficult to do so when it takes two to taco. Iran was not willing to play ball—and why should they be? They have likely just secured the regime another decade.

@Barchart oil price market open?

Crude Oil hits highest weekly close since July 2022 🛢️📈

@MrD07ags @DaveHcontrarian @irwinfortune @gwyrddyn @Kingskqz @PalisadesRadio @grok I agree would like to see options.. what could solve this situation? Most likely outcome? anyone?

@DaveHcontrarian @irwinfortune @gwyrddyn @Kingskqz @PalisadesRadio @grok Hi David and thx for al your inputs. Interested to have your thoughts on how to get out of this Hormuz blockade ? Thx

David Hunter: Demand For Commodities Will Go 'Through The Roof' | $20,000 Gold by Early 2030s x.com/PalisadesRadio… @DaveHcontrarian #Deflation #Recession #Inflation #Meltup #Bust #Commodities #GoldPrices #SilverPrices #CopperPrices #OilPrices #Debt #MoneyPrinting #FinancialCrisis #EconomicCycle #AssetAllocation